Alphalogic Techsys Ltd (ALPHALOGIC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 9, 2026: fair value of Alphalogic Techsys Ltd ₹13.55, price ₹37.70, upside -64.1%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹3.42 – ₹295.35 · fair‑value band ₹10.16 – ₹16.93 · the ₹37.70 price screens above the ₹13.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
Follow Alphalogic Techsys in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Alphalogic Techsys is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Alphalogic Techsys Ltd (ALPHALOGIC) currently trades at ₹37.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹13.55, 64.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹40.27 per share, and 2 of the 14 models we run sit above the ₹37.70 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ₹2.98, and 12 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹10.16 (bear) to ₹16.93 (bull), the price of ₹37.70 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Information Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Alphalogic Techsys Ltd reported revenue of ₹505M in FY2025 versus ₹117M in FY2021, a compound +44.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹49.9M in FY2025, compounding +24.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap ₹2.4B (≈ $24.4M) · P/E ratio 46.5 · P/S ratio 4.59 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.8100 · Net margin 9.9% · Return on equity 12.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.2% · Operating margin 17.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Information Technology peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at −64%, ALPHALOGIC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹10.16Fair Value ₹13.55Bull ₹16.93
Price ₹37.70 · Upside -64.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.6325 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV₹1.99₹2.98₹3.8469
Residual Income₹7.11₹7.81₹9.5968
ROIC Compounder₹1.99₹2.98₹3.8468
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd₹5.42₹37.79₹53.0361
Lynch FV₹19.52₹27.89₹36.2659
PEG = 1.0₹19.52₹27.89₹36.2655
EPV₹1.99₹2.98₹3.8469
Multiples
P/E Multiple₹16.73₹22.31₹27.8963
P/S Multiple₹10.16₹13.55₹16.9357
P/B Multiple₹10.16₹13.55₹16.9355
EV/EBIT₹11.44₹16.67₹21.9164
EV/EBITDA₹8.16₹12.30₹16.4466
EV/Revenue₹3.67₹7.07₹10.4851
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)₹4.16₹5.57₹8.3153
Economic Profit
Residual Income₹7.11₹7.81₹9.5968
ROIC Compounder₹1.99₹2.98₹3.8468
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E₹28.19₹40.27₹52.3565
P/S and P/B multiple show the same value here: both are capped by the same earnings anchor (earnings per share times 17), because margin and return on equity do not support the sector multiple.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+88.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+75.5%
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+59.2%
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+5.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5.5% vs 21.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 16%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.IT Services · 29 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−64.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)12.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets8.7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)15.8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)17.0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−11.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.78× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs IT Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)46.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B4.53× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)7.29× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA46.8× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 19
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)49· sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)61· sector 100
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 5
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Alphalogic Techsys Ltd (ALPHALOGIC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹13.55 versus a price of ₹37.70, about −64% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALPHALOGIC?
Our model-based fair value for Alphalogic Techsys Ltd is ₹13.55 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹37.70.
What is the quality score of ALPHALOGIC?
Alphalogic Techsys Ltd has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Alphalogic Techsys Ltd (ALPHALOGIC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹13.55 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹10.16, optimistic scenario ₹16.93. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Alphalogic Techsys Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹13.55, about −64% upside versus a price of ₹37.70 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹10.16, optimistic scenario ₹16.93. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Alphalogic Techsys Ltd (ALPHALOGIC)?
Alphalogic Techsys Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹492M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Alphalogic Techsys Ltd (ALPHALOGIC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Alphalogic Techsys Ltd it is ₹13.55 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹37.70. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Alphalogic Techsys Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, ALPHALOGIC trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹37.70, fair value ₹13.55, a gap of about −64% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALPHALOGIC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹37.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹13.55). For Alphalogic Techsys Ltd the two are ₹24.15 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Alphalogic Techsys Ltd worth?
The market values Alphalogic Techsys Ltd at about ₹2.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹37.70; our models calculate a fair value of ₹13.55 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALPHALOGIC?
Our models span a range for Alphalogic Techsys Ltd: cautious scenario ₹10.16, base ₹13.55, optimistic ₹16.93 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹37.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ALPHALOGIC?
Alphalogic Techsys Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 46.5 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹13.55 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.5, P/S 7.3, EV/EBITDA 46.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Alphalogic Techsys Ltd (ALPHALOGIC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Alphalogic Techsys Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 12.3%, debt of 0.78 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALPHALOGIC from its 52-week high?
Alphalogic Techsys Ltd trades at ₹37.70, about 55% below its 52-week high of ₹82.99 and 8% above the low of ₹35.01 (as of Oct 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹13.55 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Alphalogic Techsys Ltd?
From the same area (Information Technology) we also value BLUECLOUDS, CEINSYSTECH, SANCODE, ACESOFT, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Alphalogic Techsys Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹37.70, calculated fair value ₹13.55 (−64%), Quality Score 34/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALPHALOGIC calculated?
We run Alphalogic Techsys Ltd through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹13.55, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Alphalogic Techsys Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Alphalogic Techsys Ltd (ALPHALOGIC)?
The closing price on Oct 9, 2026 was ₹37.70. Our model-based fair value is ₹13.55, about −64% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Alphalogic Techsys Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹16.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Alphalogic Techsys Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Alphalogic Techsys Ltd (ALPHALOGIC)?
The market capitalisation of Alphalogic Techsys Ltd is ₹2.4B (≈ $24.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Alphalogic Techsys Ltd (ALPHALOGIC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Alphalogic Techsys Ltd is 4.59 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Alphalogic Techsys Ltd (ALPHALOGIC)?
Earnings per share at Alphalogic Techsys Ltd are ₹0.8100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 46.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Alphalogic Techsys Ltd (ALPHALOGIC)?
The net margin of Alphalogic Techsys Ltd is 9.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Alphalogic Techsys Ltd (ALPHALOGIC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Alphalogic Techsys Ltd is 12.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Alphalogic Techsys Ltd (ALPHALOGIC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Alphalogic Techsys Ltd is 9.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Alphalogic Techsys Ltd (ALPHALOGIC)?
The operating margin of Alphalogic Techsys Ltd is 17.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Alphalogic Techsys Ltd (ALPHALOGIC)?
Revenue at Alphalogic Techsys Ltd is growing −11.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +31.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Alphalogic Techsys Ltd (ALPHALOGIC)?
Earnings per share at Alphalogic Techsys Ltd are growing +3.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Alphalogic Techsys Ltd (ALPHALOGIC) generate?
The free cash flow of Alphalogic Techsys Ltd is −₹425M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Alphalogic Techsys Ltd (ALPHALOGIC) carry?
The net debt of Alphalogic Techsys Ltd is ₹450M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Alphalogic Techsys Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Alphalogic Techsys Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener.
