AMG Critical Materials N.V (AMVMF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of AMG Critical Materials N.V $21.33, price $32.68, upside -34.7%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.03 – $53.03 · fair‑value band $11.91 – $30.75 · the $32.68 price screens above the $21.33 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
AMG Critical Materials N.V., together with its subsidiaries, develops, produces, and sells energy storage materials in the United States, China, Germany, France, Japan, Brazil, Africa, and internationally. It operates through three segments: AMG Lithium, AMG Vanadium, and AMG Technologies.
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AMG Critical Materials N.V., together with its subsidiaries, develops, produces, and sells energy storage materials in the United States, China, Germany, France, Japan, Brazil, Africa, and internationally. It operates through three segments: AMG Lithium, AMG Vanadium, and AMG Technologies. The company extracts spodumene; and produces technical-grade lithium carbonate and battery-grade lithium hydroxide. It also engages in the recycling of vanadium from oil refining residues; and production of ferrovanadium, custom master alloys and coating materials, titanium aluminides, chromium metals, and specialty products. In addition, the company offers equipment engineering to the aerospace engine sector; designs, engineers, and produces advanced vacuum furnace systems; provides LIVA hybrid energy storage system for industrial applications; and produces high-purity natural graphite, as well as antimony trioxide from base forms of antimony metal. It serves transportation, energy, infrastructure, and specialty metals and chemicals industries. The company was formerly known as AMG Advanced Metallurgical Group N.V. and changed its name to AMG Critical Materials N.V. in May 2023. AMG Critical Materials N.V. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Stock analysis
AMG Critical Materials N.V (AMVMF) currently trades at $32.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $21.33, 34.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $24.48 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the $32.68 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $4.56, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $11.91 (bear) to $30.75 (bull), the price of $32.68 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
AMG Critical Materials N.V reported revenue of $1.8B in FY2025 versus $1.2B in FY2021, a compound +10.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$19.4M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $1.5B · P/S ratio 0.86 · EPS (TTM) $−0.3700 · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin −1.1% · Return on equity −1.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.5% · Operating margin 8.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −35%, AMVMF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $11.91Fair Value $21.33Bull $30.75
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+23.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.2% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1.0% (2020) → 5.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare AMG Critical Materials N.V with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 354 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Above median
Fair Value upside−11.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets5.2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)−0.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)8.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth15.0% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.4% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.38× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
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Is AMG Critical Materials N.V (AMVMF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $21.33 versus a price of $32.68, about −35% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AMVMF?
Our model-based fair value for AMG Critical Materials N.V is $21.33 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $32.68.
What is the quality score of AMVMF?
AMG Critical Materials N.V has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AMG Critical Materials N.V (AMVMF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $21.33 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario $11.91, optimistic scenario $30.75. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AMG Critical Materials N.V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $21.33, about −35% upside versus a price of $32.68 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $11.91, optimistic scenario $30.75. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AMG Critical Materials N.V (AMVMF)?
AMG Critical Materials N.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does AMG Critical Materials N.V pay a dividend?
AMG Critical Materials N.V currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.44% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of AMG Critical Materials N.V (AMVMF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AMG Critical Materials N.V it is $21.33 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $32.68. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is AMG Critical Materials N.V stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, AMVMF trades above its calculated fair value: price $32.68, fair value $21.33, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AMVMF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($32.68); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($21.33). For AMG Critical Materials N.V the two are $11.35 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AMG Critical Materials N.V worth?
The market values AMG Critical Materials N.V at about $1.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $32.68; our models calculate a fair value of $21.33 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AMVMF?
Our models span a range for AMG Critical Materials N.V: cautious scenario $11.91, base $21.33, optimistic $30.75 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $32.68). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of AMG Critical Materials N.V (AMVMF)?
Balance-sheet figures for AMG Critical Materials N.V (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −1.3%, debt of 1.38 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AMVMF from its 52-week high?
AMG Critical Materials N.V trades at $32.68, about 34% below its 52-week high of $49.22 and 19% above the low of $27.43 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $21.33 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AMG Critical Materials N.V?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AMG Critical Materials N.V stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $32.68, calculated fair value $21.33 (−35%), Quality Score 45/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AMVMF calculated?
We run AMG Critical Materials N.V through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $21.33, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. AMG Critical Materials N.V itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AMG Critical Materials N.V (AMVMF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $32.68. Our model-based fair value is $21.33, about −35% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AMG Critical Materials N.V right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($30.75). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($11.91 to $30.75) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of AMG Critical Materials N.V
How large is the market capitalisation of AMG Critical Materials N.V (AMVMF)?
The market capitalisation of AMG Critical Materials N.V is $1.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AMG Critical Materials N.V (AMVMF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AMG Critical Materials N.V is 0.86 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of AMG Critical Materials N.V (AMVMF)?
Earnings per share at AMG Critical Materials N.V are $−0.3700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of AMG Critical Materials N.V (AMVMF)?
The dividend yield of AMG Critical Materials N.V is 1.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of AMG Critical Materials N.V (AMVMF)?
The net margin of AMG Critical Materials N.V is −1.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AMG Critical Materials N.V (AMVMF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AMG Critical Materials N.V is −1.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AMG Critical Materials N.V (AMVMF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AMG Critical Materials N.V is 7.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AMG Critical Materials N.V (AMVMF)?
The operating margin of AMG Critical Materials N.V is 8.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AMG Critical Materials N.V (AMVMF)?
Revenue at AMG Critical Materials N.V is growing +15.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at AMG Critical Materials N.V (AMVMF)?
Earnings per share at AMG Critical Materials N.V are growing +140% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does AMG Critical Materials N.V (AMVMF) generate?
The free cash flow of AMG Critical Materials N.V is −$19.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does AMG Critical Materials N.V (AMVMF) carry?
The net debt of AMG Critical Materials N.V is $582M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 24, 2026