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Alps Alpine Co (APELY) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $2.6B

AA Alps Alpine Co logo Alps Alpine Co APELY · US
Price$26.50
Fair Value$36.23
Upside+36.7%
Quality66/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 2.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.04% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (7/11)
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: High Range $27.17 – $45.28 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $42.79 to $36.23 (−15.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +10.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 37% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($27.17). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$30.20 $11.83 Fair Value $36.23 Feb 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $11.83 – $30.20 · fair‑value band $27.17 – $45.28 · the $26.50 price screens below the $36.23 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Alps Alpine Co (APELY) currently trades at $26.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $36.23, implying the stock looks roughly 36.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Alps Alpine Co generated revenue of $1.0T at a net margin of 2.6%. Revenue grew 3.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $61.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $27.17 (bear case) to $45.28 (bull case); at $26.50, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at 37%, APELY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $42.57 $55.69 $72.68 80
Rev-Margin DCF $34.49 $47.44 $61.27 74
ROIC Compounder $21.60 $24.02 $26.12 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $41.60 $55.69 $74.70 38
Owner Earnings $17.88 $22.52 $28.79 31
5Y Revenue Exit $34.49 $46.91 $61.93 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $46.58 $68.23 $92.18 41
5Y P/E Exit $34.35 $46.66 $58.69 38
10Y Revenue Exit $36.25 $47.62 $61.20 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $44.31 $61.64 $82.57 37
10Y P/E Exit $36.86 $47.45 $58.90 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $12.32 $27.35 $34.92 54
PEG = 1.0 $4.40 $6.29 $8.17 46
EPV $21.60 $24.02 $26.12 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $27.17 $36.23 $45.29 63
P/S Multiple $23.10 $30.80 $38.49 58
P/B Multiple $23.10 $30.80 $38.49 55
EV/EBIT $44.20 $56.87 $69.53 53
EV/EBITDA $55.97 $72.56 $89.15 54
EV/Revenue $31.82 $42.80 $53.77 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $14.28 $19.14 $28.57 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $42.57 $55.69 $72.68 80
Rev-Margin DCF $34.49 $47.44 $61.27 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $22.38 $23.10 $23.42 61
ROIC Compounder $21.60 $24.02 $26.12 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $20.30 $29.01 $37.71 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($47.45) versus Asset-Based ($19.14). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.0T
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.4%
Net margin 2.6%
Return on equity 6.3%
Free cash flow $55.5B FY2026
P/E ratio 15.5
More key figures
Operating margin 3.0%
EPS (TTM) $1.69
Dividend yield 3.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -89.0%
Net cash $61.6B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 72
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Alps Alpine Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells electronic components in Japan, China, the United States, South Korea, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Component, Sensor and Communication, and Module and System.

Full company description

Alps Alpine Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells electronic components in Japan, China, the United States, South Korea, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Component, Sensor and Communication, and Module and System. The company offers TACT switches, potentiometers, HAPTIC reactors, actuators, microfluidic device, and aspherical glass lens for automobiles, consumer appliances, mobile phones and video games. It also provides current, pressure, millimeter-wave, and magnetic sensors; and remote and analog meter monitoring systems, communication modules, and capacitive sensing modules for automotive, consumer, and industrial machinery markets. In addition, the company integrated displays, sound systems, electric shifters, power window switches, cabin controllers, functional surfaces, amplifiers and speakers, alpine premium sound systems, and customized car products. Further, it provides systems development, office, and financing and leasing services, as well as solution for car rental operators. The company was formerly known as Alps Electric Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Alps Alpine Co., Ltd. in January 2019. Alps Alpine Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1948 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Alps Alpine Co reported revenue of $1.1T in FY2026 versus $803B in FY2022, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was $28.5B in FY2026, compounding +5.6%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 72/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$1.1T
Latest YoY
+9.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.5%
Avg. growth/yr (28Y)
+2.8%
Revenue +7.7%/yr
FY22 $803B
FY23 $933B
FY24 $964B
FY25 $990B
FY26 $1.1T
Net income +5.6%/yr
FY22 $23.0B
FY23 $11.5B
FY24 −$29.8B
FY25 $37.8B
FY26 $28.5B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alps Alpine Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/APELY

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +37% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.0% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.13× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 82 · sector 0
FUTURE 17 · sector 32
PAST 25 · sector 24
HEALTH 94 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 61 · sector 25

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,880 TWD 515.23 TWD -73%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 242.50 TWD 270.47 TWD +12%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥62.14 ¥38.44 -38%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,260,000 KRW 166,421 KRW -87%
Elite Material Co 2383 4,990 TWD 714.36 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 699.00 TWD 216.55 TWD -69%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.29 ¥27.45 -79%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥364.00 ¥93.50 -74%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$297.00 HK$103.98 -65%
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 ¥127.80 ¥31.95 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Alps Alpine Co (APELY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $36.23 versus a price of $26.50, about +37% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of APELY?
Our model-based fair value for Alps Alpine Co is $36.23 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $26.50.
What is the quality score of APELY?
Alps Alpine Co has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Alps Alpine Co (APELY)?
Alps Alpine Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.0T (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of APELY?
The net profit margin of Alps Alpine Co is about 2.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Alps Alpine Co pay a dividend?
Alps Alpine Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.04% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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