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Bank of Marin Bancorp (BMRC) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $415M

BO Bank of Marin Bancorp logo Bank of Marin Bancorp BMRC · US
Price$28.37
Fair Value$34.85
Upside+22.8%
Quality64/100
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Healthy Growth
Loss-making · -90.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.86% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: High Range $26.14 – $43.57 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price +1.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 23% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$32.55 $12.00 Fair Value $34.85 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $12.00 – $32.55 · fair‑value band $26.14 – $43.57 · the $28.37 price screens below the $34.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Bank of Marin Bancorp (BMRC) currently trades at $28.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $34.85, implying the stock looks roughly 22.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Bank of Marin Bancorp generated revenue of $35.3M at a net margin of -90.7%. Revenue grew 25.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $156M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $26.14 (bear case) to $43.57 (bull case); at $28.37, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 23%, BMRC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $20.71 $22.88 $31.28 76
Gordon GGM $7.74 $13.94 $19.20 70
P/E Multiple $26.14 $34.85 $43.57 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $7.74 $13.94 $19.20 70
DDM Multi-Stage $7.74 $12.74 $14.90 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $26.14 $34.85 $43.57 63
P/B Multiple $25.60 $34.13 $42.66 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $12.19 $16.33 $24.38 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $20.71 $22.88 $31.28 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($34.13) versus Dividend Discount ($12.74). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $35.3M
Revenue growth (YoY) +25.3%
Net margin -90.7%
Return on equity -7.7%
Free cash flow $37.3M FY2025
Operating margin 37.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-2.02
Dividend yield 3.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +76.7%
Net cash $156M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 84
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 73
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 19
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 84
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Bank of Marin Bancorp operates as the holding company for Bank of Marin that provides a range of financial services to small to medium-sized businesses, not-for-profit organizations, and commercial real estate investors in the United States.

Full company description

Bank of Marin Bancorp operates as the holding company for Bank of Marin that provides a range of financial services to small to medium-sized businesses, not-for-profit organizations, and commercial real estate investors in the United States. The company offers personal and business checking and savings accounts; and individual retirement, health savings, and demand deposit marketplace accounts, as well as time certificates of deposit, certificate of deposit account registry, and insured cash sweep services. It also provides commercial real estate, commercial and industrial, small business, and consumer loans, as well as construction financing and home equity lines of credit. In addition, the company offers merchant and payroll services; commercial equipment leasing program; payment solutions; treasury management services; credit cards; automated teller machines; and mobile deposit, remote deposit capture, automated clearing house, wire transfer, and image lockbox services. Further, it provides wealth management and trust services comprising customized investment portfolio management, trust administration, estate settlement, and custody services; international banking; and telephone and digital banking services. The company was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Novato, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Bank of Marin Bancorp reported revenue of $177M in FY2025 versus $118M in FY2021, a compound +10.5%/yr. Reported net income was $43.4M in FY2025, compounding +6.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 82/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$177M
Latest YoY
+51.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.3%
Avg. growth/yr (27Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.4%
Revenue +10.5%/yr
FY21 $118M
FY22 $141M
FY23 $142M
FY24 $116M
FY25 $177M
Net income +6.9%/yr
FY21 $33.2M
FY22 $46.6M
FY23 $19.9M
FY24 −$8.4M
FY25 $43.4M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +1.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.5 pp

of which total revenue +7.7 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.2 pp

EBIT margin −5.2 pp
Tax rate +1.4 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bank of Marin Bancorp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BMRC

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +23% · Above median
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -91% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 37% · Below median
Revenue growth 25% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.9% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.11× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.05× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 11.76× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 11.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 4.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 2.56× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 64 · sector 39
FUTURE 100 · sector 44
PAST 0 · sector 41
HEALTH 94 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 77 · sector 49

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bank of Marin Bancorp (BMRC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $34.85 versus a price of $28.37, about +23% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BMRC?
Our model-based fair value for Bank of Marin Bancorp is $34.85 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $28.37.
What is the quality score of BMRC?
Bank of Marin Bancorp has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Bank of Marin Bancorp (BMRC)?
Bank of Marin Bancorp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $35.3M (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BMRC?
The net profit margin of Bank of Marin Bancorp is about -90.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Bank of Marin Bancorp pay a dividend?
Bank of Marin Bancorp currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.86% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 25, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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