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BG Staffing Inc (BGSF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of BG Staffing Inc $14.88, price $4.96, upside +200.0%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? Yes
Good quality? No
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Industrials · US · ISIN US05601C1053

Thin data Sep 23, 2026

BG Staffing Inc

BGSF · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $14.88 · Strongly undervalued (+200%)

!Quality 48/100

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −14.7 %/yr)

!Loss-making · -12.0% net margin (TTM)

!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow

!Trails peers (3/11)

!Narrow moat 12/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

26 models, one by oneBear $13.82 to bull $16.45 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 48/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.58 – $7.99 · fair‑value band $13.82 – $16.45 · the $4.96 price screens below the $14.88 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

BGSF, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides consulting, managed services, and professional workforce solutions in the United States. The company operates through The Property Management segment, that offers office and maintenance field talent to various apartment communities and commercial buildings. It serves its products to medium and small companies, as well as consulting companies. BGSF, Inc. was formerly known as BG Staffing, Inc. and changed its name to BGSF, Inc. in February 2021. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Dallas, Texas.

Stock analysis

BG Staffing Inc (BGSF) currently trades at $4.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.88, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $15.56 per share, and 2 of the 3 models we run sit above the $4.96 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $3.01, and 1 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $13.82 (bear) to $16.45 (bull), the price of $4.96 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

BG Staffing Inc reported revenue of $93.3M in FY2025 versus $239M in FY2021, a compound −21.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$7.7M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $55.0M · P/S ratio 0.59 · EPS (TTM) $−0.9700 · Net margin −8.3% · Return on equity −16.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.2% · Operating margin −5.1% · Revenue (TTM) $93.3M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 200%, BGSF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $13.82 Fair Value $14.88 Bull $16.45

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

Gordon GGM $14.56 $15.56 $17.03 69

DDM Multi-Stage $14.56 $16.85 $19.71 67

NCAV (Graham) $2.24 $3.01 $4.49 54

All 3 models by family

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM $14.56 $15.56 $17.03 69

DDM Multi-Stage $14.56 $16.85 $19.71 67

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) $2.24 $3.01 $4.49 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 40

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 10

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 10

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 90

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 100

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 70

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 36

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 51

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 63

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100

Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Revenue growth 1 year

−65.8%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−32.1%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−14.7%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −8.1% a year

Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+4.5%

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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

−0.6% (2020) → −10.0% (2025)

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss

not computed

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Compare BG Staffing Inc with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Staffing & Employment Services · 83 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 48 · Bottom 25%

Fair Value upside +200% · Top 25%

Profitability

Return on assets −4% · Bottom 25%

Net margin (TTM) −12% · Bottom 25%

Operating margin (TTM) −5% · Bottom 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.79× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Staffing & Employment Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.14× · Cheaper than median

P/S (TTM) 0.59× · Pricier than median

PEG 0.44× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 60

FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 1

PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 41

HEALTH (low debt)60 · sector 95

DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 73

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Staffing & Employment Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Adecco Group ADEN	CHF 23.82	CHF 26.63	+12%
Korn Ferry, KFY	$75.86	$114.56	+51%
Robert Half Inc RHI	$37.58	$24.81	−34%
TriNet Group TNET	$66.71	$97.07	+46%
ManpowerGroup Inc MAN	$57.63	$23.19	−60%
Insperity, Inc NSP	$50.26	$17.34	−65%
Grupa Pracuj S.A GPP	56.80 PLN	65.88 PLN	+16%
Barrett Business Services, Inc BBSI	$33.26	$35.55	+7%
Maharah for Human Resources Company 1831	4.35 SAR	5.22 SAR	+20%
Kforce Inc KFRC	$51.99	$35.44	−32%

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BG Staffing Inc · Fair Value
$14.88 +67%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BGSF" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">BG Staffing Inc · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">$14.88</b> <span style="color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;font-size:14px">+67%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BG Staffing Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BGSF

Frequently asked questions

Is BG Staffing Inc (BGSF) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $14.88 versus a price of $4.96, about +200% upside (undervalued).

What is the fair value of BGSF?

Our model-based fair value for BG Staffing Inc is $14.88 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.96.

What is the quality score of BGSF?

BG Staffing Inc has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for BG Staffing Inc (BGSF)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of $14.88 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $13.82, optimistic scenario $16.45. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the BG Staffing Inc stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at $14.88, about +200% upside versus a price of $4.96 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $13.82, optimistic scenario $16.45. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of BG Staffing Inc (BGSF)?

BG Staffing Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $93.3M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of BG Staffing Inc (BGSF)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For BG Staffing Inc it is $14.88 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $4.96. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is BG Staffing Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 23, 2026, BGSF trades below its calculated fair value: price $4.96, fair value $14.88, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of BGSF?

No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.96); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($14.88). For BG Staffing Inc the two are $9.92 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is BG Staffing Inc worth?

The market values BG Staffing Inc at about $55.0M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $4.96; our models calculate a fair value of $14.88 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BGSF?

Our models span a range for BG Staffing Inc: cautious scenario $13.82, base $14.88, optimistic $16.45 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $4.96). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the PEG ratio of BGSF?

The PEG ratio of BG Staffing Inc is 0.44 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.

How solid is the balance sheet of BG Staffing Inc (BGSF)?

Balance-sheet figures for BG Staffing Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −16.5%, debt of 0.79 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is BGSF from its 52-week high?

BG Staffing Inc trades at $4.96, about 25% below its 52-week high of $6.58 and 52% above the low of $3.27 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $14.88 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to BG Staffing Inc?

From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adecco Group, Korn Ferry,, Robert Half Inc, TriNet Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is BG Staffing Inc stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $4.96, calculated fair value $14.88 (+200%), Quality Score 48/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of BGSF calculated?

We run BG Staffing Inc through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $14.88, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. BG Staffing Inc currently trades 200 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of BG Staffing Inc (BGSF)?

The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $4.96. Our model-based fair value is $14.88, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with BG Staffing Inc right now?

The price is below even our cautious bear case ($13.82). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of BG Staffing Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of BG Staffing Inc (BGSF)?

The market capitalisation of BG Staffing Inc is $55.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of BG Staffing Inc (BGSF)?

The price-to-sales ratio of BG Staffing Inc is 0.59 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of BG Staffing Inc (BGSF)?

Earnings per share at BG Staffing Inc are $−0.9700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the net margin of BG Staffing Inc (BGSF)?

The net margin of BG Staffing Inc is −8.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of BG Staffing Inc (BGSF)?

The return on equity (ROE) of BG Staffing Inc is −16.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of BG Staffing Inc (BGSF)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of BG Staffing Inc is −0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of BG Staffing Inc (BGSF)?

The operating margin of BG Staffing Inc is −5.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast are earnings growing at BG Staffing Inc (BGSF)?

Earnings per share at BG Staffing Inc are growing −47.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does BG Staffing Inc (BGSF) generate?

The free cash flow of BG Staffing Inc is −$25.0K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net cash does BG Staffing Inc (BGSF) hold?

BG Staffing Inc holds more cash than debt, $17.4M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.

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