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Graha Layar Prima Tbk (BLTZ) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 21, 2026: fair value of Graha Layar Prima Tbk IDR 2,200, price IDR 2,000, upside +10.0%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Communication Services · ID · ISIN ID1000131402

GL Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Graha Layar Prima Tbk

BLTZ · JK

NeutralQuality growthThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value 2,200 IDR · Fairly valued (+10%)
!Quality 64/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +37.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (9/13)
!Narrow moat 42/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

4,540 IDR 1,630 IDR Fair Value 2,200 IDR Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1,630 IDR – 4,540 IDR · fair‑value band 1,862 IDR – 2,806 IDR · the 2,000 IDR price screens below the 2,200 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Graha Layar Prima Tbk, through its subsidiary, operates in the cinema industry in Indonesia. The company provides food and beverage, event and advertising, and licensing and management services, as well as recreation and other entertainment services.

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PT Graha Layar Prima Tbk, through its subsidiary, operates in the cinema industry in Indonesia. The company provides food and beverage, event and advertising, and licensing and management services, as well as recreation and other entertainment services. It is also involved in the exhibition, production, postproduction and distribution of film and video; private television programme; export and import of films and video recordings; and film and video post-production activities, as well as the operation of CGV Cinemas. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia. PT Graha Layar Prima Tbk is a subsidiary of CGI Holdings Limited.

Stock analysis

Graha Layar Prima Tbk (BLTZ) currently trades at 2,000 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,200 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 5,846 IDR per share, and 15 of the 24 models we run sit above the 2,000 IDR price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 345.52 IDR, and 9 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 1,862 IDR (bear) to 2,806 IDR (bull), the price of 2,000 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Graha Layar Prima Tbk reported revenue of 1.3T IDR in FY2025 versus 285B IDR in FY2021, a compound +45.0%/yr. Reported net income was 60.8B IDR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 2.5T IDR (≈ $140M) · P/E ratio 36.4 · P/S ratio 1.76 · EPS (TTM) 78.93 IDR · Net margin 4.8% · Return on equity 17.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3% · Operating margin −3.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at 10%, BLTZ screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 1,862 IDR Fair Value 2,200 IDR Bull 2,806 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (57.95 IDR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 4,658 IDR 6,867 IDR 12,412 IDR 77
Growth DCF 4,433 IDR 7,177 IDR 11,644 IDR 75
Owner Earnings 3,474 IDR 6,565 IDR 11,935 IDR 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 4,658 IDR 6,867 IDR 12,412 IDR 77
Owner Earnings 3,474 IDR 6,565 IDR 11,935 IDR 72
5Y Revenue Exit 3,109 IDR 4,946 IDR 8,343 IDR 70
5Y EBITDA Exit 3,934 IDR 6,735 IDR 11,681 IDR 72
5Y P/E Exit 2,537 IDR 3,933 IDR 5,578 IDR 70
10Y Revenue Exit 3,578 IDR 5,846 IDR 8,331 IDR 65
10Y EBITDA Exit 4,132 IDR 7,165 IDR 12,379 IDR 65
10Y P/E Exit 3,292 IDR 4,931 IDR 7,385 IDR 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 473.37 IDR 3,275 IDR 4,595 IDR 60
Lynch FV 965.33 IDR 1,379 IDR 1,793 IDR 58
PEG = 1.0 965.33 IDR 1,379 IDR 1,793 IDR 55
EPV 1,623 IDR 1,789 IDR 1,924 IDR 72
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1,149 IDR 1,531 IDR 1,914 IDR 61
P/S Multiple 887.57 IDR 1,183 IDR 1,479 IDR 56
P/B Multiple 887.57 IDR 1,183 IDR 1,479 IDR 53
EV/EBIT 2,823 IDR 3,685 IDR 4,547 IDR 65
EV/EBITDA 3,711 IDR 4,868 IDR 6,026 IDR 66
EV/Revenue 2,198 IDR 3,039 IDR 3,879 IDR 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 257.85 IDR 345.52 IDR 515.70 IDR 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 4,433 IDR 7,177 IDR 11,644 IDR 75
Rev-Margin DCF 3,109 IDR 5,222 IDR 8,333 IDR 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income 445.89 IDR 504.96 IDR 802.12 IDR 68
ROIC Compounder 1,769 IDR 2,116 IDR 2,499 IDR 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1,352 IDR 1,931 IDR 2,510 IDR 66

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 84
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 24
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 95/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.2% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−6.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−162% → 15%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+0.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −1.9% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 263 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +10% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) −4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.05× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 36.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 5.57× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.96× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 7.8× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)47 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)55 · sector 11
PAST (return on equity)70 · sector 5
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 46

