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Data-driven stock valuation

Avidbank Holdings, Inc. (AVBH) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Avidbank Holdings, Inc. stock $23.76, price $34.70, that is 31.5% below the price, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 4 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services US

AH Avidbank Holdings, Inc. logo Some data Nov 6, 2026

Avidbank Holdings, Inc.

AVBH · US
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 32% below what the stock costs today.

Highly profitable · 31.7% net margin (TTM)
Revenue last quarter +29% vs. a year ago.
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +10.1 %/yr in USD)
Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Wide moat 65/100 · thin data
Insiders sold $378,575 (6M)
Some data
Changed on Nov 2: $19.18 → $23.76
Fair value $23.76 · Overvalued
Quality 36/100
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$34.95 $13.80 Fair Value $23.76 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $13.80 – $34.95 · fair‑value band $17.82 – $29.70 · the $34.70 price screens above the $23.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.

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Company profile

Avidbank Holdings, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for Avidbank that provides financial solutions and services. It offers business and personal deposit products, such as checking, money market, and savings accounts; and certificates of deposit.

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The company also provides lending products, including working capital lines of credit, equipment loans, acquisition financing, shareholder buyouts, ESOP loans, and owner-occupied real estate loans; sponsor finance comprising acquisition term loans, recapitalization term loans, and working capital lines; and venture lending, such as venture debt, growth capital, recurring revenue, and treasury management services.

In addition, it offers commercial real estate lending consisting of permanent loans and bridge financing products; Asset-Based Lending that includes Borrowing Base and ABL term loans; and construction lending products, including land acquisition loans, construction spec SFD, owner-occupied SFD, condominiums, subdivision, unsecured business lines, pre-development loans, real estate bridge loans, and RLOC " real estate secured loans.

Further, the company provides private equity and venture capital financing solutions; structure finance; security and fraud prevention services; domestic and international wires, ACH origination, corporate credit cards, bill pay, trade finance letters of credit, and zero balance account; remote deposit capture, ACH collections, incoming wires, lockbox, and merchant services; and online banking real time fraud mitigation tools, check positive pay, and ACH positive pay.

Additionally, it offers ATM/debit cards, credit cards, business courier, and complimentary notary services, as well as online and mobile banking services. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.

Stock analysis

Avidbank Holdings, Inc. (AVBH) currently trades at $34.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $23.76, 32% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $27.95 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the $34.70 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $17.12, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $17.82 (bear) to $29.70 (bull), the price of $34.70 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Avidbank Holdings, Inc. Common stock reported revenue of $74.2M in FY2025 versus $52.8M in FY2021, a compound +8.9%/yr. Reported net income was $24.0M in FY2025, compounding +18.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $374M Small · P/E ratio 9.9 · P/S ratio 3.51 · EPS (TTM) $3.52 · Net margin 31.7% · Return on equity 11.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 48.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 65 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −32%, AVBH screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $17.82 Fair Value $23.76 Bull $29.70
Price $34.70 · Downside -31.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($3.03 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income $21.05 $22.56 $25.44 71
P/E Multiple $21.26 $28.35 $35.44 63
P/B Multiple $20.66 $27.55 $34.43 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $21.26 $28.35 $35.44 63
P/B Multiple $20.66 $27.55 $34.43 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $12.78 $17.12 $25.55 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $21.05 $22.56 $25.44 71

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 33
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 94
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 1
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 56
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 97
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 59
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 86
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 2 officers or directors sold shares worth $378,575 and none bought.

  • SaleMike RosinusDirector19× since Feb 10, 2026: 196,500 shares, avg. $28.66$5.6MSep 9, 2026
  • SaleArthur WassonEVP, Chief Revenue Officer10,000 shares at $33.14$331,400Aug 14, 2026

Plus 23 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 9, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 72/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.5% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+9.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.9.0% vs 14.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.40% → −35%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

AVBH screens overvalued: fair value 32% below the price. Compare with China Merchants Bank Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 997 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −31.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 11.8% · Above median
Return on assets 0.9% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 31.7% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 48.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 28.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 9.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.33× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 3.51× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 9.6× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 7
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 47
PAST (return on equity)47 · sector 43
HEALTH (low debt)–
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

