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Banque Cantonale du Jura SA (BCJ) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · CH · Market cap CHF 239M

BC Banque Cantonale du Jura SA BCJ · SW
PriceCHF 78.00
Fair ValueCHF 53.35
Upside-31.6%
Quality55/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 16.4% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/15)
Moderate moat 54/100
Evidence: High Range CHF 40.01 – CHF 66.69 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price −3.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 32% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 66.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

CHF 105.76 CHF 37.40 Fair Value CHF 53.35 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range CHF 37.40 – CHF 105.76 · fair‑value band CHF 40.01 – CHF 66.69 · the CHF 78.00 price screens above the CHF 53.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

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Analysis

Banque Cantonale du Jura SA (BCJ) currently trades at CHF 78.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 53.35, implying the stock looks roughly 31.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Banque Cantonale du Jura SA generated revenue of CHF 69.9M at a net margin of 17.6%. Revenue grew 4.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.7%. Net debt stands at CHF 1.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from CHF 40.01 (bear case) to CHF 66.69 (bull case); at CHF 78.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -32%, BCJ screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income CHF 75.87 CHF 72.56 CHF 56.41 76
Gordon GGM CHF 15.71 CHF 17.92 CHF 20.17 70
P/E Multiple CHF 40.01 CHF 53.35 CHF 66.69 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM CHF 15.71 CHF 17.92 CHF 20.17 70
DDM Multi-Stage CHF 15.71 CHF 19.13 CHF 22.76 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple CHF 40.01 CHF 53.35 CHF 66.69 63
P/B Multiple CHF 52.32 CHF 69.76 CHF 87.21 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) CHF 56.92 CHF 76.27 CHF 113.83 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income CHF 75.87 CHF 72.56 CHF 56.41 76

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (CHF 76.27) versus Dividend Discount (CHF 17.92). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) CHF 69.9M
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.4%
Net margin 17.6%
Return on equity 6.7%
Free cash flow CHF 32.4M FY2025
P/E ratio 22.0
More key figures
Operating margin 16.7%
EPS (TTM) CHF 4.10
Dividend yield 2.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +5.4%
Net debt CHF 1.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 99
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Banque Cantonale du Jura SA provides various banking products and services to individuals and businesses in Switzerland. The company offers various accounts, youth accounts, personal loans, mortgages, funding services, and debit and credit cards.

Full company description

Banque Cantonale du Jura SA provides various banking products and services to individuals and businesses in Switzerland. The company offers various accounts, youth accounts, personal loans, mortgages, funding services, and debit and credit cards. It also provides wealth management and investment advice, credit, asset management, payment, and e-banking services. The company was founded in 1979 and is based in Porrentruy, Switzerland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Banque Cantonale du Jura SA reported revenue of CHF 84.9M in FY2025 versus CHF 47.3M in FY2021, a compound +15.8%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 12.3M in FY2025, compounding +6.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
CHF 84.9M
Latest YoY
+21.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.6%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−15.8%
Revenue +15.8%/yr
FY21 CHF 47.3M
FY22 CHF 52.0M
FY23 CHF 68.0M
FY24 CHF 69.8M
FY25 CHF 84.9M
Net income +6.1%/yr
FY21 CHF 9.7M
FY22 CHF 10.2M
FY23 CHF 13.2M
FY24 CHF 13.5M
FY25 CHF 12.3M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +4.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.3 pp

of which total revenue +6.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin −1.2 pp
Tax rate +0.5 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.1 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

BCJ screens 32% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Banque Cantonale du Jura SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BCJ

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1082 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −32% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 29% · Below median
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 3.61× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.87× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 3.94× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 9.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 49.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 11.09× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 39
FUTURE 72 · sector 44
PAST 14 · sector 41
HEALTH 0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Banque Cantonale du Jura SA (BCJ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 53.35 versus a price of CHF 78.00, about −32% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BCJ?
Our model-based fair value for Banque Cantonale du Jura SA is CHF 53.35 (as of Jul 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is CHF 78.00.
What is the quality score of BCJ?
Banque Cantonale du Jura SA has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Banque Cantonale du Jura SA (BCJ)?
Banque Cantonale du Jura SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 69.9M (latest available figure, as of Jul 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BCJ?
The net profit margin of Banque Cantonale du Jura SA is about 17.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Banque Cantonale du Jura SA pay a dividend?
Banque Cantonale du Jura SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.10% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 20, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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