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AXIA Energia SA (AXIA-PC) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · US · Market cap $21.7B

AE AXIA Energia SA logo AXIA Energia SA AXIA-PC · US
Price$9.70
Fair Value$50.94
Upside+425.2%
Quality61/100
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Evidence: Low Range $37.18 – $65.61 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price +0.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (7 months)

$13.00 $8.62 Fair Value $50.94 Dec 2025 Jul 2026

7‑month range $8.62 – $13.00 · fair‑value band $37.18 – $65.61 · the $9.70 price screens below the $50.94 fair value. As of Jun 25, 2026.

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Analysis

AXIA Energia SA (AXIA-PC) currently trades at $9.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $50.94, implying the stock looks roughly 425.2% undervalued today. We read business quality at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, AXIA Energia SA generated revenue of $43.6B at a net margin of 21.9%. Revenue grew 22.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.9%. Net debt stands at $60.4B. Fundamentals as of Jun 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $37.18 (bear case) to $65.61 (bull case); at $9.70, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside, at 425%, AXIA-PC screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $43.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) +22.1%
Net margin 21.9%
Return on equity 7.9%
Free cash flow $12.0B FY2025
P/E ratio 11.1
More key figures
Operating margin 43.5%
EPS (TTM) $0.8700
Net debt $60.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

AXIA Energia SA, through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and commercialization of electricity in Brazil. The company generates electricity through hydroelectric, wind farms, and solar power plants. It also owns hydroelectric plants with a total capacity of 43,072.7 MW; 798.7 MW wind power plants; and 67,030.74 km of transmission lines. The company was formerly known as Centrais Elétricas Brasileiras S.A. - Eletrobrás. AXIA Energia SA was incorporated in 1962 and is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

AXIA Energia SA reported revenue of $41.3B in FY2025 versus $34.1B in FY2022, a compound +6.6%/yr. Reported net income was $6.6B in FY2025, compounding +21.7%/yr from FY2022.

Revenue +6.6%/yr
FY22 $34.1B
FY23 $37.2B
FY24 $40.2B
FY25 $41.3B
Net income +21.7%/yr
FY22 $3.6B
FY23 $4.5B
FY24 $10.4B
FY25 $6.6B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AXIA Energia SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AXIA-PC

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥26.94 ¥25.13 -7%
Ørsted A/S D2G €21.98 €8.27 -62%
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥9.73 ¥2.95 -70%
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,537 ₹170.50 -89%
VERBUND AG VER €58.45 €83.62 +43%
BEP BEP $35.44 $27.28 -23%
BEPUN BEPUN C$50.55 C$27.28 -46%
Fortum Oyj FOJCF $22.79 $15.78 -31%
China Longyuan Power Group 001289 ¥17.99 ¥12.93 -28%
EDP Renewables, S.A EDRVF $16.96 $7.25 -57%

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Frequently asked questions

Is AXIA Energia SA (AXIA-PC) undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $50.94 versus a price of $9.70, about +425% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of AXIA-PC?
Our model-based fair value for AXIA Energia SA is $50.94 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $9.70.
What is the quality score of AXIA-PC?
AXIA Energia SA has a Quality Score of 61/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of AXIA Energia SA (AXIA-PC)?
AXIA Energia SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $43.6B (latest available figure, as of Jun 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AXIA-PC?
The net profit margin of AXIA Energia SA is about 21.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 21.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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