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Alkosign Ltd (ALKOSIGN) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹588M

AL Alkosign Ltd ALKOSIGN · BSE
Price₹60.41
Fair Value₹21.93
Upside-63.7%
Quality30/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -17.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: Low Range ₹14.64 – ₹29.21 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price −8.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 64% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹29.21). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹14.64 to ₹29.21) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹165.70 ₹30.10 Fair Value ₹21.93 Feb 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

55‑month range ₹30.10 – ₹165.70 · fair‑value band ₹14.64 – ₹29.21 · the ₹60.41 price screens above the ₹21.93 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Alkosign Ltd (ALKOSIGN) currently trades at ₹60.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹21.93, implying the stock looks roughly 63.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Alkosign Ltd generated revenue of ₹267M at a net margin of -17.8%. Revenue declined 5.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.1%. Net debt stands at ₹77.8M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹14.64 (bear case) to ₹29.21 (bull case); at ₹60.41, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -60% fair-value upside, at -64%, ALKOSIGN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder ₹12.59 ₹14.07 ₹15.30 72
EPV ₹12.59 ₹14.07 ₹15.30 59
EV/EBITDA ₹39.44 ₹52.00 ₹64.56 54
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV ₹12.59 ₹14.07 ₹15.30 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT ₹23.61 ₹30.89 ₹38.18 53
EV/EBITDA ₹39.44 ₹52.00 ₹64.56 54
EV/Revenue ₹17.35 ₹24.04 ₹30.72 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹13.08 ₹17.52 ₹26.15 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ₹12.59 ₹14.07 ₹15.30 72

Widest divergence: Multiples (₹30.89) versus Earnings-Based (₹14.07). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹267M
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.6%
Net margin -17.8%
Return on equity 4.1%
Free cash flow −₹2.7M FY2026
P/E ratio 46.8
More key figures
Operating margin 6.9%
EPS (TTM) ₹1.29
EPS growth (YoY) -85.3%
Net debt ₹77.8M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 15
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 42
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Alkosign Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of visual presentation systems in India. It offers green, white, crystal and platinum series, glass, and updown writing boards; mini checks fabric sliding glass, felt, combination, grooved portrait and landscape, platinum series, and door notice boards; and first aid, key holder, letter, storage, …

Full company description

Alkosign Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of visual presentation systems in India. It offers green, white, crystal and platinum series, glass, and updown writing boards; mini checks fabric sliding glass, felt, combination, grooved portrait and landscape, platinum series, and door notice boards; and first aid, key holder, letter, storage, suggestion, and key cabinet boxes. The company also provides furniture products, including pigeonholes, shelfs, and benches; stands, which include fixed, revolving and magazine stands, as well as floor standing podium; and digital panels. In addition, it offers various accessories comprising magnets, golden letters, dusters, and chalks; luggages under the Baggit and Alkosign brand names; and desks. The company also exports its products. Alkosign Limited was incorporated in 2020 and is based in Thane, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Alkosign Ltd reported revenue of ₹267M in FY2026 versus ₹102M in FY2022, a compound +27.3%/yr. Reported net income was −₹47.6M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹267M
Latest YoY
−9.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.1%
Revenue +27.3%/yr
FY22 ₹102M
FY23 ₹214M
FY24 ₹357M
FY25 ₹294M
FY26 ₹267M
Net income
FY22 −₹13.8M
FY23 −₹4.6M
FY24 ₹7.8M
FY25 ₹37.7M
FY26 −₹47.6M

ALKOSIGN screens 64% overvalued. Compare with GRG Banking Equipment Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alkosign Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALKOSIGN

Peer Group

Business Equipment & Supplies · 75 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −64% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -18% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth -6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.13× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Business Equipment & Supplies median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 46.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 33
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 16 · sector 20
HEALTH 94 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Business Equipment & Supplies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GRG Banking Equipment Co 002152 ¥10.22 ¥9.65 -6%
Shanghai M&G Stationery Inc 603899 ¥22.25 ¥30.05 +35%
XGD Inc 300130 ¥19.30 ¥19.69 +2%
DOMS Industries Limited DOMS ₹2,242 ₹782.96 -65%
Hengbao Co 002104 ¥10.71 ¥2.09 -80%
Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics Co 000561 ¥7.72 ¥1.75 -77%
Shenzhen Comix Group 002301 ¥7.44 ¥3.01 -60%
Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology Co 002376 ¥6.72 ¥2.10 -69%
Cashway Fintech Co 603106 ¥9.54 ¥1.68 -82%
Qingdao Hiron Commercial Cold Chain Co 603187 ¥12.58 ¥21.12 +68%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Alkosign Ltd (ALKOSIGN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹21.93 versus a price of ₹60.41, about −64% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALKOSIGN?
Our model-based fair value for Alkosign Ltd is ₹21.93 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹60.41.
What is the quality score of ALKOSIGN?
Alkosign Ltd has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Alkosign Ltd (ALKOSIGN)?
Alkosign Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹267M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ALKOSIGN?
The net profit margin of Alkosign Ltd is about -17.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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