BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc (BMRN) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $11.4B
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +1.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 35% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($49.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $49.67 – $117.27 · fair‑value band $29.78 – $49.64 · the $61.46 price screens above the $39.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc (BMRN) currently trades at $61.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $39.71, implying the stock looks roughly 35.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc generated revenue of $3.2B at a net margin of 8.3%. Revenue grew 2.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $669M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $29.78 (bear case) to $49.64 (bull case); at $61.46, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -35%, BMRN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($71.97) versus Dividend Discount ($1.25). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc., a biotechnology company, engages in the development and commercialization of therapies for life-threatening rare diseases and medical conditions in the United States, Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, the Asia Pacific, and internationally.
Full company description
BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc., a biotechnology company, engages in the development and commercialization of therapies for life-threatening rare diseases and medical conditions in the United States, Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. The company's products include VIMIZIM, an enzyme replacement therapy for the treatment of mucopolysaccharidosis (MPS) IV type A, a lysosomal storage disorder; VOXZOGO, a once daily injection analog of c-type natriuretic peptide (CNP) for the treatment of achondroplasia; NAGLAZYME, a recombinant form of N- acetylgalactosamine 4-sulfatase for patients with MPS VI; and PALYNZIQ, a PEGylated recombinant phenylalanine (Phe) ammonia lyase enzyme delivered through subcutaneous injection to reduce blood Phe concentrations. It also develops BRINEURA, a recombinant human tripeptidyl peptidase 1 for the treatment of patients with ceroid lipofuscinosis type 2, a form of Batten disease; ALDURAZYME, a purified protein designed to be identical to a naturally occurring form of the human enzyme alpha-L-iduronidase; and KUVAN, a proprietary synthetic oral form of 6R-BH4 that is used to treat patients with phenylketonuria, an inherited metabolic disease. The company's products under development include BMN 333, a longer-acting CNP for the treatment of multiple growth disorders, such as achondroplasia and hypochondroplasia; and BMN 351, an oligonucleotide for the treatment of duchenne muscular dystrophy. It serves specialty pharmacies, hospitals, non-U.S. government agencies, distributors, and pharmaceutical wholesalers. The company has license and collaboration agreements with and Ares Trading S.A. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is based in San Rafael, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc reported revenue of $3.2B in FY2025 versus $1.8B in FY2021, a compound +14.9%/yr. Reported net income was $349M in FY2025.
BMRN screens 35% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- BioMarin to Host Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results Conference Call and Webcast on Thursday, August 6, 2026, at 4:30pm ET
- Analysts Estimate BioMarin Pharmaceutical (BMRN) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
- BioMarin and n-Lorem Foundation Enter Early Research Collaboration to Develop Potential First-in-Disease Medicine for Newly Identified ReNU
- 2 Reasons to Avoid BMRN and 1 Stock to Buy Instead
Peer Group
Biotechnology · 606 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX | $486.03 | $278.78 | -43% |
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN | $664.45 | $594.40 | -11% |
| Samsung Biologics Co 207940 | 1,368,000 KRW | 1,091,384 KRW | -20% |
| Celltrion, Inc 068270 | 175,800 KRW | 76,325 KRW | -57% |
| WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 | HK$39.54 | HK$30.42 | -23% |
| Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 | HK$86.70 | HK$19.66 | -77% |
| Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 | HK$5.26 | HK$3.36 | -36% |
| ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 | 276,500 KRW | 44,444 KRW | -84% |
| RemeGen Co 688331 | ¥134.02 | ¥26.99 | -80% |
| Biocon Limited BIOCON | ₹440.70 | ₹57.36 | -87% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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