Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited (BMM) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$7.2M
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 26, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated today
Share price −18.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and trading another 76% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0355). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (21/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0280 – A$0.9200 · fair‑value band A$0.0302 – A$0.0355 · the A$0.0530 price screens above the A$0.0302 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 26, 2026.
Analysis
Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited (BMM) currently trades at A$0.0530, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0302, implying the stock looks roughly 43.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$19.9K. It earns a return on equity of -33.6%. Fundamentals as of Aug 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0302 (bear case) to A$0.0355 (bull case); at A$0.0530, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -43%, BMM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (A$0.0100) versus Multiples (A$0.0100). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 24 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 7
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited, a mineral exploration company, engages in the exploration of EV metals in North America. The company explores for silver, gold, and lithium deposits.
Full company description
Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited, a mineral exploration company, engages in the exploration of EV metals in North America. The company explores for silver, gold, and lithium deposits. It holds 100% interests in the Bayan Springs projects located in Nevada; Desert Star projects located in California; Pepita Gold project located in Brazil; Arrel Lithium project, located in Ontario, Canada; and Gorge Lithium project and Tango Lithium project in Canada. The company was formerly known as Balkan Mining and Minerals Limited and changed its name to Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited in December 2024. Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited was incorporated in 2020 and is based in Perth, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited reported revenue of A$2.7K in FY2024 versus A$2 in FY2020, a compound +506.7%/yr. Reported net income was −A$3.9M in FY2024.
BMM screens 43% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 484 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHP | A$63.71 | A$42.33 | -34% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $13.63 | $8.95 | -34% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 65.50 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -48% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.42 | ¥16.15 | -12% |
| Teck Resources Limited TECK | $65.95 | $31.92 | -52% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹573.00 | ₹508.34 | -11% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥70.43 | ¥9.55 | -86% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥41.02 | ¥10.59 | -74% |
| Boliden AB BOL | kr 527.80 | kr 461.48 | -13% |
| Western Mining Co 601168 | ¥37.85 | ¥25.99 | -31% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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