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PT Bank Ganesha Tbk (BGTG) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · ID · Market cap 2.6T IDR

PB PT Bank Ganesha Tbk BGTG · JK
Price112.00 IDR
Fair Value123.16 IDR
Upside+10.0%
Quality41/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 42.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/12)
Moderate moat 64/100
Evidence: High Range 92.37 IDR – 153.95 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price +2.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

332.87 IDR 59.00 IDR Fair Value 123.16 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 59.00 IDR – 332.87 IDR · fair‑value band 92.37 IDR – 153.95 IDR · the 112.00 IDR price screens below the 123.16 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

PT Bank Ganesha Tbk (BGTG) currently trades at 112.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 123.16 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 10.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Bank Ganesha Tbk generated revenue of 551B IDR at a net margin of 42.0%. Revenue grew 1.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.6T IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 92.37 IDR (bear case) to 153.95 IDR (bull case); at 112.00 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 10%, BGTG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/E Multiple 92.37 IDR 123.16 IDR 153.95 IDR 63
Residual Income 123.81 IDR 128.92 IDR 134.41 IDR 61
P/B Multiple 120.79 IDR 161.06 IDR 201.32 IDR 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple 92.37 IDR 123.16 IDR 153.95 IDR 63
P/B Multiple 120.79 IDR 161.06 IDR 201.32 IDR 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 76.95 IDR 103.12 IDR 153.91 IDR 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 123.81 IDR 128.92 IDR 134.41 IDR 61

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (128.92 IDR) versus Asset-Based (103.12 IDR). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 551B IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.5%
Net margin 42.0%
Return on equity 6.4%
Free cash flow −1.3T IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 10.4
More key figures
Operating margin 60.9%
EPS (TTM) 9.58 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) +7.8%
Net cash 1.6T IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 64
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Bank Ganesha Tbk provides various general banking products and services for individuals and businesses in Indonesia. The company operates through Banking, Consumer, Treasury, and Others segments. It offers savings, current, and time deposits accounts. The company also provides personal, fixed income, car, housing, working capital, and investment loans.

Full company description

PT Bank Ganesha Tbk provides various general banking products and services for individuals and businesses in Indonesia. The company operates through Banking, Consumer, Treasury, and Others segments. It offers savings, current, and time deposits accounts. The company also provides personal, fixed income, car, housing, working capital, and investment loans. In addition, it offers safe deposit boxes, ATM debit cards, and e-statements, foreign exchange, remittance, BI-fast, ATM and CRM machine, payment, tax payment, export/import, mutual funds, SBN, government bonds, mobile and internet banking services, electronic wallets, and bancassurance products. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Bank Ganesha Tbk reported revenue of 800B IDR in FY2025 versus 359B IDR in FY2021, a compound +22.2%/yr. Reported net income was 227B IDR in FY2025, compounding +113.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
800B IDR
Latest YoY
+2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.7%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.0%
Revenue +22.2%/yr
FY21 359B IDR
FY22 477B IDR
FY23 643B IDR
FY24 784B IDR
FY25 800B IDR
Net income +113.8%/yr
FY21 10.9B IDR
FY22 46.0B IDR
FY23 104B IDR
FY24 202B IDR
FY25 227B IDR
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +10.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share −4.1 pp

of which total revenue +13.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −17.3 pp

EBIT margin +14.7 pp
Tax rate +0.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Bank Ganesha Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BGTG

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +10% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 42% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 61% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.71× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.75× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 47 · sector 39
FUTURE 8 · sector 44
PAST 26 · sector 41
HEALTH 100 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Bank Ganesha Tbk (BGTG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 123.16 IDR versus a price of 112.00 IDR, about +10% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BGTG?
Our model-based fair value for PT Bank Ganesha Tbk is 123.16 IDR (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 112.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of BGTG?
PT Bank Ganesha Tbk has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Bank Ganesha Tbk (BGTG)?
PT Bank Ganesha Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 551B IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BGTG?
The net profit margin of PT Bank Ganesha Tbk is about 42.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 42.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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