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PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk (BRRC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk IDR 48, price IDR 67, upside -28.5%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Defensive · ID

PR Thin data Sep 24, 2026

PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk

BRRC · JK

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value 47.89 IDR · Overvalued (−29%)
!Quality 34/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +40.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt
!Trails peers (2/8)
!Narrow moat 22/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 6 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

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Price vs Fair Value

294.00 IDR 50.00 IDR Fair Value 47.89 IDR Jan 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

20‑month range 50.00 IDR – 294.00 IDR · fair‑value band 37.45 IDR – 47.89 IDR · the 67.00 IDR price screens above the 47.89 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk, a food processing company, produces and sells bread flour products in Indonesia. The company offers royal breadcrumb mix, eco-royal mix, crispy, fresh, dry and RYL series; and batters & breaders. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Bekasi, Indonesia.

Stock analysis

PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk (BRRC) currently trades at 67.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 47.89 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 39.9% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 54.98 IDR per share, and 3 of the 13 models we run sit above the 67.00 IDR price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 32.30 IDR, and 10 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 37.45 IDR (bear) to 47.89 IDR (bull), the price of 67.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk reported revenue of 119B IDR in FY2025 versus 42.6B IDR in FY2022, a compound +40.8%/yr. Reported net income was 1.5B IDR in FY2025, compounding −26.0%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap 74.8B IDR (≈ $4.2M) · P/S ratio 0.61 · Net margin 1.3% · Return on equity 1.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.9% · Operating margin −9.1% · Revenue (TTM) 122B IDR · Revenue growth (YoY) +18.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −29%, BRRC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 37.45 IDR Fair Value 47.89 IDR Bull 47.89 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 56.60 IDR 53.19 IDR 40.60 IDR 73
EPV 39.70 IDR 45.34 IDR 50.21 IDR 71
ROIC Compounder 39.70 IDR 45.34 IDR 50.21 IDR 69
All 13 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 10.46 IDR 72.93 IDR 102.35 IDR 60
Lynch FV 29.97 IDR 42.81 IDR 55.66 IDR 58
PEG = 1.0 29.97 IDR 42.81 IDR 55.66 IDR 55
EPV 39.70 IDR 45.34 IDR 50.21 IDR 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple 24.22 IDR 32.30 IDR 40.37 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 19.61 IDR 26.14 IDR 32.68 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 19.61 IDR 26.14 IDR 32.68 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 67.41 IDR 88.56 IDR 109.72 IDR 66
EV/Revenue 49.25 IDR 68.66 IDR 88.07 IDR 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 41.03 IDR 54.98 IDR 82.07 IDR 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 56.60 IDR 53.19 IDR 40.60 IDR 73
ROIC Compounder 39.70 IDR 45.34 IDR 50.21 IDR 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 37.45 IDR 53.51 IDR 69.56 IDR 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+23.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−8.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−8.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 4%

BRRC screens 40% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 668 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −29% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 19% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.05× · Below median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)93 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)6 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 58

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 77.94 CHF 59.51 −24%
Danone S.A BN €60.14 €50.81 −16%
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $23.79 $29.20 +23%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥34.29 ¥37.72 +10%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,387 ₹724.74 −48%
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥26.77 ¥41.84 +56%
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥25.12 ¥9.98 −60%
General Mills, Inc GIS $35.82 $34.66 −3%
Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 74.50 TWD 68.72 TWD −8%
McCormick & Company MKC $49.09 $51.01 +4%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BRRC

Frequently asked questions

Is PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk (BRRC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 47.89 IDR versus a price of 67.00 IDR, about −29% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BRRC?
Our model-based fair value for PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk is 47.89 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 67.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of BRRC?
PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk (BRRC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 47.89 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 37.45 IDR, optimistic scenario 47.89 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 47.89 IDR, about −29% upside versus a price of 67.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 37.45 IDR, optimistic scenario 47.89 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk (BRRC)?
PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 122B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk (BRRC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk it is 47.89 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 67.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, BRRC trades above its calculated fair value: price 67.00 IDR, fair value 47.89 IDR, a gap of about −29% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BRRC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (67.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (47.89 IDR). For PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk the two are 19.11 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk worth?
The market values PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk at about 74.8B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 67.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 47.89 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BRRC?
Our models span a range for PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk: cautious scenario 37.45 IDR, base 47.89 IDR, optimistic 47.89 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 67.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk (BRRC)?
Balance-sheet figures for PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.6%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BRRC from its 52-week high?
PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk trades at 67.00 IDR, about 57% below its 52-week high of 157.00 IDR and 31% above the low of 51.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 47.89 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 67.00 IDR, calculated fair value 47.89 IDR (−29%), Quality Score 34/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BRRC calculated?
We run PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 47.89 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk (BRRC)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 67.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 47.89 IDR, about −29% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (47.89 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk

How large is the market capitalisation of PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk (BRRC)?
The market capitalisation of PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk is 74.8B IDR (≈ $4.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk (BRRC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk is 0.61 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk (BRRC)?
The net margin of PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk is 1.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk (BRRC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk is 1.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk (BRRC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk is 9.9% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk (BRRC)?
The operating margin of PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk is −9.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk (BRRC)?
Revenue at PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk is growing +18.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +40.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk (BRRC)?
Earnings per share at PT Raja Roti Cemerlang Tbk are growing +26.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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