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American Riviera Bancorp (ARBV) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $151M

AR American Riviera Bancorp logo American Riviera Bancorp ARBV · US
Price$30.81
Fair Value$28.14
Upside-8.7%
Quality58/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 26.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Wide moat 66/100
Evidence: High Range $21.10 – $35.17 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price +10.1% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$31.99 $10.45 Fair Value $28.14 Sep 2018 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $10.45 – $31.99 · fair‑value band $21.10 – $35.17 · the $30.81 price screens above the $28.14 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

American Riviera Bancorp (ARBV) currently trades at $30.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $28.14, implying the stock looks roughly 8.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, American Riviera Bancorp generated revenue of $53.0M at a net margin of 26.5%. Revenue grew 23.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.4%. Net debt stands at $5.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $21.10 (bear case) to $35.17 (bull case); at $30.81, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -9%, ARBV screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $17.41 $18.48 $20.08 76
P/E Multiple $21.10 $28.14 $35.17 63
P/B Multiple $23.31 $31.08 $38.85 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $21.10 $28.14 $35.17 63
P/B Multiple $23.31 $31.08 $38.85 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $11.10 $14.88 $22.20 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $17.41 $18.48 $20.08 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($28.14) versus Asset-Based ($14.88). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $53.0M
Revenue growth (YoY) +23.0%
Net margin 26.5%
Return on equity 11.4%
Free cash flow $9.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 10.6
More key figures
Operating margin 36.3%
EPS (TTM) $2.47
EPS growth (YoY) +72.7%
Net debt $5.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 86

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 5
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 95
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 74
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 94
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

American Riviera Bancorp provides a range of community banking products and services for businesses and consumers in California. The company provides checking, savings, money market, and individual retirement accounts; and certificates of deposit.

Full company description

American Riviera Bancorp provides a range of community banking products and services for businesses and consumers in California. The company provides checking, savings, money market, and individual retirement accounts; and certificates of deposit. It offers various loan products, such as auto, boat/airplane, portfolio, fixed rate mortgage, jumbo, commercial real estate, lines of credit, agriculture, construction, and bridge loans; and long term financing, as well as asset-based and home equity loans. In addition, the company offers online banking, mobile banking, deposit capture, payment, collection, wire transfer, fraud control, business debit and credit card, merchant, lock box, digital wallet, and automated teller machines services. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Santa Barbara, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

American Riviera Bancorp reported revenue of $51.4M in FY2025 versus $42.7M in FY2021, a compound +4.8%/yr. Reported net income was $12.4M in FY2025, compounding +1.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$51.4M
Latest YoY
+13.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.0%
Revenue +4.8%/yr
FY21 $42.7M
FY22 $50.2M
FY23 $46.8M
FY24 $45.3M
FY25 $51.4M
Net income +1.3%/yr
FY21 $11.8M
FY22 $13.5M
FY23 $10.5M
FY24 $8.7M
FY25 $12.4M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "American Riviera Bancorp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ARBV

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −9% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 27% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 36% · Below median
Revenue growth 23% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.13× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.18× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.85× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 16.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 22 · sector 39
FUTURE 100 · sector 44
PAST 46 · sector 41
HEALTH 94 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is American Riviera Bancorp (ARBV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $28.14 versus a price of $30.81, about −9% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ARBV?
Our model-based fair value for American Riviera Bancorp is $28.14 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $30.81.
What is the quality score of ARBV?
American Riviera Bancorp has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of American Riviera Bancorp (ARBV)?
American Riviera Bancorp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $53.0M (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ARBV?
The net profit margin of American Riviera Bancorp is about 26.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 26.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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