AXIA Energia SA (AXIA-PC) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · US · Market cap $21.7B
Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Share price +0.9% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (7 months)
7‑month range $8.62 – $13.00 · fair‑value band $37.18 – $65.61 · the $9.70 price screens below the $50.94 fair value. As of Jun 25, 2026.
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AXIA Energia SA (AXIA-PC) currently trades at $9.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $50.94, implying the stock looks roughly 425.2% undervalued today. We read business quality at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, AXIA Energia SA generated revenue of $43.6B at a net margin of 21.9%. Revenue grew 22.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.9%. Net debt stands at $60.4B. Fundamentals as of Jun 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $37.18 (bear case) to $65.61 (bull case); at $9.70, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside, at 425%, AXIA-PC screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
AXIA Energia SA, through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and commercialization of electricity in Brazil. The company generates electricity through hydroelectric, wind farms, and solar power plants. It also owns hydroelectric plants with a total capacity of 43,072.7 MW; 798.7 MW wind power plants; and 67,030.74 km of transmission lines. The company was formerly known as Centrais Elétricas Brasileiras S.A. - Eletrobrás. AXIA Energia SA was incorporated in 1962 and is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
AXIA Energia SA reported revenue of $41.3B in FY2025 versus $34.1B in FY2022, a compound +6.6%/yr. Reported net income was $6.6B in FY2025, compounding +21.7%/yr from FY2022.
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Recent news
- AXIA Energia (NYSE:AXIA) Valuation Check After Recent Share Price Swings
- From Coal Divestment to 100% Renewable, AXIA Delivers 112% Returns in 12 Months
- Axia Energia (AXIA) Q4 Adjusted Net Income Surges 141% to BRL 1.2B
- Axia Energia (AXIA) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Dividends and Strategic ...
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
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10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥26.94 | ¥25.13 | -7% |
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| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.73 | ¥2.95 | -70% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,537 | ₹170.50 | -89% |
| VERBUND AG VER | €58.45 | €83.62 | +43% |
| BEP BEP | $35.44 | $27.28 | -23% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$50.55 | C$27.28 | -46% |
| Fortum Oyj FOJCF | $22.79 | $15.78 | -31% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥17.99 | ¥12.93 | -28% |
| EDP Renewables, S.A EDRVF | $16.96 | $7.25 | -57% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.