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Alkosign Ltd (ALKOSIGN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Alkosign Ltd ₹12.72, price ₹61.60, upside -79.4%, quality 30 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · IN · ISIN INE0KA601012

AL Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Alkosign Ltd

ALKOSIGN · BSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ₹12.72 · Strongly overvalued (−79.4%)
!Quality 30/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY −9.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -17.8% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/10)
!Narrow moat 22/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 16 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹165.70 ₹30.10 Fair Value ₹12.72 Feb 2022 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

56‑month range ₹30.10 – ₹165.70 · fair‑value band ₹11.53 – ₹14.95 · the ₹61.60 price screens above the ₹12.72 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Alkosign Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of visual presentation systems in India.

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Alkosign Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of visual presentation systems in India. It offers green, white, crystal and platinum series, glass, and updown writing boards; mini checks fabric sliding glass, felt, combination, grooved portrait and landscape, platinum series, and door notice boards; and first aid, key holder, letter, storage, suggestion, and key cabinet boxes. The company also provides furniture products, including pigeonholes, shelfs, and benches; stands, which include fixed, revolving and magazine stands, as well as floor standing podium; and digital panels. In addition, it offers various accessories comprising magnets, golden letters, dusters, and chalks; luggages under the Baggit and Alkosign brand names; and desks. The company also exports its products. Alkosign Limited was incorporated in 2020 and is based in Thane, India.

Stock analysis

Alkosign Ltd (ALKOSIGN) currently trades at ₹61.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹12.72, 79.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹30.89 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the ₹61.60 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹16.01, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹11.53 (bear) to ₹14.95 (bull), the price of ₹61.60 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.

Alkosign Ltd reported revenue of ₹267M in FY2026 versus ₹102M in FY2022, a compound +27.3%/yr. Reported net income was −₹47.6M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap ₹665M (≈ $6.9M) · P/E ratio 47.8 · P/S ratio 2.20 · EPS (TTM) ₹1.29 · Net margin −17.8% · Return on equity 4.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3% · Operating margin 6.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −79%, ALKOSIGN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹11.53 Fair Value ₹12.72 Bull ₹14.95
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.6574 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder ₹14.07 ₹16.01 ₹17.69 72
EPV ₹14.07 ₹16.01 ₹17.69 71
EV/EBITDA ₹39.44 ₹52.00 ₹64.56 67
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV ₹14.07 ₹16.01 ₹17.69 71
Multiples
EV/EBIT ₹23.61 ₹30.89 ₹38.18 66
EV/EBITDA ₹39.44 ₹52.00 ₹64.56 67
EV/Revenue ₹17.35 ₹24.04 ₹30.72 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹13.08 ₹17.52 ₹26.15 54
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ₹14.07 ₹16.01 ₹17.69 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 15
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 42
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
9.0% (2021) → 6.9% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ALKOSIGN screens overvalued: fair value 79% below the price. Compare with GRG Banking Equipment Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Business Equipment & Supplies · 73 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −79.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4.1% · Below median
Return on assets 2.4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −17.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −5.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.13× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Business Equipment & Supplies median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 47.8× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 26
PAST (return on equity)16 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)94 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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10 more Business Equipment & Supplies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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GRG Banking Equipment Co 002152 ¥8.95 ¥9.85 +10%
Shanghai M&G Stationery Inc 603899 ¥21.87 ¥37.37 +71%
Crane NXT, Co CXT $47.10 $38.31 −19%
XGD Inc 300130 ¥17.95 ¥20.91 +16%
DOMS Industries Limited DOMS ₹2,098 ₹782.96 −63%
Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics Co 000561 ¥7.54 ¥1.75 −77%
Shenzhen Comix Group 002301 ¥8.56 ¥2.85 −67%
Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology Co 002376 ¥6.55 ¥1.95 −70%
Qingdao Hiron Commercial Cold Chain Co 603187 ¥10.70 ¥24.36 +128%
F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini S.p.A FILA €10.47 €7.05 −33%

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Alkosign Ltd · Fair Value
₹12.72 −79%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alkosign Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALKOSIGN

Frequently asked questions

Is Alkosign Ltd (ALKOSIGN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹12.72 versus a price of ₹61.60, about −79% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALKOSIGN?
Our model-based fair value for Alkosign Ltd is ₹12.72 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹61.60.
What is the quality score of ALKOSIGN?
Alkosign Ltd has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Alkosign Ltd (ALKOSIGN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹12.72 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹11.53, optimistic scenario ₹14.95. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Alkosign Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹12.72, about −79% upside versus a price of ₹61.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹11.53, optimistic scenario ₹14.95. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Alkosign Ltd (ALKOSIGN)?
Alkosign Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹267M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Alkosign Ltd (ALKOSIGN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Alkosign Ltd it is ₹12.72 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹61.60. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Alkosign Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, ALKOSIGN trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹61.60, fair value ₹12.72, a gap of about −79% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALKOSIGN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹61.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹12.72). For Alkosign Ltd the two are ₹48.88 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Alkosign Ltd worth?
The market values Alkosign Ltd at about ₹665M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹61.60; our models calculate a fair value of ₹12.72 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALKOSIGN?
Our models span a range for Alkosign Ltd: cautious scenario ₹11.53, base ₹12.72, optimistic ₹14.95 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹61.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ALKOSIGN?
Alkosign Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 47.8 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹12.72 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/S 0.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Alkosign Ltd (ALKOSIGN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Alkosign Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 4.1%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALKOSIGN from its 52-week high?
Alkosign Ltd trades at ₹61.60, about 23% below its 52-week high of ₹80.00 and 14% above the low of ₹54.00 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹12.72 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Alkosign Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GRG Banking Equipment Co, Shanghai M&G Stationery Inc, Crane NXT, Co, XGD Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Alkosign Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹61.60, calculated fair value ₹12.72 (−79%), Quality Score 30/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALKOSIGN calculated?
We run Alkosign Ltd through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹12.72, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Alkosign Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Alkosign Ltd (ALKOSIGN)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹61.60. Our model-based fair value is ₹12.72, about −79% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Alkosign Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹14.95). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Alkosign Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Alkosign Ltd (ALKOSIGN)?
The market capitalisation of Alkosign Ltd is ₹665M (≈ $6.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Alkosign Ltd (ALKOSIGN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Alkosign Ltd is 2.20 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Alkosign Ltd (ALKOSIGN)?
Earnings per share at Alkosign Ltd are ₹1.29 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 47.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Alkosign Ltd (ALKOSIGN)?
The net margin of Alkosign Ltd is −17.8% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Alkosign Ltd (ALKOSIGN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Alkosign Ltd is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Alkosign Ltd (ALKOSIGN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Alkosign Ltd is 3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Alkosign Ltd (ALKOSIGN)?
The operating margin of Alkosign Ltd is 6.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Alkosign Ltd (ALKOSIGN)?
Revenue at Alkosign Ltd is growing −5.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Alkosign Ltd (ALKOSIGN)?
Earnings per share at Alkosign Ltd are growing −85.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Alkosign Ltd (ALKOSIGN) generate?
The free cash flow of Alkosign Ltd is −₹2.7M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Alkosign Ltd (ALKOSIGN) carry?
The net debt of Alkosign Ltd is ₹77.8M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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