ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ (ASIANTNE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ ₹6.56, price ₹8.60, upside -23.7%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹8.60 – ₹33.10 · fair‑value band ₹4.59 – ₹8.53 · the ₹8.60 price screens above the ₹6.56 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ (ASIANTNE) currently trades at ₹8.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹6.56, 23.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹29.14 per share, and 11 of the 23 models we run sit above the ₹8.60 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹1.53, and 12 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹4.59 (bear) to ₹8.53 (bull), the price of ₹8.60 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Staples sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ reported revenue of ₹685M in FY2026 versus ₹815M in FY2022, a compound −4.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹5.7M in FY2026, compounding −33.2%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹233M (≈ $2.4M) · P/E ratio 37.4 · P/S ratio 0.31 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.2300 · Net margin 0.8% · Return on equity 0.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.3% · Revenue (TTM) ₹685M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Staples peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −24%, ASIANTNE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹4.59Fair Value ₹6.56Bull ₹8.53
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.1172 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+28.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−36.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−36.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 0%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 29.3%/yr over ~5Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−18.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −21.3% a year for the price.
Compare ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Agricultural Products” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Consumer Staples · 1683 stocks
Beats the sector median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside−23.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0.8% · Below median
Return on assets0.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)0.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Staples median · lower = cheaper
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Is ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ (ASIANTNE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹6.56 versus a price of ₹8.60, about −24% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ASIANTNE?
Our model-based fair value for ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ is ₹6.56 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹8.60.
What is the quality score of ASIANTNE?
ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ (ASIANTNE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹6.56 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹4.59, optimistic scenario ₹8.53. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹6.56, about −24% upside versus a price of ₹8.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹4.59, optimistic scenario ₹8.53. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ (ASIANTNE)?
ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹685M (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ (ASIANTNE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ would have to grow free cash flow by -18.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -10.3 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ASIANTNE use?
Our models discount ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.21, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ that is -18.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ (ASIANTNE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ grew -10.3 % a year. The price currently implies -18.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
What is the free cash flow yield of ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ (ASIANTNE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 41.81 %: that much free cash flow ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ (ASIANTNE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ it is ₹6.56 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of ₹8.60. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, ASIANTNE trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹8.60, fair value ₹6.56, a gap of about −24% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ASIANTNE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹8.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹6.56). For ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ the two are ₹2.04 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ worth?
The market values ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ at about ₹233M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is ₹8.60; our models calculate a fair value of ₹6.56 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ASIANTNE?
Our models span a range for ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$: cautious scenario ₹4.59, base ₹6.56, optimistic ₹8.53 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price ₹8.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ASIANTNE?
ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 37.4 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹6.56 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 43.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ (ASIANTNE)?
Balance-sheet figures for ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 0.8%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ASIANTNE from its 52-week high?
ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ trades at ₹8.60, about 28% below its 52-week high of ₹11.88 and at the low of ₹8.60 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹6.56 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$?
From the same area (Consumer Staples) we also value CIANAGRO, TERAI, HEALTHYLIFE, AMBOAGRI, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price ₹8.60, calculated fair value ₹6.56 (−24%), Quality Score 51/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ASIANTNE calculated?
We run ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹6.56, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ (ASIANTNE)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹8.60. Our model-based fair value is ₹6.56, about −24% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹4.59 to ₹8.53) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$
How large is the market capitalisation of ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ (ASIANTNE)?
The market capitalisation of ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ is ₹233M (≈ $2.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ (ASIANTNE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ is 0.31 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ (ASIANTNE)?
Earnings per share at ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ are ₹0.2300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 37.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ (ASIANTNE)?
The net margin of ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ is 0.8% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ (ASIANTNE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ is 0.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ (ASIANTNE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ is 0.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ (ASIANTNE)?
Revenue at ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ is growing +1.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +26.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ (ASIANTNE)?
Earnings per share at ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ are growing +7.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ (ASIANTNE) carry?
The net debt of ASIAN TEA & EXPORTS LTD.-$ is ₹140M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 1.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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