AQ Group (AQ) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap 18.8B SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +1.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 25% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 193.44). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 40.30 – kr 242.00 · fair‑value band kr 113.01 – kr 193.44 · the kr 207.60 price screens above the kr 154.75 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
AQ Group (AQ) currently trades at kr 207.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 154.75, implying the stock looks roughly 25.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, AQ Group generated revenue of 9.1B SEK at a net margin of 7.5%. Revenue declined 13.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 427M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 113.01 (bear case) to kr 193.44 (bull case); at kr 207.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -25%, AQ screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 185.85) versus Asset-Based (kr 34.09). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
AQ Group AB (publ) develops, manufactures, and assembles components and systems for industrial customers in Sweden, Finland, Germany, the United States, China, France, Poland, China, Italy, the Netherlands, India, Canada, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Component and System.
Full company description
AQ Group AB (publ) develops, manufactures, and assembles components and systems for industrial customers in Sweden, Finland, Germany, the United States, China, France, Poland, China, Italy, the Netherlands, India, Canada, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Component and System. The company offers electric cabinets for food processing, control and power equipment for ship cranes, control equipment for automated handling of goods in ports, and monitoring and control systems for motors and generators; and wiring systems and electromechanical modules for the railway, car, truck, bus, engine, agriculture and forestry, construction and mining, material handling, and general engineering industries. It also provides thermoplastic parts for the automotive, medical, telecom, and engineering industries; and contract manufacturing services for sheet metal components and sheet metal design for commercial vehicles, off-road equipment, electric power, railway, and medical industries. In addition, the company offers machines and automats, including medtech skids, ticket machines for parking lots and travel tickets, automatic teller machines, packaging machines, printers, and passport machines; and transformers and inductors for use in various applications comprising motor drives, rail transport and trackside equipment, solar and wind energy, marine and offshore, relay protection systems, military equipment, airplanes, and equipment for process automation. Further, it provides system solutions for the defense, aerospace, and industrial industries; technical consulting and prototypes; inductive components comprising reactors, filters, and copper parts; and mechanical engineering services for sheet metal and plastic designs. The company was formerly known as Aros Quality Group AB and changed its name to AQ Group AB (publ) in May 2012. AQ Group AB (publ) was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Västerås, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
AQ Group reported revenue of kr 9.1B in FY2025 versus kr 5.5B in FY2021, a compound +13.5%/yr. Reported net income was kr 676M in FY2025, compounding +16.6%/yr from FY2021.
AQ screens 25% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →
Peer Group
Electrical Equipment & Parts · 528 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 | HK$675.50 | HK$391.44 | -42% |
| ABB Ltd ABBN | CHF 83.82 | CHF 35.46 | -58% |
| Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED | 10.16 SGD | 1.47 SGD | -86% |
| LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 | 334,000 KRW | 201,455 KRW | -40% |
| WEG S.A WEGE3 | 13,210 ARS | 7,948 ARS | -40% |
| Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 | ¥114.79 | ¥123.83 | +8% |
| Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 | ¥63.43 | ¥33.04 | -48% |
| HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 | 823,000 KRW | 371,133 KRW | -55% |
| LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 | 190,000 KRW | 31,517 KRW | -83% |
| Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 | ¥151.73 | ¥71.69 | -53% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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