Australian Strategic Materials Ltd (ASMMF) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $249M
Australian Strategic Materials Ltd
ASMMF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 9 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $1.38 to $0.4000 (−71.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −24.8% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $0.3268 – $1.52 · fair‑value band $0.2600 – $0.5000 · the $0.6700 price screens above the $0.4000 fair value. As of Jul 14, 2026.
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Australian Strategic Materials Ltd (ASMMF) currently trades at $0.6700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4000, implying the stock looks roughly 40.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $10.1M. Revenue grew 227.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $5.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.2600 (bear case) to $0.5000 (bull case); at $0.6700, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and 105% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -40%, ASMMF screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Australian Strategic Materials Ltd operates as an integrated producer of critical metals for technologies in Australia. It holds interest in the Dubbo project, which contains rare earths, zirconium, niobium, and hafnium located in central-western New South Wales. The company also constructs and operates Korean metals plant located in Ochang, South Korea. It serves advanced manufacturing, defense, electric vehicles, wind turbines, semiconductors, medical devices, robotics, and sustainable energy industries. The company was formerly known as Australian Zirconia Holdings Pty Ltd and changed its name to Australian Strategic Materials Ltd in March 2020. Australian Strategic Materials Ltd was founded in 2000 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Australian Strategic Materials Ltd reported revenue of $5.1M in FY2025 versus $1.4M in FY2021, a compound +38.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$24.6M in FY2025.
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| Fortescue Ltd FSUMF | $14.80 | $15.72 | +6% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥77.95 | ¥4.90 | -94% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹573.20 | ₹649.37 | +13% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥49.66 | ¥17.16 | -65% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.