Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited (BMM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited A$0.03, price A$0.05, upside -43.0%, quality 30 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited, a mineral exploration company, engages in the exploration of EV metals in North America. The company explores for silver, gold, and lithium deposits.
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Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited, a mineral exploration company, engages in the exploration of EV metals in North America. The company explores for silver, gold, and lithium deposits. It holds 100% interests in the Bayan Springs projects located in Nevada; Desert Star projects located in California; Pepita Gold project located in Brazil; Arrel Lithium project, located in Ontario, Canada; and Gorge Lithium project and Tango Lithium project in Canada. The company was formerly known as Balkan Mining and Minerals Limited and changed its name to Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited in December 2024. Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited was incorporated in 2020 and is based in Perth, Australia.
Stock analysis
Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited (BMM) currently trades at A$0.0530, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0302, 43.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited reported revenue of A$2.7K in FY2024 versus A$2 in FY2020, a compound +506.7%/yr. Reported net income was −A$1.2M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$7.2M (≈ $5.0M) · P/S ratio 59.5 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −41.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −54.0% · Operating margin −543% · Revenue growth (YoY) +145% · Free cash flow −A$985K.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 79% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −43%, BMM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−12.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+55.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.8%
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.3%
’17
’19
’21
’22
’23
’24
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−7,734.9% (2019) → −64,174.4% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 374 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−43.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−16.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth144.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.15× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.12× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)41.38× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 78
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)93· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 30
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BMM
Frequently asked questions
Is Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited (BMM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0302 versus a price of A$0.0530, about −43% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BMM?
Our model-based fair value for Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited is A$0.0302 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0530.
What is the quality score of BMM?
Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited (BMM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0302 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 1 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0302, about −43% upside versus a price of A$0.0530 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited (BMM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited it is A$0.0302 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of A$0.0530. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, BMM trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0530, fair value A$0.0302, a gap of about −43% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BMM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0530); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0302). For Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited the two are A$0.0228 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited worth?
The market values Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited at about A$7.2M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0530; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0302 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited (BMM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −41.4%, debt of 0.15 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BMM from its 52-week high?
Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited trades at A$0.0530, about 79% below its 52-week high of A$0.2550 and 4% above the low of A$0.0510 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0302 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Fortescue Ltd, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price A$0.0530, calculated fair value A$0.0302 (−43%), Quality Score 30/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BMM calculated?
We run Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0302, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited (BMM)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was A$0.0530. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0302, about −43% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited right now?
Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited (BMM)?
The market capitalisation of Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited is A$7.2M (≈ $5.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited (BMM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited is 59.5 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited (BMM)?
Earnings per share at Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited (BMM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited is −41.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited (BMM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited is −54.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited (BMM)?
The operating margin of Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited is −543% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited (BMM)?
Revenue at Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited is growing +145% versus a year earlier (3y avg +55.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited (BMM) generate?
The free cash flow of Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited is −A$985K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited (BMM) hold?
Bayan Mining and Minerals Limited holds more cash than debt, A$1.4M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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