Blackfinch Spring VCT PLC (BFSP) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · GB · Market cap £70.8M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +0.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 62% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£0.3995). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (23/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (£0.1785 to £0.3995) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.7182 – £0.8844 · fair‑value band £0.1785 – £0.3995 · the £0.8150 price screens above the £0.3060 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Blackfinch Spring VCT PLC (BFSP) currently trades at £0.8150, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.3060, implying the stock looks roughly 62.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Revenue grew 55.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of £8.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £0.1785 (bear case) to £0.3995 (bull case); at £0.8150, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -62%, BFSP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (£0.6500) versus Asset-Based (£0.5200). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Blackfinch Spring VCT PLC a venture capital firm specializing in seed, growth stage and early-stage investments. It also makes follow-on co-investments.
Full company description
Blackfinch Spring VCT PLC a venture capital firm specializing in seed, growth stage and early-stage investments. It also makes follow-on co-investments. It seeks to invest in technology-enabled companies with a focus on research, development and innovation, internet, mobile devices, social media, consumer discretionary, information technology, human resources, property, data analytics, marketing, wellbeing, safety and water industry. It prefers to invest in United Kingdom. The firm prefers to invest between £0.2 million ($0.26 million) and £2 million ($2.66 million) in companies with enterprise value between £1.5 million ($1.99 million) and £20 million ($26.61 million). The company was incorporated on 20 August 2019 and is based in Cheltenham, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Blackfinch Spring VCT PLC reported revenue of £15.0K in FY2025 versus £387K in FY2021, a compound −55.6%/yr. Reported net income was −£3.7M in FY2025.
BFSP screens 62% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →
Peer Group
Asset Management · 971 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fondul Proprietatea SA FP | $0.0420 | $0.0800 | +90% |
| BlackRock, Inc BLK | $1,136 | $465.75 | -59% |
| Blackstone Inc BX | $124.56 | $16.35 | -87% |
| Investor AB INVEB | kr 423.70 | kr 847.40 | +100% |
| Brookfield Corporation BN | C$62.45 | C$10.12 | -84% |
| KKR & Co KKR | $100.94 | $44.88 | -56% |
| AB Industrivärden INDUA | kr 532.50 | kr 1,065 | +100% |
| Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN | ₹242.98 | ₹40.19 | -83% |
| Hedef Holding HEDEF | 267.25 TRY | 320.98 TRY | +20% |
| Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG | ₹10,398 | ₹9,202 | -12% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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