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc NFLX $72.16 $79.38 +10%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $103.46 $100.87 −3%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $30.83 $13.47 −56%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $169.84 $64.71 −62%
Universal Music Group UMG €14.55 €16.00 +10%
TKO Group TKO $188.87 $95.50 −49%
Formula One Group FWONK $94.62 $104.08 +10%
Fox Corporation FOXA $63.96 $89.49 +40%
Roku, Inc ROKU $153.49 $42.88 −72%
News Corporation NWS A$45.40 A$29.85 −34%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Graha Layar Prima Tbk (BLTZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2,200 IDR versus a price of 2,000 IDR, about +10% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BLTZ?
Our model-based fair value for Graha Layar Prima Tbk is 2,200 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2,000 IDR.
What is the quality score of BLTZ?
Graha Layar Prima Tbk has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Graha Layar Prima Tbk (BLTZ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2,200 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1,862 IDR, optimistic scenario 2,806 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Graha Layar Prima Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2,200 IDR, about +10% upside versus a price of 2,000 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 1,862 IDR, optimistic scenario 2,806 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Graha Layar Prima Tbk (BLTZ)?
Graha Layar Prima Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Graha Layar Prima Tbk (BLTZ)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Graha Layar Prima Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by +0.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +37.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BLTZ use?
Our models discount Graha Layar Prima Tbk at 13.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.44, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Graha Layar Prima Tbk that is +0.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Graha Layar Prima Tbk (BLTZ) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Graha Layar Prima Tbk grew +37.5 % a year. The price currently implies +0.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Graha Layar Prima Tbk (BLTZ) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Graha Layar Prima Tbk (+0.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Graha Layar Prima Tbk (BLTZ)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.75 %: that much free cash flow Graha Layar Prima Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Graha Layar Prima Tbk (BLTZ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Graha Layar Prima Tbk it is 2,200 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 2,000 IDR. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Graha Layar Prima Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, BLTZ trades below its calculated fair value: price 2,000 IDR, fair value 2,200 IDR, a gap of about +10% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BLTZ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2,000 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2,200 IDR). For Graha Layar Prima Tbk the two are 200.00 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Graha Layar Prima Tbk worth?
The market values Graha Layar Prima Tbk at about 2.5T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 2,000 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 2,200 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BLTZ?
Our models span a range for Graha Layar Prima Tbk: cautious scenario 1,862 IDR, base 2,200 IDR, optimistic 2,806 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 2,000 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BLTZ?
Graha Layar Prima Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 36.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 2,200 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.6, P/S 2.0, EV/EBITDA 7.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Graha Layar Prima Tbk (BLTZ)?
Balance-sheet figures for Graha Layar Prima Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 17.6%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BLTZ from its 52-week high?
Graha Layar Prima Tbk trades at 2,000 IDR, about 39% below its 52-week high of 3,300 IDR and at the low of 2,000 IDR (as of Sep 21, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2,200 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Graha Layar Prima Tbk?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Graha Layar Prima Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 2,000 IDR, calculated fair value 2,200 IDR (+10%), Quality Score 64/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BLTZ calculated?
We run Graha Layar Prima Tbk through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2,200 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Graha Layar Prima Tbk currently trades 10 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Graha Layar Prima Tbk (BLTZ)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was 2,000 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 2,200 IDR, about +10% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Graha Layar Prima Tbk right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of Graha Layar Prima Tbk

How large is the market capitalisation of Graha Layar Prima Tbk (BLTZ)?
The market capitalisation of Graha Layar Prima Tbk is 2.5T IDR (≈ $140M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Graha Layar Prima Tbk (BLTZ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Graha Layar Prima Tbk is 1.76 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Graha Layar Prima Tbk (BLTZ)?
Earnings per share at Graha Layar Prima Tbk are 78.93 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 36.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Graha Layar Prima Tbk (BLTZ)?
The net margin of Graha Layar Prima Tbk is 4.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Graha Layar Prima Tbk (BLTZ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Graha Layar Prima Tbk is 17.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Graha Layar Prima Tbk (BLTZ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Graha Layar Prima Tbk is 3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Graha Layar Prima Tbk (BLTZ)?
The operating margin of Graha Layar Prima Tbk is −3.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Graha Layar Prima Tbk (BLTZ)?
Revenue at Graha Layar Prima Tbk is growing +11.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Graha Layar Prima Tbk (BLTZ)?
Earnings per share at Graha Layar Prima Tbk are growing +116% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Graha Layar Prima Tbk (BLTZ) carry?
The net debt of Graha Layar Prima Tbk is 971B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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