Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk (BALI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk IDR 1,019, price IDR 1,300, upside -21.6%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 448.70 IDR – 2,118 IDR · fair‑value band 527.54 IDR – 1,746 IDR · the 1,300 IDR price screens above the 1,019 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in operating and leasing of tower building and telecommunication towers and facilities in Indonesia. It also offers Fiber To The Home and Fiber To The Building. PT Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk was founded in 2006 and is based in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia.
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PT Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in operating and leasing of tower building and telecommunication towers and facilities in Indonesia. It also offers Fiber To The Home and Fiber To The Building. PT Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk was founded in 2006 and is based in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia. The company operates as a subsidiary of PT Kharisma Cipta Towerindo.
Stock analysis
Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk (BALI) currently trades at 1,300 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,019 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 27.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 1,524 IDR per share, and 10 of the 24 models we run sit above the 1,300 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 418.90 IDR, and 14 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 527.54 IDR (bear) to 1,746 IDR (bull), the price of 1,300 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk reported revenue of 1.2T IDR in FY2025 versus 947B IDR in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was 182B IDR in FY2025, compounding −0.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 5.1T IDR (≈ $286M) · P/E ratio 27.6 · P/S ratio 4.06 · EPS (TTM) 47.05 IDR · Net margin 14.7% · Return on equity 7.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.4% · Operating margin 43.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 49 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at −22%, BALI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 527.54 IDRFair Value 1,019 IDRBull 1,746 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (34.55 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +21.9% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+16.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+16.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.17% vs 3%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.46% → 41%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+61.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +56.9% a year for the price.
Compare Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 250 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside−23% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7% · Below median
Return on assets5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)43% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.03× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BALI
Frequently asked questions
Is Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk (BALI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,019 IDR versus a price of 1,300 IDR, about −22% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BALI?
Our model-based fair value for Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk is 1,019 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,300 IDR.
What is the quality score of BALI?
Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk (BALI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,019 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 527.54 IDR, optimistic scenario 1,746 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,019 IDR, about −22% upside versus a price of 1,300 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 527.54 IDR, optimistic scenario 1,746 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk (BALI)?
Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk (BALI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by +61.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BALI use?
Our models discount Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk at 15.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk that is +61.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk (BALI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk grew +9.7 % a year. The price currently implies +61.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk (BALI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk (+61.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk (BALI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.33 %: that much free cash flow Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk (BALI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk it is 1,019 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 1,300 IDR. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, BALI trades above its calculated fair value: price 1,300 IDR, fair value 1,019 IDR, a gap of about −22% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BALI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,300 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,019 IDR). For Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk the two are 280.76 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk worth?
The market values Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk at about 5.1T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 1,300 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 1,019 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BALI?
Our models span a range for Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk: cautious scenario 527.54 IDR, base 1,019 IDR, optimistic 1,746 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 1,300 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BALI?
Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1,019 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.1, P/S 4.2, EV/EBITDA 8.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk (BALI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.2%, debt of 1.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BALI from its 52-week high?
Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk trades at 1,300 IDR, about 39% below its 52-week high of 2,118 IDR and 19% above the low of 1,093 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,019 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, T-Mobile US, Inc, Verizon Communications Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 1,300 IDR, calculated fair value 1,019 IDR (−22%), Quality Score 52/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BALI calculated?
We run Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1,019 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk (BALI)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 1,300 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 1,019 IDR, about −22% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk right now?
The model range is unusually wide (527.54 IDR to 1,746 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk (BALI) come from?
Earnings per share at Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk grew +0.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +19.8 %, EBIT margin −2.3 %, tax rate +1.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −15.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk (BALI)?
The market capitalisation of Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk is 5.1T IDR (≈ $286M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk (BALI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk is 4.06 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk (BALI)?
Earnings per share at Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk are 47.05 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk (BALI)?
The net margin of Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk is 14.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk (BALI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk is 7.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk (BALI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk is 8.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk (BALI)?
The operating margin of Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk is 43.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk (BALI)?
Revenue at Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk is growing +0.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk (BALI)?
Earnings per share at Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk are growing +6.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk (BALI) carry?
The net debt of Bali Towerindo Sentra Tbk is 3.1T IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 45.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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