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Alphalogic Techsys Ltd (ALPHALOGIC) Fair Value & Analysis

Information Technology · IN · Market cap ₹2.6B (≈ $27.0M) · ISIN INE08E401029

AT Alphalogic Techsys Ltd ALPHALOGIC · BSE
Price₹40.59
Fair Value₹13.55
Upside-66.6%
Quality34/100
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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 10.4% net margin

Risks

!Trades 200% ABOVE our fair value of ₹13.55
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +75.5 %/yr)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/12)
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +75.5 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 10.4% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Moderate moat 49/100
Evidence: Medium Range ₹10.16 – ₹16.93 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 25, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +1.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and trading another 200% above our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹16.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹295.35 ₹3.29 Fair Value ₹13.55 Oct 2019 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹3.29 – ₹295.35 · fair‑value band ₹10.16 – ₹16.93 · the ₹40.59 price screens above the ₹13.55 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Alphalogic Techsys Ltd (ALPHALOGIC) currently trades at ₹40.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹13.55, implying the stock looks roughly 66.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Information Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Alphalogic Techsys Ltd generated revenue of ₹505M at a net margin of 9.9%. Revenue declined 12.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.3%. Net debt stands at ₹450M. Fundamentals as of Aug 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹10.16 (bear case) to ₹16.93 (bull case); at ₹40.59, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Information Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -67%, ALPHALOGIC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder ₹3.03 ₹4.54 ₹5.84 72
Growth-Adj P/E ₹28.19 ₹40.27 ₹52.35 68
P/E Multiple ₹16.73 ₹22.31 ₹27.89 63
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹5.42 ₹37.79 ₹53.03 54
Lynch FV ₹19.52 ₹27.89 ₹36.26 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹19.52 ₹27.89 ₹36.26 46
EPV ₹3.03 ₹4.54 ₹5.84 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹16.73 ₹22.31 ₹27.89 63
P/S Multiple ₹10.16 ₹13.55 ₹16.93 58
P/B Multiple ₹10.16 ₹13.55 ₹16.93 55
EV/EBIT ₹17.40 ₹25.36 ₹33.33 53
EV/EBITDA ₹12.41 ₹18.71 ₹25.02 54
EV/Revenue ₹5.58 ₹10.76 ₹15.94 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹4.16 ₹5.57 ₹8.31 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹7.11 ₹7.81 ₹11.10 61
ROIC Compounder ₹3.03 ₹4.54 ₹5.84 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹28.19 ₹40.27 ₹52.35 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹40.27) versus Economic Profit (₹4.54). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 33.5
P/S ratio 3.31 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ₹1.21 price ÷ EPS = P/E 33.5
Net margin 9.9% FY2025
Return on equity 12.3% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 9.2% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 14.8% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ₹505M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) -12.8% 3y avg +31.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +36.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −₹425M FY2025
Net debt ₹450M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 64
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Alphalogic Techsys Ltd reported revenue of ₹505M in FY2025 versus ₹117M in FY2021, a compound +44.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹49.9M in FY2025, compounding +24.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
₹505M
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+88.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+75.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+59.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in INR) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+5.5% (5.5 + 0.0)
Revenue +44.2%/yr
FY21 ₹117M
FY22 ₹222M
FY23 ₹539M
FY24 ₹780M
FY25 ₹505M
Net income +24.7%/yr
FY21 ₹20.6M
FY22 ₹34.1M
FY23 ₹41.4M
FY24 ₹48.6M
FY25 ₹49.9M

ALPHALOGIC screens 67% overvalued. Compare with 532755 →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alphalogic Techsys Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALPHALOGIC

Peer Group

IT Services · 37 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −67% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -12% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.78× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs IT Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 33.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 4.95× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 5.23× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 33.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST49 · sector 15
HEALTH61 · sector 100
DIVIDEND0 · sector 5

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more IT Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
532755 532755 ₹1,586 ₹922.45 -42%
CEINSYSTECH CEINSYSTECH ₹796.45 ₹586.06 -26%
BLUECLOUDS BLUECLOUDS ₹22.11 ₹16.20 -27%
DANLAW DANLAW ₹1,387 ₹943.97 -32%
ConnectM Technology Solutions, Inc CNTM $4.50 $7.60 +69%
SOFTSOL SOFTSOL ₹193.45 ₹69.00 -64%
ITCONS ITCONS ₹251.00 ₹104.00 -59%
CNINFOTECH CNINFOTECH ₹88.53 ₹138.32 +56%
Data Storage Corporation DTSTW $0.0771 $0.0776 +1%
CRESSAN CRESSAN ₹2.13 ₹0.7300 -66%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Alphalogic Techsys Ltd (ALPHALOGIC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹13.55 versus a price of ₹40.59, about −67% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALPHALOGIC?
Our model-based fair value for Alphalogic Techsys Ltd is ₹13.55 (as of Aug 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹40.59.
What is the quality score of ALPHALOGIC?
Alphalogic Techsys Ltd has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Alphalogic Techsys Ltd (ALPHALOGIC)?
Alphalogic Techsys Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹505M (latest available figure, as of Aug 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ALPHALOGIC?
The net profit margin of Alphalogic Techsys Ltd is about 9.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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