Blue Moon Metals Inc (BMM) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $505M · ISIN CA09570Q5095
What is Blue Moon Metals Inc really worth?
Blue Moon Metals Inc
BMM · US
Below-average quality, and trading another 760% above our fair value of $0.7200.
As of Aug 16, 2026, the fair value of Blue Moon Metals Inc is $0.7200 per share against a price of $6.19, so the fair value sits 88% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 16, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price +2.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
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What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.9000). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (19/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.4800 to $0.9000) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (7 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
7‑month range $3.57 – $8.46 · fair‑value band $0.4800 – $0.9000 · the $6.19 price screens above the $0.7200 fair value. As of Aug 16, 2026.
Analysis
Blue Moon Metals Inc (BMM) currently trades at $6.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.7200, implying the stock looks roughly 759.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 19/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 88/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
It earns a return on equity of −34.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of C$56.2M. Fundamentals as of Aug 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.4800 (bear case) to $0.9000 (bull case); at $6.19, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 78% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −88%, BMM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Blue Moon Metals Inc. engages in the exploration and development of mineral resource properties in Norway and the United States. The company explores for zinc, silver, gold, lead, germanium, gallium, and copper deposits. Its flagship project is the 100% owned the Nussir project located at the Finnmark county in northern Norway.
Full company description
Blue Moon Metals Inc. engages in the exploration and development of mineral resource properties in Norway and the United States. The company explores for zinc, silver, gold, lead, germanium, gallium, and copper deposits. Its flagship project is the 100% owned the Nussir project located at the Finnmark county in northern Norway. The company was formerly known as Blue Moon Zinc Corp. and changed its name to Blue Moon Metals Inc. in April 2021. Blue Moon Metals Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Blue Moon Metals Inc reported revenue of C$0 in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2022. Reported net income was −C$37.2M in FY2025.
BMM screens 760% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 469 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHP | A$66.84 | A$42.16 | −37% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $15.31 | $8.95 | −42% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 65.50 SAR | 33.87 SAR | −48% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.42 | ¥16.15 | −12% |
| Teck Resources Limited TECK | $69.34 | $32.02 | −54% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹573.00 | ₹508.34 | −11% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥66.76 | ¥9.55 | −86% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥41.02 | ¥10.59 | −74% |
| Western Mining Co 601168 | ¥37.85 | ¥25.99 | −31% |
| Boliden AB BOL | kr 527.80 | kr 461.48 | −13% |
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