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ASMPT Limited (ASMVF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of ASMPT Limited $2.54, price $20.62, upside -87.7%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Thin data
Oct 3, 2026
Thin data
Oct 3, 2026
ASMPT Limited
ASMVF · USStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value $2.54 · Strongly overvalued (−87.7%)
!Quality 52/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.3% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 38/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.94 – $22.60 · fair‑value band $1.96 – $3.18 · the $20.62 price screens above the $2.54 fair value. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
ASMPT Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the design, manufacture, and marketing of machines, tools, and materials used in the semiconductor and electronics assembly industries internationally. The company operates in two segments: Semiconductor Solutions and Surface Mount Technology Solutions.
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ASMPT Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the design, manufacture, and marketing of machines, tools, and materials used in the semiconductor and electronics assembly industries internationally. The company operates in two segments: Semiconductor Solutions and Surface Mount Technology Solutions. The company offers ASMPT semiconductor solutions includes advanced packing, such as laser dicing & grooving, fan out, hybrid bonding, thermos compress bonding, and die bonding; IC and discrete, including silver sintering, wire bonding, metrology, encapsulation, and singulation, trim & form; CMOS image sensor, such as inline solution, lens holder attach, curing, automated optical inspection, cleaning, active alignment, and test and calibration; and LED/ Photonics, includes FOL. It also offers ASMP SMT solutions, includes printing, inspection, placement, storage, and software. In addition, the company offers critical manufacturing of IoT data platforms. Further, it provides agency and logistics services. The company was formerly known as ASM Pacific Technology Limited and changed its name to ASMPT Limited in June 2022. ASMPT Limited was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Stock analysis
ASMPT Limited (ASMVF) currently trades at $20.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.54, 87.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $6.49 per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the $20.62 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.9900, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $1.96 (bear) to $3.18 (bull), the price of $20.62 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
ASMPT Limited reported revenue of HK$13.7B in FY2025 versus HK$21.9B in FY2021, a compound −11.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$902M in FY2025, compounding −27.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $9.3B · P/E ratio 62.5 · P/S ratio 4.10 · EPS (TTM) $0.3300 · Dividend yield 2.6% · Net margin 6.6% · Return on equity 6.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 109% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −88%, ASMVF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($0.9900 to $7.99). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $1.96
Fair Value $2.54
Bull $3.18
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2495 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings
$4.66
$6.49
$9.07
77
Residual Income
$3.96
$3.98
$4.22
76
EPV
$2.12
$2.33
$2.52
74
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings
$4.66
$6.49
$9.07
77
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$1.86
$5.06
$6.63
65
Lynch FV
$1.00
$1.42
$1.85
61
PEG = 1.0
$1.00
$1.42
$1.85
57
EPV
$2.12
$2.33
$2.52
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.6400
$1.28
$1.95
66
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.6400
$0.9900
$1.34
66
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$5.75
$7.67
$9.59
63
P/S Multiple
$3.49
$4.66
$5.82
58
P/B Multiple
$3.49
$4.66
$5.82
55
EV/EBIT
$4.19
$5.34
$6.49
66
EV/EBITDA
$6.18
$7.99
$9.81
67
EV/Revenue
$2.48
$3.23
$3.98
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$2.59
$3.47
$5.17
54
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$3.96
$3.98
$4.22
76
ROIC Compounder
$2.12
$2.33
$2.52
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$4.45
$6.35
$8.26
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
52/100
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Profitability
34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
14
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
94
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
79
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
21/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.6% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.9%
’14
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’18
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’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−8.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−11.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−11.4% vs −5.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
ASMVF screens overvalued: fair value 88% below the price. Compare with ASML Holding →
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (25 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
- ASMPT Ltd (ASMVF) (H1 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record Growth Driven by AI and ...
- Recent Price Trend in ASMPT LTD. - Unsponsored ADR (ASMVY) is Your Friend, Here's Why
- ASMPT Ltd (ASMVF) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Bookings and Strategic Growth Amid ...
