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Avenue Therapeutics, Inc (ATXI) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $890K

AT Avenue Therapeutics, Inc logo Avenue Therapeutics, Inc ATXI · US
Price$0.2500
Fair Value$0.5300
Upside+112.0%
Quality57/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -124.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/10)
Narrow moat 5/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.3500 – $0.6700 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −0.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 112% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.3500). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.3500 to $0.6700) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$6,143 $0.1500 Fair Value $0.5300 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.1500 – $6,143 · fair‑value band $0.3500 – $0.6700 · the $0.2500 price screens below the $0.5300 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Avenue Therapeutics, Inc (ATXI) currently trades at $0.2500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5300, implying the stock looks roughly 112.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $1.4M. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $2.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.3500 (bear case) to $0.6700 (bull case); at $0.2500, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 74% below its 52-week high and 67% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at 112%, ATXI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.2800 $0.3700 $0.5600 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.2800 $0.3700 $0.5600 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.4M
Net margin -125%
Return on equity -101%
Free cash flow −$1.8M FY2025
Operating margin -149%
EPS (TTM) $-0.5200
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +67.0%
Net cash $2.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 27
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Avenue Therapeutics, Inc., a specialty pharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapies for the treatment of neurologic diseases. The company product candidates include ATX-04, a small molecule therapy for the treatment of Pompe disease; and intravenous tramadol, a schedule IV opioid to treat post-operative acute pain.

Full company description

Avenue Therapeutics, Inc., a specialty pharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapies for the treatment of neurologic diseases. The company product candidates include ATX-04, a small molecule therapy for the treatment of Pompe disease; and intravenous tramadol, a schedule IV opioid to treat post-operative acute pain. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Bay Harbor Islands, Florida.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Avenue Therapeutics, Inc reported revenue of $1.4M in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$2.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Revenue
FY21 $0
FY22 $0
FY23 $0
FY24 $0
FY25 $1.4M
Net income
FY21 −$3.7M
FY22 −$3.6M
FY23 −$10.4M
FY24 −$11.7M
FY25 −$2.9M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Avenue Therapeutics, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ATXI

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 601 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +112% · Top 25%
Return on assets -43% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -125% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -149% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.49× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.63× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Avenue Therapeutics, Inc (ATXI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.5300 versus a price of $0.2500, about +112% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ATXI?
Our model-based fair value for Avenue Therapeutics, Inc is $0.5300 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.2500.
What is the quality score of ATXI?
Avenue Therapeutics, Inc has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Avenue Therapeutics, Inc (ATXI)?
Avenue Therapeutics, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.4M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ATXI?
The net profit margin of Avenue Therapeutics, Inc is about -124.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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