TERAI TEA CO.LTD. (TERAI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 23, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of TERAI TEA CO.LTD. stock ₹120, price ₹128, upside -6.5%, quality 51 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?No
Good quality?Yes
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹40.70 – ₹208.15 · fair‑value band ₹83.81 – ₹155.66 · the ₹128.00 price screens above the ₹119.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 24, 2026.
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TERAI TEA CO.LTD. (TERAI) currently trades at ₹128.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹119.74, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 6.9%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of ₹164.64 per share, and 4 of the 8 models we run sit above the ₹128.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹44.06, and 4 of the 8 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹83.81 (bear) to ₹155.66 (bull), the price of ₹128.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Staples sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
TERAI TEA CO.LTD. reported revenue of ₹887M in FY2025 versus ₹732M in FY2021, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹51.8M in FY2025, compounding −16.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap ₹881M (≈ $9.3M) Micro · P/E ratio 7.8 · P/S ratio 0.45 · EPS (TTM) ₹16.46 · Net margin 5.8% · Return on equity 3.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.6% · Operating margin 32.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Staples peers we cover trades at 21% fair-value upside, at −6%, TERAI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear₹83.81Fair Value ₹119.74Bull₹155.66
Price ₹128.00 · Upside -6.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹13.44 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.34/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−7.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−7.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−7.9% vs 8.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−12% → −6%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.2%/yr over ~7Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Agricultural Products” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Consumer Staples · 1699 stocks
Beats the sector median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside−6.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)3.2% · Below median
Return on assets2.4% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)10.5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)32.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−78.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.09× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Staples median · lower = cheaper
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Is TERAI TEA CO.LTD. (TERAI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹119.74 versus a price of ₹128.00, about −6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of TERAI?
Our model-based fair value for TERAI TEA CO.LTD. is ₹119.74 (as of Oct 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹128.00.
What is the quality score of TERAI?
TERAI TEA CO.LTD. has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TERAI TEA CO.LTD. (TERAI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹119.74 (as of Oct 24, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹83.81, optimistic scenario ₹155.66. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TERAI TEA CO.LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹119.74, about −6% upside versus a price of ₹128.00 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ₹83.81, optimistic scenario ₹155.66. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TERAI TEA CO.LTD. (TERAI)?
TERAI TEA CO.LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹659M (latest available figure, as of Oct 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of TERAI TEA CO.LTD. (TERAI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TERAI TEA CO.LTD. it is ₹119.74 per share (as of Oct 24, 2026), against a price of ₹128.00. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TERAI TEA CO.LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 24, 2026, TERAI trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹128.00, fair value ₹119.74, a gap of about −6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TERAI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹128.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹119.74). For TERAI TEA CO.LTD. the two are ₹8.26 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TERAI TEA CO.LTD. worth?
The market values TERAI TEA CO.LTD. at about ₹881M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹128.00; our models calculate a fair value of ₹119.74 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TERAI?
Our models span a range for TERAI TEA CO.LTD.: cautious scenario ₹83.81, base ₹119.74, optimistic ₹155.66 per share (as of Oct 24, 2026, price ₹128.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TERAI?
TERAI TEA CO.LTD. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.8 (as of Oct 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹119.74 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 1.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of TERAI TEA CO.LTD. (TERAI)?
Balance-sheet figures for TERAI TEA CO.LTD. (as of Oct 24, 2026): return on equity 3.2%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TERAI from its 52-week high?
TERAI TEA CO.LTD. trades at ₹128.00, about 24% below its 52-week high of ₹168.45 and 40% above the low of ₹91.50 (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹119.74 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TERAI TEA CO.LTD.?
From the same area (Consumer Staples) we also value CIANAGRO, NEAGI, 540401, NAGTECH, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TERAI TEA CO.LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 24, 2026: price ₹128.00, calculated fair value ₹119.74 (−6%), Quality Score 51/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TERAI calculated?
We run TERAI TEA CO.LTD. through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹119.74, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.3 % above its aggregate fair value. TERAI TEA CO.LTD. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TERAI TEA CO.LTD. (TERAI)?
The closing price on Oct 23, 2026 was ₹128.00. Our model-based fair value is ₹119.74, about −6% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TERAI TEA CO.LTD. right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (₹83.81 to ₹155.66) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of TERAI TEA CO.LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of TERAI TEA CO.LTD. (TERAI)?
The market capitalisation of TERAI TEA CO.LTD. is ₹881M (≈ $9.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TERAI TEA CO.LTD. (TERAI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TERAI TEA CO.LTD. is 0.45 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TERAI TEA CO.LTD. (TERAI)?
Earnings per share at TERAI TEA CO.LTD. are ₹16.46 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of TERAI TEA CO.LTD. (TERAI)?
The net margin of TERAI TEA CO.LTD. is 5.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TERAI TEA CO.LTD. (TERAI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TERAI TEA CO.LTD. is 3.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TERAI TEA CO.LTD. (TERAI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TERAI TEA CO.LTD. is −1.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TERAI TEA CO.LTD. (TERAI)?
The operating margin of TERAI TEA CO.LTD. is 32.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TERAI TEA CO.LTD. (TERAI)?
Revenue at TERAI TEA CO.LTD. is growing −78.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at TERAI TEA CO.LTD. (TERAI)?
Earnings per share at TERAI TEA CO.LTD. are growing +34.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does TERAI TEA CO.LTD. (TERAI) generate?
The free cash flow of TERAI TEA CO.LTD. is −₹55.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does TERAI TEA CO.LTD. (TERAI) carry?
The net debt of TERAI TEA CO.LTD. is ₹379M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 24, 2026