- ASMPT reports Q1 results
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 214 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductor Equipment & Materials median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Information Technology sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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| Applied Materials, Inc AMAT | $511.38 | $368.52 | −28% |
| KLA Corporation KLAC | $187.92 | $160.12 | −15% |
| Teradyne, Inc TER | $415.79 | $65.79 | −84% |
| Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc 688012 | ¥339.30 | ¥110.10 | −68% |
| Hon. Precision, Inc 7769 | 5,670 TWD | 4,864 TWD | −14% |
| Piotech Inc 688072 | ¥700.90 | ¥320.60 | −54% |
| Qnity Electronics, Inc Q | $124.69 | $70.44 | −44% |
| Entegris, Inc ENTG | $151.89 | $92.64 | −39% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is ASMPT Limited (ASMVF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.54 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $20.62, about −88% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ASMVF?
Our model-based fair value for ASMPT Limited is $2.54 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $20.62.
What is the quality score of ASMVF?
ASMPT Limited has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ASMPT Limited (ASMVF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.54 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.96, optimistic scenario $3.18. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ASMPT Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.54, about −88% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $20.62 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.96, optimistic scenario $3.18. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ASMPT Limited (ASMVF)?
ASMPT Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$14.7B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does ASMPT Limited pay a dividend?
ASMPT Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.59% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of ASMPT Limited (ASMVF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ASMPT Limited it is $2.54 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $20.62. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ASMPT Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, ASMVF trades above its calculated fair value: price $20.62, fair value $2.54, a gap of about −88% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ASMVF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($20.62); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.54). For ASMPT Limited the two are $18.08 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ASMPT Limited worth?
The market values ASMPT Limited at about $9.3B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $20.62; our models calculate a fair value of $2.54 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ASMVF?
Our models span a range for ASMPT Limited: cautious scenario $1.96, base $2.54, optimistic $3.18 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $20.62). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ASMVF?
ASMPT Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 62.5 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $2.54 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.6.
What is the PEG ratio of ASMVF?
The PEG ratio of ASMPT Limited is 1.57 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 3, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of ASMPT Limited (ASMVF)?
Balance-sheet figures for ASMPT Limited (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 6.7%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ASMVF from its 52-week high?
ASMPT Limited trades at $20.62, about 9% below its 52-week high of $22.60 and 109% above the low of $9.85 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.54 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ASMPT Limited?
From the same area (Technology) we also value ASML Holding, Lam Research Corporation, Applied Materials, Inc, KLA Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ASMPT Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $20.62, calculated fair value $2.54 (−88%), Quality Score 52/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ASMVF calculated?
We run ASMPT Limited through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.54, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. ASMPT Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ASMPT Limited (ASMVF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $20.62. Our model-based fair value is $2.54, about −88% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ASMPT Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.18). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of ASMPT Limited (ASMVF) come from?
Earnings per share at ASMPT Limited grew −7.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.3 %, EBIT margin −10.2 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of ASMPT Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of ASMPT Limited (ASMVF)?
The market capitalisation of ASMPT Limited is $9.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ASMPT Limited (ASMVF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ASMPT Limited is 4.10 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ASMPT Limited (ASMVF)?
Earnings per share at ASMPT Limited are $0.3300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 62.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of ASMPT Limited (ASMVF)?
The dividend yield of ASMPT Limited is 2.6% (payout 162%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of ASMPT Limited (ASMVF)?
The net margin of ASMPT Limited is 6.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ASMPT Limited (ASMVF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ASMPT Limited is 6.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ASMPT Limited (ASMVF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ASMPT Limited is 7.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ASMPT Limited (ASMVF)?
The operating margin of ASMPT Limited is 9.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ASMPT Limited (ASMVF)?
Revenue at ASMPT Limited is growing +27.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ASMPT Limited (ASMVF)?
Earnings per share at ASMPT Limited are growing +203% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does ASMPT Limited (ASMVF) generate?
The free cash flow of ASMPT Limited is −HK$251M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does ASMPT Limited (ASMVF) hold?
ASMPT Limited holds more cash than debt, HK$440M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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