Axita Cotton Limited (AXITA) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹2.9B
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from ₹1.19 to ₹0.9700 (−18.5%) since Jun 29, 2026. Share price −1.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 87% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹1.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
50‑month range ₹7.27 – ₹40.93 · fair‑value band ₹0.7000 – ₹1.06 · the ₹7.28 price screens above the ₹0.9700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
Axita Cotton Limited (AXITA) currently trades at ₹7.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹0.9700, implying the stock looks roughly 86.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Axita Cotton Limited generated revenue of ₹4.5B at a net margin of 0.5%. Revenue declined 60.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.6%. Net debt stands at ₹21.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹0.7000 (bear case) to ₹1.06 (bull case); at ₹7.28, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -87%, AXITA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹2.31) versus Economic Profit (₹0.4700). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Axita Cotton Limited engages in manufacturing, processing, finishing, and trading of cotton bales, yarns, seeds, and agri commodities in India. The company also engages in ginning and pressing of seed cotton on job work basis. It serves traders, manufacturers, and merchant exporters. In addition, the company exports its products.
Full company description
Axita Cotton Limited engages in manufacturing, processing, finishing, and trading of cotton bales, yarns, seeds, and agri commodities in India. The company also engages in ginning and pressing of seed cotton on job work basis. It serves traders, manufacturers, and merchant exporters. In addition, the company exports its products. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Ahmedabad, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Axita Cotton Limited reported revenue of ₹3.7B in FY2026 versus ₹8.0B in FY2022, a compound −17.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹19.0M in FY2026, compounding −40.7%/yr from FY2022.
AXITA screens 87% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →
Peer Group
Textile Manufacturing · 315 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhou International Group 2313 | HK$44.40 | HK$75.65 | +70% |
| Tongkun Group 601233 | ¥23.56 | ¥14.53 | -38% |
| Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 | ¥12.04 | ¥14.35 | +19% |
| Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 | 27.55 TWD | 28.72 TWD | +4% |
| K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL | ₹1,083 | ₹467.49 | -57% |
| HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 | ¥78.00 | ¥11.85 | -85% |
| Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 | ¥5.18 | ¥2.21 | -57% |
| Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL | ₹602.20 | ₹437.53 | -27% |
| Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO | 174.20 TRY | 323.84 TRY | +86% |
| Bros Eastern.,Ltd 601339 | ¥8.08 | ¥7.87 | -3% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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