Bangkok Bank Public Company (BGKKF) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $8.4B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $9.98 to $4.25 (−57.4%) since Jul 25, 2026.
A solid business, but screening 15% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.76 – $5.04 · fair‑value band $3.19 – $5.31 · the $4.99 price screens above the $4.25 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Bangkok Bank Public Company (BGKKF) currently trades at $4.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.25, implying the stock looks roughly 14.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Bangkok Bank Public Company generated revenue of $138B at a net margin of 32.3%. Revenue declined 13.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $66.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $3.19 (bear case) to $5.31 (bull case); at $4.99, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at -15%, BGKKF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($315.51) versus Asset-Based ($201.28). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Bangkok Bank Public Company Limited provides various commercial banking products and services in Thailand and internationally. It operates through Domestic Banking, International Banking, Investment Banking, and Others segments.
Full company description
Bangkok Bank Public Company Limited provides various commercial banking products and services in Thailand and internationally. It operates through Domestic Banking, International Banking, Investment Banking, and Others segments. The company provides various personal banking products and services, including savings, current, fixed deposit, foreign currency deposit, securities trading, and other accounts; home and personal loans, as well as loans for pensioners; mutual funds; bonds and debentures; life and non-life bancassurance products; payment, funds transfer, currency exchange and foreign instrument, and SMS services; debit, credit, travel, and prepaid cards; and internet and mobile banking, ATM, and other services. It also offers business banking products and services comprising operating accounts; e-bank confirmation on blockchain, loans for SMEs, and electronic guarantee services, as well as online payments for buyers/dealers; securities services, such as custodian, mutual fund supervisor, provident fund registrar, securities registrar, and debenture holders' representative services; payment, collection, liquid management, and merchant services; digital banking services; and commercial cards. In addition, the company provides trade finance, remittances, export and import, project, corporate finance, electronic, capital market, project and structured finance, and financial advisory services, as well as business property insurance, and FX and interest rate risk management services. Further, it offers fund management, securities, and assets management services. The company was founded in 1944 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Bangkok Bank Public Company reported revenue of $248B in FY2025 versus $100B in FY2021, a compound +25.3%/yr. Reported net income was $46.3B in FY2025, compounding +15.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +5.4 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
BGKKF screens 15% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →
Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1086 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA | 6,350 IDR | 4,637 IDR | -27% |
| KB Financial Group 105560 | 168,100 KRW | 220,258 KRW | +31% |
| PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI | 3,110 IDR | 3,792 IDR | +22% |
| PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI | 4,130 IDR | 6,067 IDR | +47% |
| Banco Bradesco S.A BBD | 5,120 ARS | 8,400 ARS | +64% |
| Shinhan Financial Group 055550 | 103,800 KRW | 146,032 KRW | +41% |
| Hana Financial Group 086790 | 127,900 KRW | 210,506 KRW | +65% |
| Lloyds Banking Group LYG | 4,138 ARS | 8,275 ARS | +100% |
| Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB | 59,500 VND | 45,959 VND | -23% |
| Woori Financial Group 316140 | 33,000 KRW | 60,758 KRW | +84% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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