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BPII Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · ID · Market cap 4.3T IDR

B BPII BPII · JK
Price444.00 IDR
Fair Value204.56 IDR
Upside-53.9%
Quality42/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.2% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
1.58% dividend yield
Trails peers (2/13)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: Medium Range 153.42 IDR – 255.71 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −0.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 54% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (255.71 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

596.92 IDR 217.73 IDR Fair Value 204.56 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 217.73 IDR – 596.92 IDR · fair‑value band 153.42 IDR – 255.71 IDR · the 444.00 IDR price screens above the 204.56 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

BPII (BPII) currently trades at 444.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 204.56 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 53.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, BPII generated revenue of 1.1T IDR at a net margin of 12.4%. Revenue grew 1.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.1%. Net debt stands at 1.4T IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 153.42 IDR (bear case) to 255.71 IDR (bull case); at 444.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -54%, BPII screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 128.18 IDR 141.81 IDR 226.78 IDR 76
P/E Multiple 132.97 IDR 177.30 IDR 221.62 IDR 63
P/B Multiple 153.42 IDR 204.56 IDR 255.71 IDR 55
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 92.74 IDR 549.95 IDR 766.05 IDR 54
Lynch FV 156.28 IDR 223.26 IDR 290.24 IDR 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple 132.97 IDR 177.30 IDR 221.62 IDR 63
P/B Multiple 153.42 IDR 204.56 IDR 255.71 IDR 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 73.06 IDR 97.90 IDR 146.12 IDR 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 128.18 IDR 141.81 IDR 226.78 IDR 76

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (223.26 IDR) versus Asset-Based (97.90 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.1T IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.9%
Net margin 12.4%
Return on equity 8.1%
Free cash flow −452B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 42.6
More key figures
Operating margin 23.1%
EPS (TTM) 11.36 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) +54.7%
Net debt 1.4T IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 27
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 30
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Batavia Prosperindo Internasional Tbk, an investment holding company, engages in the investment management, brokerage, underwriting, and insurance businesses in Indonesia. The company operates through Investment Management; Transportation Service; General Insurance; and Brokerage and Underwriting segments.

Full company description

PT Batavia Prosperindo Internasional Tbk, an investment holding company, engages in the investment management, brokerage, underwriting, and insurance businesses in Indonesia. The company operates through Investment Management; Transportation Service; General Insurance; and Brokerage and Underwriting segments. It is also involved in the agricultural business; rental and lease of transportation vehicles; transportation consultation activities; and provision of asset management consultation, building rental brokerage, and other services. The company also consultant management, trading, and security brokerage and underwriting services; and insurance products. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia. PT Batavia Prosperindo Internasional Tbk operates as a subsidiary of Malacca Trust Pte Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

BPII reported revenue of 1.2T IDR in FY2025 versus 687B IDR in FY2021, a compound +15.8%/yr. Reported net income was 135B IDR in FY2025, compounding +1.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 42/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.2T IDR
Latest YoY
+0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+11.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.6%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+11.8%
Revenue +15.8%/yr
FY21 687B IDR
FY22 881B IDR
FY23 1.0T IDR
FY24 1.2T IDR
FY25 1.2T IDR
Net income +1.5%/yr
FY21 127B IDR
FY22 600B IDR
FY23 114B IDR
FY24 150B IDR
FY25 135B IDR

BPII screens 54% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BPII Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BPII

Peer Group

Asset Management · 973 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −54% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Below median
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.94× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 38.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.98× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.91× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 16.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 37
FUTURE 31 · sector 6
PAST 25 · sector 26
HEALTH 53 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 32 · sector 69

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is BPII overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 204.56 IDR versus a price of 444.00 IDR, about −54% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BPII?
Our model-based fair value for BPII is 204.56 IDR (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 444.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of BPII?
BPII has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of BPII?
BPII reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1T IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BPII?
The net profit margin of BPII is about 12.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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