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Bangkok Bank Public Company (BGKKF) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $8.4B

BB Bangkok Bank Public Company logo Bangkok Bank Public Company BGKKF · US
Price$4.99
Fair Value$4.25
Upside-14.8%
Quality62/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 32.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
6.21% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
Moderate moat 62/100
Evidence: High Range $3.19 – $5.31 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $9.98 to $4.25 (−57.4%) since Jul 25, 2026.

A solid business, but screening 15% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$5.04 $2.76 Fair Value $4.25 Jun 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.76 – $5.04 · fair‑value band $3.19 – $5.31 · the $4.99 price screens above the $4.25 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Bangkok Bank Public Company (BGKKF) currently trades at $4.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.25, implying the stock looks roughly 14.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Bangkok Bank Public Company generated revenue of $138B at a net margin of 32.3%. Revenue declined 13.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $66.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.19 (bear case) to $5.31 (bull case); at $4.99, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at -15%, BGKKF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/E Multiple $236.64 $315.51 $394.39 63
Residual Income $246.89 $263.47 $293.09 61
P/B Multiple $309.45 $412.59 $515.74 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $236.64 $315.51 $394.39 63
P/B Multiple $309.45 $412.59 $515.74 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $150.21 $201.28 $300.42 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $246.89 $263.47 $293.09 61

Widest divergence: Multiples ($315.51) versus Asset-Based ($201.28). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $138B
Revenue growth (YoY) -13.1%
Net margin 32.3%
Return on equity 7.8%
Free cash flow $63.7B FY2025
P/E ratio 7.0
More key figures
Operating margin 42.6%
EPS (TTM) $0.7100
Dividend yield 6.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -12.9%
Net cash $66.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 45
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 73
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Bangkok Bank Public Company Limited provides various commercial banking products and services in Thailand and internationally. It operates through Domestic Banking, International Banking, Investment Banking, and Others segments.

Full company description

Bangkok Bank Public Company Limited provides various commercial banking products and services in Thailand and internationally. It operates through Domestic Banking, International Banking, Investment Banking, and Others segments. The company provides various personal banking products and services, including savings, current, fixed deposit, foreign currency deposit, securities trading, and other accounts; home and personal loans, as well as loans for pensioners; mutual funds; bonds and debentures; life and non-life bancassurance products; payment, funds transfer, currency exchange and foreign instrument, and SMS services; debit, credit, travel, and prepaid cards; and internet and mobile banking, ATM, and other services. It also offers business banking products and services comprising operating accounts; e-bank confirmation on blockchain, loans for SMEs, and electronic guarantee services, as well as online payments for buyers/dealers; securities services, such as custodian, mutual fund supervisor, provident fund registrar, securities registrar, and debenture holders' representative services; payment, collection, liquid management, and merchant services; digital banking services; and commercial cards. In addition, the company provides trade finance, remittances, export and import, project, corporate finance, electronic, capital market, project and structured finance, and financial advisory services, as well as business property insurance, and FX and interest rate risk management services. Further, it offers fund management, securities, and assets management services. The company was founded in 1944 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Bangkok Bank Public Company reported revenue of $248B in FY2025 versus $100B in FY2021, a compound +25.3%/yr. Reported net income was $46.3B in FY2025, compounding +15.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$248B
Latest YoY
+75.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+32.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.9%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.5%
Revenue +25.3%/yr
FY21 $100B
FY22 $106B
FY23 $134B
FY24 $141B
FY25 $248B
Net income +15.0%/yr
FY21 $26.5B
FY22 $29.3B
FY23 $41.6B
FY24 $45.2B
FY25 $46.3B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +3.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +5.4 pp

of which total revenue +5.4 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +1.1 pp
Tax rate +0.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −3.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

BGKKF screens 15% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bangkok Bank Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BGKKF

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1086 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −15% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 32% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 43% · Above median
Revenue growth -13% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.2% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.94× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 5.23× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 14 · sector 33
FUTURE 0 · sector 44
PAST 31 · sector 41
HEALTH 53 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,350 IDR 4,637 IDR -27%
KB Financial Group 105560 168,100 KRW 220,258 KRW +31%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 3,110 IDR 3,792 IDR +22%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,130 IDR 6,067 IDR +47%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 8,400 ARS +64%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 103,800 KRW 146,032 KRW +41%
Hana Financial Group 086790 127,900 KRW 210,506 KRW +65%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,500 VND 45,959 VND -23%
Woori Financial Group 316140 33,000 KRW 60,758 KRW +84%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bangkok Bank Public Company (BGKKF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.25 versus a price of $4.99, about −15% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BGKKF?
Our model-based fair value for Bangkok Bank Public Company is $4.25 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $4.99.
What is the quality score of BGKKF?
Bangkok Bank Public Company has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Bangkok Bank Public Company (BGKKF)?
Bangkok Bank Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $138B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BGKKF?
The net profit margin of Bangkok Bank Public Company is about 32.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 32.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Bangkok Bank Public Company pay a dividend?
Bangkok Bank Public Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.21% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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