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Lucibel (ALUCI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Lucibel is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Jul 19, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · FR · ISIN FR0011884378

L Thin data Jul 19, 2026

Lucibel

ALUCI · PA

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value €3.33 · Fairly valued (−8%)
!Quality 22/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −14.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -30.7% net margin (TTM)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/7)
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 23 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€250.40 €2.00 Fair Value €3.33 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €2.00 – €250.40 · fair‑value band €3.03 – €3.80 · the €3.61 price screens above the €3.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Company profile

Lucibel SA designs, manufactures, and markets lighting products and solutions based on LED technology in France and internationally. It offers LiFi, a light-based internet access solution; Cronos, a light for well-being solution; and Lucibel.le Paris, light at the service of cosmetics solution.

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Lucibel SA designs, manufactures, and markets lighting products and solutions based on LED technology in France and internationally. It offers LiFi, a light-based internet access solution; Cronos, a light for well-being solution; and Lucibel.le Paris, light at the service of cosmetics solution. It serves offices, education, health, shops, large scale stores, industry, logistics, and museums, luxury boutiques. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Le Houlme, France.

Stock analysis

Lucibel (ALUCI) currently trades at €3.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.33, implying the stock looks roughly 8.3% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: €3.03 (bear) to €3.80 (bull), the price of €3.61 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Lucibel reported revenue of €6.3M in FY2024 versus €10.2M in FY2020, a compound −11.2%/yr. Reported net income was −€3.2M in FY2024.

Key figures

Market cap €840K · P/S ratio 0.13 · EPS (TTM) €−12.09 · Net margin −49.8% · Return on equity −261% · Return on assets (EBIT) −21.4% · Operating margin −19.3% · Revenue (TTM) €6.3M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 77% below its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −8%, ALUCI screens cheaper than that median.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 22/100

Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 8
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 6
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−29.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.1%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−20.1% (2019) → −33.3% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 553 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 22 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −21% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −31% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −19% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.15× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)23 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 58
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 23

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$492.80 HK$815.59 +66%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 80.50 CHF 29.71 −63%
Vertiv Holdings VRT $248.78 $179.08 −28%
Prysmian S.p.A PRY €122.35 €77.45 −37%
Legrand SA LR €134.60 €82.53 −39%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥88.20 ¥201.23 +128%
Hubbell Incorporated HUBB $463.70 $293.12 −37%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥54.05 ¥47.94 −11%
nVent Electric plc NVT $162.65 $43.54 −73%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 708,000 KRW 778,800 KRW +10%

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Lucibel · Fair Value
€3.33 −8%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lucibel Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALUCI

Frequently asked questions

Is Lucibel (ALUCI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €3.33 versus a price of €3.61, about −8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ALUCI?
Our model-based fair value for Lucibel is €3.33 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €3.61.
What is the quality score of ALUCI?
Lucibel has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lucibel (ALUCI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €3.33 (as of Jul 19, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario €3.03, optimistic scenario €3.80. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lucibel stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €3.33, about −8% upside versus a price of €3.61 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario €3.03, optimistic scenario €3.80. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lucibel (ALUCI)?
Lucibel reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €6.3M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Lucibel (ALUCI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lucibel it is €3.33 per share (as of Jul 19, 2026), against a price of €3.61. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lucibel stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jul 19, 2026, ALUCI trades above its calculated fair value: price €3.61, fair value €3.33, a gap of about −8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALUCI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€3.61); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€3.33). For Lucibel the two are €0.2765 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lucibel worth?
The market values Lucibel at about €840K (market capitalisation, as of Jul 19, 2026). Per share that is €3.61; our models calculate a fair value of €3.33 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALUCI?
Our models span a range for Lucibel: cautious scenario €3.03, base €3.33, optimistic €3.80 per share (as of Jul 19, 2026, price €3.61). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lucibel (ALUCI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lucibel (as of Jul 19, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 22/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALUCI from its 52-week high?
Lucibel trades at €3.61, about 77% below its 52-week high of €15.45 and 80% above the low of €2.00 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €3.33 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lucibel?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Vertiv Holdings, Prysmian S.p.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lucibel stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jul 19, 2026: price €3.61, calculated fair value €3.33 (−8%), Quality Score 22/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALUCI calculated?
We run Lucibel through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €3.33, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Lucibel itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lucibel (ALUCI)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €3.61. Our model-based fair value is €3.33, about −8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lucibel right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Lucibel

How large is the market capitalisation of Lucibel (ALUCI)?
The market capitalisation of Lucibel is €840K. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lucibel (ALUCI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lucibel is 0.13 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lucibel (ALUCI)?
Earnings per share at Lucibel are €−12.09. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Lucibel (ALUCI)?
The net margin of Lucibel is −49.8% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lucibel (ALUCI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lucibel is −261% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lucibel (ALUCI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lucibel is −21.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lucibel (ALUCI)?
The operating margin of Lucibel is −19.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lucibel (ALUCI)?
Revenue at Lucibel is growing −2.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Lucibel (ALUCI) generate?
The free cash flow of Lucibel is −€1.5M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Lucibel (ALUCI) carry?
The net debt of Lucibel is €2.6M (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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