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BGSF, Inc (BGSF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $54.9M

BI BGSF, Inc logo BGSF, Inc BGSF · US
Price$5.62
Fair Value$16.83
Upside+199.5%
Quality48/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -12.0% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Low Range $15.62 – $18.65 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $17.50 to $16.83 (−3.8%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −1.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 199% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($15.62). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$7.99 $1.58 Fair Value $16.83 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.58 – $7.99 · fair‑value band $15.62 – $18.65 · the $5.62 price screens below the $16.83 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

BGSF, Inc (BGSF) currently trades at $5.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.83, implying the stock looks roughly 199.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, BGSF, Inc generated revenue of $93.3M at a net margin of -12.0%. It earns a return on equity of -16.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $17.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $15.62 (bear case) to $18.65 (bull case); at $5.62, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 98% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 23% fair-value upside, at 199%, BGSF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $14.56 $15.56 $17.03 70
DDM Multi-Stage $14.56 $16.85 $19.71 61
NCAV (Graham) $2.24 $3.01 $4.49 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $14.56 $15.56 $17.03 70
DDM Multi-Stage $14.56 $16.85 $19.71 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.24 $3.01 $4.49 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($15.56) versus Asset-Based ($3.01). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $93.3M
Net margin -12.0%
Return on equity -16.5%
Free cash flow −$25.0K FY2025
Operating margin -5.1%
EPS (TTM) $-0.9700
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -47.3%
Net cash $17.4M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 10
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 62
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 63
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

BGSF, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides consulting, managed services, and professional workforce solutions in the United States. The company operates through The Property Management segment, that offers office and maintenance field talent to various apartment communities and commercial buildings.

Full company description

BGSF, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides consulting, managed services, and professional workforce solutions in the United States. The company operates through The Property Management segment, that offers office and maintenance field talent to various apartment communities and commercial buildings. It serves its products to medium and small companies, as well as consulting companies. BGSF, Inc. was formerly known as BG Staffing, Inc. and changed its name to BGSF, Inc. in February 2021. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Dallas, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

BGSF, Inc reported revenue of $93.3M in FY2025 versus $239M in FY2021, a compound −21.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$7.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$93.3M
Latest YoY
−65.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−32.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−14.7%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.5%
Revenue −21.0%/yr
FY21 $239M
FY22 $298M
FY23 $313M
FY24 $272M
FY25 $93.3M
Net income
FY21 $14.1M
FY22 $25.4M
FY23 −$10.2M
FY24 −$3.3M
FY25 −$7.7M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BGSF, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BGSF

Peer Group

Staffing & Employment Services · 85 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +200% · Top 25%
Return on assets -4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -12% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -5% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.79× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Staffing & Employment Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.14× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.59× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.44× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 41
FUTURE 0 · sector 1
PAST 0 · sector 36
HEALTH 60 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 60

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Staffing & Employment Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adecco Group ADEN CHF 20.46 CHF 23.73 +16%
Korn Ferry, KFY $78.61 $114.56 +46%
Robert Half Inc RHI $36.70 $22.10 -40%
TriNet Group TNET $57.56 $70.85 +23%
ManpowerGroup Inc MAN $39.02 $29.67 -24%
Insperity, Inc NSP $49.48 $17.34 -65%
FESCO Group 600861 ¥13.24 ¥45.46 +243%
Grupa Pracuj S.A GPP 47.40 PLN 65.45 PLN +38%
Barrett Business Services, Inc BBSI $37.43 $38.42 +3%
Maharah for Human Resources Company 1831 5.36 SAR 6.92 SAR +29%

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Frequently asked questions

Is BGSF, Inc (BGSF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.83 versus a price of $5.62, about +199% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BGSF?
Our model-based fair value for BGSF, Inc is $16.83 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $5.62.
What is the quality score of BGSF?
BGSF, Inc has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of BGSF, Inc (BGSF)?
BGSF, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $93.3M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BGSF?
The net profit margin of BGSF, Inc is about -12.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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