Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (ALKLC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value 75.40 TRY · Strongly overvalued (−82%)
!Quality 40/100
!Expensive Growth(revenue 3y +47.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -3.5% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers(7/11)
!Narrow moat31/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Watch Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for free
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
27‑month range 17.89 TRY – 520.00 TRY · fair‑value band 52.01 TRY – 88.87 TRY · the 421.25 TRY price screens above the 75.40 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S., together with its subsidiaries, produces, markets, and sells dairy products in Turkey and internationally. The company offers ezine, classic, sheep's, izmir tulum, white, and Kashar cheese; kefir; kefir yogurt; aged kashar; and cheesecolata.
Show more
Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S., together with its subsidiaries, produces, markets, and sells dairy products in Turkey and internationally. The company offers ezine, classic, sheep's, izmir tulum, white, and Kashar cheese; kefir; kefir yogurt; aged kashar; and cheesecolata. It also engages in marketing and sale of milk; cardboard, plastic, and glass businesses; and establishing, operating, renting, and leasing of facilities for the purchasing, selling, and packaging of foodstuff. Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (ALKLC) currently trades at 421.25 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 75.40 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 458.7% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of 122.99 TRY per share, and 0 of the 8 models we run sit above the 421.25 TRY price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 15.85 TRY, and 8 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 52.01 TRY (bear) to 88.87 TRY (bull), the price of 421.25 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. reported revenue of 5.0B TRY in FY2025 versus 1.3B TRY in FY2021, a compound +40.2%/yr. Reported net income was −122M TRY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 47.2B TRY (≈ $967M) · P/S ratio 8.68 · EPS (TTM) −1.07 TRY · Net margin −2.4% · Return on equity −7.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.3% · Operating margin 18.0% · Revenue (TTM) 5.2B TRY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −82%, ALKLC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (0.5200 TRY to 122.99 TRY). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 52.01 TRYFair Value 75.40 TRYBull 88.87 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+17.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+47.5%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
12.5% (2021) → 16.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 648 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−83% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)−3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)18% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth16% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.35× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.18× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA1.0× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)80· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 57
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALKLC
Frequently asked questions
Is Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (ALKLC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 75.40 TRY versus a price of 421.25 TRY, about −82% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALKLC?
Our model-based fair value for Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. is 75.40 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 421.25 TRY.
What is the quality score of ALKLC?
Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (ALKLC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 75.40 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario 52.01 TRY, optimistic scenario 88.87 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 75.40 TRY, about −82% upside versus a price of 421.25 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 52.01 TRY, optimistic scenario 88.87 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (ALKLC)?
Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.2B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (ALKLC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. it is 75.40 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 421.25 TRY. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, ALKLC trades above its calculated fair value: price 421.25 TRY, fair value 75.40 TRY, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALKLC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (421.25 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (75.40 TRY). For Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. the two are 345.85 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. worth?
The market values Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. at about 47.2B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 421.25 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 75.40 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALKLC?
Our models span a range for Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S.: cautious scenario 52.01 TRY, base 75.40 TRY, optimistic 88.87 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 421.25 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (ALKLC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −7.5%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALKLC from its 52-week high?
Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. trades at 421.25 TRY, about 9% below its 52-week high of 462.75 TRY and 554% above the low of 64.44 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 75.40 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S.?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Nestlé India Limited, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 421.25 TRY, calculated fair value 75.40 TRY (−82%), Quality Score 40/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALKLC calculated?
We run Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 75.40 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (ALKLC)?
The closing price on Sep 17, 2026 was 421.25 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 75.40 TRY, about −82% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (88.87 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S.
How large is the market capitalisation of Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (ALKLC)?
The market capitalisation of Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. is 47.2B TRY (≈ $967M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (ALKLC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. is 8.68 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (ALKLC)?
Earnings per share at Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. are −1.07 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (ALKLC)?
The net margin of Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. is −2.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (ALKLC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. is −7.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (ALKLC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. is 12.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (ALKLC)?
The operating margin of Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. is 18.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (ALKLC)?
Revenue at Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. is growing +15.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +47.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (ALKLC)?
Earnings per share at Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. are growing −26.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (ALKLC) generate?
The free cash flow of Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. is −913M TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (ALKLC) carry?
The net debt of Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. is 1.9B TRY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. in the live analysis
One click puts Altinkilic Gida ve Sut Sanayi Ticaret A.S. on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