HEALTH: for banks, insurers and similar financial firms borrowed money is part of the business, so we do not rate debt here.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Postal Savings Bank of China Co 601658 ¥5.62 ¥7.59 +35% vs AVBH
China Merchants Bank Co 600036 ¥43.01 ¥52.73 +23% vs AVBH
BNP Paribas SA BNP €93.98 €106.01 +13% vs AVBH
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.35 €4.49 −29% vs AVBH
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €81.62 €50.44 −38% vs AVBH
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $9.82 $5.89 −40% vs AVBH
Al Rajhi Banking and Investment Corporation 1120 62.25 SAR 36.95 SAR −41% vs AVBH
DBS Group D05 69.72 SGD 40.39 SGD −42% vs AVBH
HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK ₹798.15 ₹406.39 −49% vs AVBH
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,589 ₹615.63 −61% vs AVBH

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Frequently asked questions

Is Avidbank Holdings, Inc. (AVBH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $23.76 versus a price of $34.70, about 32% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AVBH?
Our model-based fair value for Avidbank Holdings, Inc. is $23.76 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $34.70.
What is the quality score of AVBH?
Avidbank Holdings, Inc. has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Avidbank Holdings, Inc. (AVBH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $23.76 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario $17.82, optimistic scenario $29.70. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Avidbank Holdings, Inc. Common stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $23.76, about 32% lower versus a price of $34.70 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $17.82, optimistic scenario $29.70. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Avidbank Holdings, Inc. (AVBH)?
Avidbank Holdings, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $107M (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Avidbank Holdings, Inc. (AVBH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Avidbank Holdings, Inc. it is $23.76 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $34.70. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models in 3 families (Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Avidbank Holdings, Inc. Common stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, AVBH trades above its calculated fair value: price $34.70, fair value $23.76, a gap of about −32% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AVBH?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($34.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($23.76). For Avidbank Holdings, Inc. the two are $10.94 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Avidbank Holdings, Inc. Common stock worth?
The market values Avidbank Holdings, Inc. at about $374M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $34.70; our models calculate a fair value of $23.76 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AVBH?
Our models span a range for Avidbank Holdings, Inc.: cautious scenario $17.82, base $23.76, optimistic $29.70 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $34.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AVBH?
Avidbank Holdings, Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.9 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $23.76 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 11.0. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 3.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Avidbank Holdings, Inc. (AVBH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Avidbank Holdings, Inc. (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 11.8%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AVBH from its 52-week high?
Avidbank Holdings, Inc. trades at $34.70, about 1% below its 52-week high of $34.95 and 42% above the low of $24.37 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $23.76 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Avidbank Holdings, Inc. Common stock?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value China Merchants Bank Co, DBS Group, UniCredit S.p.A, Mizuho Financial Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Avidbank Holdings, Inc. Common stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $34.70, calculated fair value $23.76 (−32%), Quality Score 36/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AVBH calculated?
We run Avidbank Holdings, Inc. through 4 models from 3 families: Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $23.76 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.7% above its aggregate fair value. Avidbank Holdings, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Avidbank Holdings, Inc. (AVBH)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was $34.70. Our model-based fair value is $23.76, about 32% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Avidbank Holdings, Inc. Common stock right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($29.70). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Avidbank Holdings, Inc. (AVBH) come from?
Earnings per share at Avidbank Holdings, Inc. grew +11.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.0 %, EBIT margin +4.4 %, tax rate +1.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Avidbank Holdings, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Avidbank Holdings, Inc. (AVBH)?
The market capitalisation of Avidbank Holdings, Inc. is $374M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Avidbank Holdings, Inc. (AVBH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Avidbank Holdings, Inc. is 3.51 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Avidbank Holdings, Inc. (AVBH)?
Earnings per share at Avidbank Holdings, Inc. are $3.52 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Avidbank Holdings, Inc. (AVBH)?
The net margin of Avidbank Holdings, Inc. is 31.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Avidbank Holdings, Inc. (AVBH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Avidbank Holdings, Inc. is 11.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Avidbank Holdings, Inc. (AVBH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Avidbank Holdings, Inc. is 0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Avidbank Holdings, Inc. (AVBH)?
The operating margin of Avidbank Holdings, Inc. is 48.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Avidbank Holdings, Inc. (AVBH)?
Revenue at Avidbank Holdings, Inc. is growing +28.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Avidbank Holdings, Inc. (AVBH)?
Earnings per share at Avidbank Holdings, Inc. are growing −5.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Avidbank Holdings, Inc. (AVBH) generate?
The free cash flow of Avidbank Holdings, Inc. is $38.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Avidbank Holdings, Inc. (AVBH) carry?
The net debt of Avidbank Holdings, Inc. is $14.1M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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