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Butterfly Network, Inc (BFLY) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $1.5B

BN Butterfly Network, Inc logo Butterfly Network, Inc BFLY · US
Price$8.83
Fair Value$2.14
Upside-75.7%
Quality38/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -73.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/10)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Low Range $1.33 – $2.70 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price +20.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 76% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.70). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($1.33 to $2.70) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$14.78 $0.7048 Fair Value $2.14 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.7048 – $14.78 · fair‑value band $1.33 – $2.70 · the $8.83 price screens above the $2.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Butterfly Network, Inc (BFLY) currently trades at $8.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.14, implying the stock looks roughly 75.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Butterfly Network, Inc generated revenue of $103M at a net margin of -73.6%. Revenue grew 25.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -35.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $130M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.33 (bear case) to $2.70 (bull case); at $8.83, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -76%, BFLY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $1.86 $3.36 $4.62 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.86 $3.07 $3.59 61
NCAV (Graham) $0.4200 $0.5600 $0.8300 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.86 $3.36 $4.62 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.86 $3.07 $3.59 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.4200 $0.5600 $0.8300 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($3.07) versus Asset-Based ($0.5600). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $103M
Revenue growth (YoY) +25.0%
Net margin -73.6%
Return on equity -35.2%
Free cash flow −$16.0M FY2025
Operating margin -50.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.3000
Net cash $130M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 97
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 99
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 2
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Butterfly Network, Inc. develops, manufactures, and commercializes ultrasound imaging solutions in the United States and internationally.

Full company description

Butterfly Network, Inc. develops, manufactures, and commercializes ultrasound imaging solutions in the United States and internationally. The company offers Butterfly iQ+ and iQ3 ultrasound devices that can perform whole-body imaging on a single handheld probe integrated with the clinical workflow, and accessible on a user's smartphone, tablet, and almost any hospital computer system; Butterfly Move, merging the mobility of a handheld with the stability of a full cart system; and iQ+ Bladder, a specialty product for bladder scanning market. It also provides Compass AI which offers one system to connect every device, workflow, and department; ScanLab, an AI-powered educational platform that provides written walkthroughs and reference imagery to guide real-time educational scanning; and Butterfly iQ+/iQ3 Vet, a third generation handheld ultrasound system. It sells and markets its products through a direct sales force, distributors, and e-commerce channels. Butterfly Network, Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Burlington, Massachusetts.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Butterfly Network, Inc reported revenue of $97.6M in FY2025 versus $62.6M in FY2021, a compound +11.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$77.1M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$97.6M
Latest YoY
+19.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+16.1%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y)
+81.1%
Revenue +11.8%/yr
FY21 $62.6M
FY22 $73.4M
FY23 $65.9M
FY24 $82.1M
FY25 $97.6M
Net income
FY21 −$32.4M
FY22 −$169M
FY23 −$134M
FY24 −$72.5M
FY25 −$77.1M

BFLY screens 76% overvalued. Compare with Abbott Laboratories, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Butterfly Network, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BFLY

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Medical Devices · 351 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −76% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -11% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -74% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -51% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 25% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.28× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper

P/B 7.62× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 14.52× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 27
PAST 0 · sector 8
HEALTH 86 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Abbott Laboratories, ABT $100.68 $74.79 -26%
Stryker Corporation SYK $316.44 $186.28 -41%
Medtronic plc MDT $83.56 $65.57 -22%
Boston Scientific Corporation BSX $43.04 $38.44 -11%
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW $85.73 $41.02 -52%
Siemens Healthineers AG SHL €34.59 €33.87 -2%
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 ¥149.43 ¥147.63 -1%
Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare Co 688271 ¥109.00 ¥43.60 -60%
Demant A/S DEMANT kr 276.60 kr 161.17 -42%
Getinge AB GETIB kr 206.80 kr 192.14 -7%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Butterfly Network, Inc (BFLY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.14 versus a price of $8.83, about −76% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BFLY?
Our model-based fair value for Butterfly Network, Inc is $2.14 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $8.83.
What is the quality score of BFLY?
Butterfly Network, Inc has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Butterfly Network, Inc (BFLY)?
Butterfly Network, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $103M (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BFLY?
The net profit margin of Butterfly Network, Inc is about -73.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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