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Boule Diagnostics AB (BOUL) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · SE · Market cap 148M SEK

BD Boule Diagnostics AB BOUL · ST
Pricekr 3.60
Fair Valuekr 2.62
Upside-27.2%
Quality45/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -1.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: Low Range kr 2.62 – kr 2.98 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price −5.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 27% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 2.98). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • The models converge in a tight band (kr 2.62 to kr 2.98), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 44.93 kr 3.15 Fair Value kr 2.62 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 3.15 – kr 44.93 · fair‑value band kr 2.62 – kr 2.98 · the kr 3.60 price screens above the kr 2.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Boule Diagnostics AB (BOUL) currently trades at kr 3.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 2.62, implying the stock looks roughly 27.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Boule Diagnostics AB generated revenue of 478M SEK at a net margin of -1.7%. Revenue declined 10.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.7%. Net debt stands at 235M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 2.62 (bear case) to kr 2.98 (bull case); at kr 3.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -27%, BOUL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder kr 1.84 kr 2.18 kr 2.46 72
EPV kr 1.84 kr 2.18 kr 2.46 59
EV/EBITDA kr 10.83 kr 14.78 kr 18.73 54
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings kr 1.36 kr 2.20 kr 3.23 31
Earnings-Based
EPV kr 1.84 kr 2.18 kr 2.46 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT kr 7.26 kr 10.02 kr 12.78 53
EV/EBITDA kr 10.83 kr 14.78 kr 18.73 54
EV/Revenue kr 4.90 kr 7.43 kr 9.96 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 2.16 kr 2.89 kr 4.32 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder kr 1.84 kr 2.18 kr 2.46 72

Widest divergence: Multiples (kr 10.02) versus Earnings-Based (kr 2.18). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 478M SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.0%
Net margin -1.7%
Return on equity -4.7%
Free cash flow −2.7M SEK FY2025
Operating margin -1.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) kr -0.0300
EPS growth (YoY) +25.0%
Net debt 235M SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 24
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Boule Diagnostics AB (publ) develops, manufactures, and markets instruments and consumable products for blood diagnostics in the United States of America, Asia, Eastern Europe, Latin America, Western Europe, Africa, and the Middle East.

Full company description

Boule Diagnostics AB (publ) develops, manufactures, and markets instruments and consumable products for blood diagnostics in the United States of America, Asia, Eastern Europe, Latin America, Western Europe, Africa, and the Middle East. The company provides hematology analyzers, reagents, controls, and calibrators, under the Swelab, and Medonic brands; and veterinary hematology and clinical chemistry analyzer systems, as well as reagents and panels under the Exigo brand. It serves small and medium-sized hospitals, clinics, laboratories, and veterinary clinics, and other diagnostics firms. The company was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in Spånga, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Boule Diagnostics AB reported revenue of kr 490M in FY2025 versus kr 463M in FY2021, a compound +1.4%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 3.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 15/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
490M SEK
Latest YoY
−12.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.0%
Revenue +1.4%/yr
FY21 kr 463M
FY22 kr 548M
FY23 kr 571M
FY24 kr 559M
FY25 kr 490M
Net income
FY21 kr 23.3M
FY22 kr 12.7M
FY23 kr 25.0M
FY24 −kr 223M
FY25 −kr 3.8M

BOUL screens 27% overvalued. Compare with Abbott Laboratories, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Boule Diagnostics AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BOUL

Peer Group

Medical Devices · 352 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −27% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) -2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -1% · Below median
Revenue growth -10% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.35× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.09× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 1.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 29
PAST 0 · sector 8
HEALTH 82 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Abbott Laboratories, ABT $100.68 $74.79 -26%
Stryker Corporation SYK $316.44 $186.28 -41%
Medtronic plc MDT $83.56 $65.57 -22%
Boston Scientific Corporation BSX $43.04 $38.44 -11%
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW $85.73 $41.02 -52%
Siemens Healthineers AG SHL €34.59 €33.87 -2%
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 ¥149.43 ¥147.63 -1%
Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare Co 688271 ¥109.00 ¥43.60 -60%
Demant A/S DEMANT kr 276.60 kr 161.17 -42%
Getinge AB GETIB kr 206.80 kr 192.14 -7%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Boule Diagnostics AB (BOUL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 2.62 versus a price of kr 3.60, about −27% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BOUL?
Our model-based fair value for Boule Diagnostics AB is kr 2.62 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 3.60.
What is the quality score of BOUL?
Boule Diagnostics AB has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Boule Diagnostics AB (BOUL)?
Boule Diagnostics AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 478M SEK (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BOUL?
The net profit margin of Boule Diagnostics AB is about -1.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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