Butterfly Network, Inc (BFLY) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $1.5B
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Share price +20.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 76% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.70). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($1.33 to $2.70) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.7048 – $14.78 · fair‑value band $1.33 – $2.70 · the $8.83 price screens above the $2.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Butterfly Network, Inc (BFLY) currently trades at $8.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.14, implying the stock looks roughly 75.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Butterfly Network, Inc generated revenue of $103M at a net margin of -73.6%. Revenue grew 25.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -35.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $130M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.33 (bear case) to $2.70 (bull case); at $8.83, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -76%, BFLY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($3.07) versus Asset-Based ($0.5600). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Butterfly Network, Inc. develops, manufactures, and commercializes ultrasound imaging solutions in the United States and internationally.
Full company description
Butterfly Network, Inc. develops, manufactures, and commercializes ultrasound imaging solutions in the United States and internationally. The company offers Butterfly iQ+ and iQ3 ultrasound devices that can perform whole-body imaging on a single handheld probe integrated with the clinical workflow, and accessible on a user's smartphone, tablet, and almost any hospital computer system; Butterfly Move, merging the mobility of a handheld with the stability of a full cart system; and iQ+ Bladder, a specialty product for bladder scanning market. It also provides Compass AI which offers one system to connect every device, workflow, and department; ScanLab, an AI-powered educational platform that provides written walkthroughs and reference imagery to guide real-time educational scanning; and Butterfly iQ+/iQ3 Vet, a third generation handheld ultrasound system. It sells and markets its products through a direct sales force, distributors, and e-commerce channels. Butterfly Network, Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Burlington, Massachusetts.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Butterfly Network, Inc reported revenue of $97.6M in FY2025 versus $62.6M in FY2021, a compound +11.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$77.1M in FY2025.
BFLY screens 76% overvalued. Compare with Abbott Laboratories, →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Butterfly Network Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
- Butterfly Network, Inc. Q2 2026 Earnings Call Summary
- Butterfly Network, Inc. (BFLY) Reports Q2 Loss, Beats Revenue Estimates
- Butterfly Network Founder Rothberg Sells Another 660,000 Shares. Should Investors Worry?
Peer Group
Medical Devices · 351 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 35/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abbott Laboratories, ABT | $100.68 | $74.79 | -26% |
| Stryker Corporation SYK | $316.44 | $186.28 | -41% |
| Medtronic plc MDT | $83.56 | $65.57 | -22% |
| Boston Scientific Corporation BSX | $43.04 | $38.44 | -11% |
| Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW | $85.73 | $41.02 | -52% |
| Siemens Healthineers AG SHL | €34.59 | €33.87 | -2% |
| Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 | ¥149.43 | ¥147.63 | -1% |
| Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare Co 688271 | ¥109.00 | ¥43.60 | -60% |
| Demant A/S DEMANT | kr 276.60 | kr 161.17 | -42% |
| Getinge AB GETIB | kr 206.80 | kr 192.14 | -7% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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