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PT Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk, (BALI) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · ID · Market cap 4.9T IDR

PB PT Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk, BALI · JK
Price1,210 IDR
Fair Value1,019 IDR
Upside-15.8%
Quality52/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.9% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (5/14)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range 764.43 IDR – 1,274 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −3.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 16% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from 764.43 IDR (bear) to 1,274 IDR (bull), base 1,019 IDR. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 52/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

2,118 IDR 448.70 IDR Fair Value 1,019 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 448.70 IDR – 2,118 IDR · fair‑value band 764.43 IDR – 1,274 IDR · the 1,210 IDR price screens above the 1,019 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

PT Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk, (BALI) currently trades at 1,210 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,019 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 15.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk, generated revenue of 1.2T IDR at a net margin of 14.9%. Revenue grew 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.2%. Net debt stands at 3.1T IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 764.43 IDR (bear case) to 1,274 IDR (bull case); at 1,210 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -16%, BALI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 241.28 IDR 813.46 IDR 80
Residual Income 520.68 IDR 555.59 IDR 619.69 IDR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 309.19 IDR 1,053 IDR 2,452 IDR 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 176.23 IDR 793.23 IDR 38
Owner Earnings 59.01 IDR 568.85 IDR 1,687 IDR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 307.44 IDR 881.81 IDR 2,094 IDR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 1,174 IDR 2,635 IDR 5,512 IDR 41
5Y P/E Exit 350.54 IDR 1,308 IDR 2,635 IDR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 201.92 IDR 1,101 IDR 1,760 IDR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 880.29 IDR 3,012 IDR 6,940 IDR 37
10Y P/E Exit 265.53 IDR 1,196 IDR 2,780 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 315.04 IDR 2,197 IDR 3,083 IDR 54
Lynch FV 817.57 IDR 1,168 IDR 1,518 IDR 50
PEG = 1.0 817.57 IDR 1,168 IDR 1,518 IDR 46
EPV 846.72 IDR 1,053 IDR 1,236 IDR 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 764.43 IDR 1,019 IDR 1,274 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 590.70 IDR 787.60 IDR 984.49 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 590.70 IDR 787.60 IDR 984.49 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 1,236 IDR 1,755 IDR 2,273 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 1,510 IDR 2,120 IDR 2,730 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 340.81 IDR 624.27 IDR 907.73 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 312.61 IDR 418.90 IDR 625.22 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 241.28 IDR 813.46 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 309.19 IDR 1,053 IDR 2,452 IDR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 520.68 IDR 555.59 IDR 619.69 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 1,090 IDR 1,707 IDR 2,266 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1,067 IDR 1,524 IDR 1,982 IDR 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (1,524 IDR) versus Growth DCF (241.28 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.2T IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.5%
Net margin 14.9%
Return on equity 7.2%
Free cash flow 67.9B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 26.2
More key figures
Operating margin 43.3%
EPS (TTM) 47.05 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) +6.1%
Net debt 3.1T IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 26
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 47
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in operating and leasing of tower building and telecommunication towers and facilities in Indonesia. It also offers Fiber To The Home and Fiber To The Building. PT Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk was founded in 2006 and is based in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia.

Full company description

PT Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in operating and leasing of tower building and telecommunication towers and facilities in Indonesia. It also offers Fiber To The Home and Fiber To The Building. PT Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk was founded in 2006 and is based in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia. The company operates as a subsidiary of PT Kharisma Cipta Towerindo.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk, reported revenue of 1.2T IDR in FY2025 versus 947B IDR in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was 182B IDR in FY2025, compounding −0.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.2T IDR
Latest YoY
+18.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.7%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+40.3%
Revenue +7.0%/yr
FY21 947B IDR
FY22 978B IDR
FY23 955B IDR
FY24 1.0T IDR
FY25 1.2T IDR
Net income −0.8%/yr
FY21 189B IDR
FY22 212B IDR
FY23 150B IDR
FY24 144B IDR
FY25 182B IDR
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +0.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +19.8 pp

of which total revenue +21.5 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.7 pp

EBIT margin −2.3 pp
Tax rate +1.8 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −18.9 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

BALI screens 16% overvalued. Compare with China Mobile Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BALI

Peer Group

Telecom Services · 250 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −16% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 43% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.03× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 26.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.98× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.92× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 12 · sector 29
FUTURE 3 · sector 15
PAST 29 · sector 28
HEALTH 49 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 73

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Mobile Limited 600941 ¥89.98 ¥109.88 +22%
T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS $187.61 $172.67 -8%
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,922 ₹941.55 -51%
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.01 ¥8.36 +39%
América Móvil, S.A. AMXB 23.07 MXN 30.35 MXN +32%
Vodafone Group VODN 259.50 MXN 507.27 MXN +95%
Advanced Info Service Public Company ADVANC 379.00 THB 286.77 THB -24%
Chunghwa Telecom Co 2412 133.50 TWD 100.00 TWD -25%
China Unicom (Hong Kong) Limited 0762 HK$6.50 HK$13.03 +100%
Telefónica, S.A TEFN 75.67 MXN 111.01 MXN +47%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk, (BALI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,019 IDR versus a price of 1,210 IDR, about −16% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BALI?
Our model-based fair value for PT Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk, is 1,019 IDR (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 1,210 IDR.
What is the quality score of BALI?
PT Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk, has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk, (BALI)?
PT Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2T IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BALI?
The net profit margin of PT Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk, is about 14.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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