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Brighthouse Financial, Inc (BHFAL) Fair Value & Analysis

Other · US · Market cap $3.4B

BF Brighthouse Financial, Inc logo Brighthouse Financial, Inc BHFAL · US
Price$15.76
Fair Value$31.16
Upside+97.8%
Quality52/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
7.73% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/11)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: High Range $24.59 – $33.61 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $30.69 to $31.16 (+1.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −1.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 98% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($24.59). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$21.99 $15.05 Fair Value $31.16 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $15.05 – $21.99 · fair‑value band $24.59 – $33.61 · the $15.76 price screens below the $31.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Brighthouse Financial, Inc (BHFAL) currently trades at $15.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $31.16, implying the stock looks roughly 97.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Other sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $2.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $24.59 (bear case) to $33.61 (bull case); at $15.76, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Other peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 98%, BHFAL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $24.29 $25.05 $25.45 76
ROIC Compounder $27.98 $30.78 $34.67 72
Gordon GGM $4.10 $7.44 $11.69 70
All 15 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $13.49 $33.70 $43.72 54
PEG = 1.0 $6.16 $8.81 $11.45 46
EPV $27.98 $30.78 $33.20 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $4.10 $7.44 $11.69 70
DDM Multi-Stage $4.10 $6.11 $8.19 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $20.82 $27.76 $34.70 63
P/S Multiple $25.28 $33.71 $42.14 58
P/B Multiple $25.28 $33.71 $42.14 55
EV/EBIT $26.49 $31.92 $37.35 53
EV/EBITDA $15.18 $16.84 $18.49 54
EV/Revenue $29.97 $38.43 $46.90 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $15.50 $20.77 $31.00 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $24.29 $25.05 $25.45 76
ROIC Compounder $27.98 $30.78 $34.67 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $16.66 $23.80 $30.94 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($31.92) versus Dividend Discount ($6.11). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Free cash flow −$102M FY2025
Dividend yield 7.7%
Net cash $2.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 40
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 8
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 98
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Brighthouse Financial, Inc. provides a range of annuity and life insurance products in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Annuities, Life, and Run-off.

Full company description

Brighthouse Financial, Inc. provides a range of annuity and life insurance products in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Annuities, Life, and Run-off. It offers variable, fixed, index-linked, and income annuities for contract holders' needs for protected wealth accumulation on a tax-deferred basis, wealth transfer, and income security; and term, whole, universal, and variable life insurance products for policyholders' needs for financial security and protected wealth transfer. The company was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Brighthouse Financial, Inc reported revenue of $6.2B in FY2025 versus $7.1B in FY2021, a compound −3.4%/yr. Reported net income was $433M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 20/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$6.2B
Latest YoY
+42.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
−2.9%
Revenue −3.4%/yr
FY21 $7.1B
FY22 $6.6B
FY23 $4.0B
FY24 $4.4B
FY25 $6.2B
Net income
FY21 −$103M
FY22 $3.9B
FY23 −$1.1B
FY24 $388M
FY25 $433M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Brighthouse Financial, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BHFAL

Peer Group

Other · 390 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside +98% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth 0% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.47× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Other median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.51× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 1.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 8
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 77 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 0

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

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Lupin Limited 500257 ₹2,476 ₹1,983 -20%
540719 540719 ₹1,788 ₹850.02 -52%
524804 524804 ₹1,620 ₹1,268 -22%
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Eicher Motors Limited 505200 ₹7,340 ₹6,859 -7%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Brighthouse Financial, Inc (BHFAL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $31.16 versus a price of $15.76, about +98% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BHFAL?
Our model-based fair value for Brighthouse Financial, Inc is $31.16 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $15.76.
What is the quality score of BHFAL?
Brighthouse Financial, Inc has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of BHFAL?
The net profit margin of Brighthouse Financial, Inc is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Brighthouse Financial, Inc pay a dividend?
Brighthouse Financial, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.73% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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