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Ascletis Pharma Inc (ASCLF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Ascletis Pharma Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Healthcare · US · ISIN KYG0520K1094

AP Ascletis Pharma Inc logo Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Ascletis Pharma Inc

ASCLF · US

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value $1.81 · Undervalued (+50%)
!Quality 50/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −43.7 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 7/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$2.50 $0.0004 Fair Value $1.81 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0004 – $2.50 · fair‑value band $1.19 – $2.26 · the $1.21 price screens below the $1.81 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Ascletis Pharma Inc., a biotechnology company, engages in the research and development, manufacture, marketing, and sale of pharmaceutical products in Mainland China. The company's commercial products include Ritonavir tablet; and ASCLEVIR and GANOVO for use in the treatment of Hepatitis C virus.

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Ascletis Pharma Inc., a biotechnology company, engages in the research and development, manufacture, marketing, and sale of pharmaceutical products in Mainland China. The company's commercial products include Ritonavir tablet; and ASCLEVIR and GANOVO for use in the treatment of Hepatitis C virus. It is also developing ASC22 for treating CHB and HIV functional cure; ASC10 for treating respiratory syncytia virus; ASC10 and ASC11 to treat COVID-19; ASC40, ASC41, and ASC43F FDC for non-alcoholic steatohepatitis; and ASC42 for the treatment of primary biliary cholangitis. In addition, the company is developing ASC40 to treat recurrent glioblastoma; ASC61 for advanced solid tumors; and ASC40, an oral small molecule for the treatment of acne. Further, it offers ASC30, for obesity; ASC47 for muscle-preserving weight loss treatment; and ASC39, a potent and amylin-selective oral small molecule amylin receptor agonist. Ascletis Pharma Inc. was founded in 2013 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Ascletis Pharma Inc (ASCLF) currently trades at $1.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.81, implying the stock looks roughly 33.2% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $1.23 per share, and 1 of the 3 models we run sit above the $1.21 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.4600, and 2 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $1.19 (bear) to $2.26 (bull), the price of $1.21 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Ascletis Pharma Inc reported revenue of 2.0M CNY in FY2025 versus 76.9M CNY in FY2021, a compound −60.0%/yr. Reported net income was −351M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $1.4B · EPS (TTM) $−0.0500 · Dividend yield 4.1% · Return on equity −18.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −13.9% · Operating margin −31,064% · Revenue (TTM) $2.0M · Revenue growth (YoY) −26.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 25 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at 50%, ASCLF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.19 Fair Value $1.81 Bull $2.26
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $0.4300 $0.4600 $0.5100 69
DDM Multi-Stage $0.4300 $0.5100 $0.6100 67
NCAV (Graham) $0.9200 $1.23 $1.84 51
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.4300 $0.4600 $0.5100 69
DDM Multi-Stage $0.4300 $0.5100 $0.6100 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.9200 $1.23 $1.84 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+54.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−66.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−43.7%
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−26.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−620.3% (2020) → −23,854.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 645 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Above median
Fair Value upside +41% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −14% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −26% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.1% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.73× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $515.44 $566.98 +10%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $781.49 $1,241 +59%
argenx SE ARGX €853.80 €752.12 −12%
BeOne Medicines AG 688235 ¥247.30 ¥124.62 −50%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,415,000 KRW 1,556,500 KRW +10%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $248.68 $211.88 −15%
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $58.61 $24.22 −59%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 178,200 KRW 74,519 KRW −58%
BioNTech SE BNTX $96.73 $63.31 −35%
Incyte Corporation INCY $121.47 $204.93 +69%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ascletis Pharma Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ASCLF

Frequently asked questions

Is Ascletis Pharma Inc (ASCLF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.81 versus a price of $1.21, about +50% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ASCLF?
Our model-based fair value for Ascletis Pharma Inc is $1.81 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.21.
What is the quality score of ASCLF?
Ascletis Pharma Inc has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ascletis Pharma Inc (ASCLF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.81 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.19, optimistic scenario $2.26. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ascletis Pharma Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.81, about +50% upside versus a price of $1.21 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $1.19, optimistic scenario $2.26. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ascletis Pharma Inc (ASCLF)?
Ascletis Pharma Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Ascletis Pharma Inc pay a dividend?
Ascletis Pharma Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.06% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ascletis Pharma Inc (ASCLF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ascletis Pharma Inc it is $1.81 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $1.21. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ascletis Pharma Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, ASCLF trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.21, fair value $1.81, a gap of about +50% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ASCLF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.21); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.81). For Ascletis Pharma Inc the two are $0.6000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ascletis Pharma Inc worth?
The market values Ascletis Pharma Inc at about $1.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $1.21; our models calculate a fair value of $1.81 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ASCLF?
Our models span a range for Ascletis Pharma Inc: cautious scenario $1.19, base $1.81, optimistic $2.26 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price $1.21). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ascletis Pharma Inc (ASCLF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ascletis Pharma Inc (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −18.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ASCLF from its 52-week high?
Ascletis Pharma Inc trades at $1.21, about 52% below its 52-week high of $2.50 and 30% above the low of $0.9285 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.81 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ascletis Pharma Inc?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, argenx SE, BeOne Medicines AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ascletis Pharma Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $1.21, calculated fair value $1.81 (+50%), Quality Score 50/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ASCLF calculated?
We run Ascletis Pharma Inc through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.81, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Ascletis Pharma Inc currently trades 50 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Ascletis Pharma Inc right now?
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($1.19 to $2.26) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Ascletis Pharma Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Ascletis Pharma Inc (ASCLF)?
The market capitalisation of Ascletis Pharma Inc is $1.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Ascletis Pharma Inc (ASCLF)?
Earnings per share at Ascletis Pharma Inc are $−0.0500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ascletis Pharma Inc (ASCLF)?
The dividend yield of Ascletis Pharma Inc is 4.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the return on equity of Ascletis Pharma Inc (ASCLF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ascletis Pharma Inc is −18.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ascletis Pharma Inc (ASCLF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ascletis Pharma Inc is −13.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ascletis Pharma Inc (ASCLF)?
The operating margin of Ascletis Pharma Inc is −31,064% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ascletis Pharma Inc (ASCLF)?
Revenue at Ascletis Pharma Inc is growing −26.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −66.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Ascletis Pharma Inc (ASCLF) generate?
The free cash flow of Ascletis Pharma Inc is −$331M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Ascletis Pharma Inc (ASCLF) hold?
Ascletis Pharma Inc holds more cash than debt, $1.4B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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