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AMD Industries Limited (AMDIND) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹872M

AI AMD Industries Limited AMDIND · NSE
Price₹51.18
Fair Value₹42.92
Upside-16.1%
Quality45/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -1.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
Narrow moat 21/100
Evidence: Medium Range ₹23.70 – ₹62.15 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Share price +11.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 16% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (₹23.70 to ₹62.15). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹101.82 ₹17.14 Fair Value ₹42.92 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹17.14 – ₹101.82 · fair‑value band ₹23.70 – ₹62.15 · the ₹51.18 price screens above the ₹42.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

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Analysis

AMD Industries Limited (AMDIND) currently trades at ₹51.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹42.92, implying the stock looks roughly 16.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, AMD Industries Limited generated revenue of ₹2.8B at a net margin of -1.5%. Revenue grew 20.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.8%. Net debt stands at ₹651M. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹23.70 (bear case) to ₹62.15 (bull case); at ₹51.18, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -16%, AMDIND screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹44.03 ₹61.51 ₹83.18 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹41.56 ₹65.90 ₹93.65 74
Gordon GGM ₹5.83 ₹10.50 ₹14.45 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹43.65 ₹63.66 ₹90.02 38
5Y Revenue Exit ₹41.56 ₹65.59 ₹95.79 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹46.28 ₹74.33 ₹106.56 41
10Y Revenue Exit ₹40.76 ₹61.52 ₹88.57 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹44.64 ₹67.04 ₹96.01 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹5.83 ₹10.50 ₹14.45 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹5.83 ₹8.91 ₹11.22 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ₹54.83 ₹74.05 ₹93.28 54
EV/Revenue ₹42.63 ₹62.12 ₹81.61 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹39.88 ₹53.44 ₹79.77 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹44.03 ₹61.51 ₹83.18 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹41.56 ₹65.90 ₹93.65 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹65.59) versus Dividend Discount (₹8.91). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹2.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +20.0%
Net margin -1.5%
Return on equity -2.8%
Free cash flow ₹95.8M FY2026
Operating margin 3.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ₹-2.26
EPS growth (YoY) +3,399%
Net debt ₹651M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 25
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

AMD Industries Limited provides packing solutions in India and internationally. The company offers various types of crown caps, including PVC spun, moulded, and dry blend crown caps; double lip liner CSD closures; pet preforms; pet bottles; and jars for various edible items packed in glass and plastic bottles.

Full company description

AMD Industries Limited provides packing solutions in India and internationally. The company offers various types of crown caps, including PVC spun, moulded, and dry blend crown caps; double lip liner CSD closures; pet preforms; pet bottles; and jars for various edible items packed in glass and plastic bottles. It serves soft drinks, beverages, water, beer, liquor, and pharmaceutical industries. AMD Industries Limited was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in New Delhi, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

AMD Industries Limited reported revenue of ₹2.8B in FY2026 versus ₹2.1B in FY2022, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was −₹43.4M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹2.8B
Latest YoY
+2.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.9%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.1%
Revenue +7.7%/yr
FY22 ₹2.1B
FY23 ₹3.5B
FY24 ₹2.8B
FY25 ₹2.8B
FY26 ₹2.8B
Net income
FY22 ₹82.0M
FY23 ₹192M
FY24 −₹16.7M
FY25 ₹10.0M
FY26 −₹43.4M

AMDIND screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Stora Enso Oyj →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AMD Industries Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AMDIND

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 273 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −16% · Above median
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 20% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.12× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 12 · sector 10
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 21
HEALTH 94 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 42

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Stora Enso Oyj STER kr 101.90 kr 126.39 +24%
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 ¥29.10 ¥20.88 -28%
SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP 29.00 THB 16.12 THB -44%
AblePrint Technology Co 7734 2,850 TWD 661.69 TWD -77%
PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW 5,312 IDR 1,194 IDR -78%
Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 132.50 TWD 127.06 TWD -4%
Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO ₹206.82 ₹161.42 -22%
EPL Limited 500135 ₹222.25 ₹111.65 -50%
Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 15.15 TWD 23.17 TWD +53%
Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 19,330 KRW 31,473 KRW +63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is AMD Industries Limited (AMDIND) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹42.92 versus a price of ₹51.18, about −16% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AMDIND?
Our model-based fair value for AMD Industries Limited is ₹42.92 (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹51.18.
What is the quality score of AMDIND?
AMD Industries Limited has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of AMD Industries Limited (AMDIND)?
AMD Industries Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹2.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AMDIND?
The net profit margin of AMD Industries Limited is about -1.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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