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BG Staffing Inc (BGSF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of BG Staffing Inc stock $2.69, price $3.44, that is 21.8% below the price, quality 54 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials US

BS BG Staffing Inc logo Thin data Nov 6, 2026

BG Staffing Inc

BGSF · US
Solid, but expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 22% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 54/100
Moderate debt
Profit last quarter 47% below a year ago.
Fair value $2.69 · Overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −14.7 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -9.0% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 12/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$7.99 $1.58 Fair Value $2.69 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.58 – $7.99 · fair‑value band $1.77 – $3.36 · the $3.44 price screens above the $2.69 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.

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Company profile

BGSF, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides consulting, managed services, and professional workforce solutions in the United States.

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The company operates through The Property Management segment, that offers office and maintenance field talent to various apartment communities and commercial buildings. It serves its products to medium and small companies, as well as consulting companies.

BGSF, Inc. was formerly known as BG Staffing, Inc. and changed its name to BGSF, Inc. in February 2021. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Dallas, Texas.

Stock analysis

BG Staffing Inc (BGSF) currently trades at $3.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.69, 22% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $1.77 (bear) to $3.36 (bull), the price of $3.44 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

BG Staffing Inc reported revenue of $93.3M in FY2025 versus $239M in FY2021, a compound −21.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$7.7M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $36.4M Micro · P/S ratio 0.41 · EPS (TTM) $−0.3100 · Net margin −8.3% · Return on equity −11.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin −3.6% · Revenue (TTM) $92.1M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 14% fair-value upside, at −22%, BGSF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.77 Fair Value $2.69 Bull $3.36
Price $3.44 · Downside -21.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) $1.77 $2.69 $3.36 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.77 $2.69 $3.36 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 40
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 10
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 10
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 90
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 69
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 22
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 20
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 95
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.

Plus 10 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−65.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−32.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −8.1% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−0.6% (2020) → −10.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

BGSF screens overvalued: fair value 22% below the price. Compare with Randstad N.V →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Staffing & Employment Services · 83 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 54 · Below median
Fair Value upside −21.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −13.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −9.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −3.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −5.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.79× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Staffing & Employment Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.76× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.40× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.41× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)4 · sector 77
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 19
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 41
HEALTH (low debt)60 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 68

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Staffing & Employment Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
FESCO Group 600861 ¥13.05 ¥39.00 +199% vs BGSF
Shanghai Foreign Service Holding 600662 ¥4.34 ¥7.94 +83% vs BGSF
TriNet Group TNET $66.63 $106.61 +60% vs BGSF
Korn Ferry, KFY $75.38 $104.11 +38% vs BGSF
Adecco Group ADEN CHF 22.68 CHF 25.75 +14% vs BGSF
Randstad N.V RAND €41.24 €35.79 −13% vs BGSF
Kforce Inc KFRC $54.15 $35.05 −35% vs BGSF
ManpowerGroup Inc MAN $44.50 $27.93 −37% vs BGSF
Robert Half Inc RHI $41.84 $23.55 −44% vs BGSF
Insperity, Inc NSP $49.82 $17.38 −65% vs BGSF

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BG Staffing Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BG Staffing Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BGSF

Frequently asked questions

Is BG Staffing Inc (BGSF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.69 versus a price of $3.44, about 22% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BGSF?
Our model-based fair value for BG Staffing Inc is $2.69 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.44.
What is the quality score of BGSF?
BG Staffing Inc has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for BG Staffing Inc (BGSF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.69 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.77, optimistic scenario $3.36. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the BG Staffing Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.69, about 22% lower versus a price of $3.44 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.77, optimistic scenario $3.36. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of BG Staffing Inc (BGSF)?
BG Staffing Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $92.1M (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of BG Staffing Inc (BGSF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For BG Staffing Inc it is $2.69 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $3.44. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is BG Staffing Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, BGSF trades above its calculated fair value: price $3.44, fair value $2.69, a gap of about −22% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BGSF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.44); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.69). For BG Staffing Inc the two are $0.7500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is BG Staffing Inc worth?
The market values BG Staffing Inc at about $36.4M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $3.44; our models calculate a fair value of $2.69 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BGSF?
Our models span a range for BG Staffing Inc: cautious scenario $1.77, base $2.69, optimistic $3.36 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $3.44). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of BGSF?
The PEG ratio of BG Staffing Inc is 0.41 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of BG Staffing Inc (BGSF)?
Balance-sheet figures for BG Staffing Inc (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity −11.2%, debt of 0.79 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BGSF from its 52-week high?
BG Staffing Inc trades at $3.44, about 48% below its 52-week high of $6.58 and 5% above the low of $3.27 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.69 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to BG Staffing Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Randstad N.V, Adecco Group, Korn Ferry,, Robert Half Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is BG Staffing Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $3.44, calculated fair value $2.69 (−22%), Quality Score 54/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BGSF calculated?
We run BG Staffing Inc through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $2.69 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. BG Staffing Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of BG Staffing Inc (BGSF)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $3.44. Our model-based fair value is $2.69, about 22% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with BG Staffing Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.36). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($1.77 to $3.36) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of BG Staffing Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of BG Staffing Inc (BGSF)?
The market capitalisation of BG Staffing Inc is $36.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of BG Staffing Inc (BGSF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of BG Staffing Inc is 0.41 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of BG Staffing Inc (BGSF)?
Earnings per share at BG Staffing Inc are $−0.3100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of BG Staffing Inc (BGSF)?
The net margin of BG Staffing Inc is −8.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of BG Staffing Inc (BGSF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of BG Staffing Inc is −11.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of BG Staffing Inc (BGSF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of BG Staffing Inc is −0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of BG Staffing Inc (BGSF)?
The operating margin of BG Staffing Inc is −3.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at BG Staffing Inc (BGSF)?
Revenue at BG Staffing Inc is growing −5.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −32.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at BG Staffing Inc (BGSF)?
Earnings per share at BG Staffing Inc are growing −47.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does BG Staffing Inc (BGSF) generate?
The free cash flow of BG Staffing Inc is −$25.0K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does BG Staffing Inc (BGSF) hold?
BG Staffing Inc holds more cash than debt, $17.4M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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