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Bubs Australia Limited (BUB) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · AU · Market cap A$77.8M

BA Bubs Australia Limited BUB · AU
PriceA$0.0800
Fair ValueA$0.1040
Upside+30.0%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range A$0.0800 – A$0.1200

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026 — revised from A$0.1100 to A$0.1040 (−5.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −16.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

A$0.1922 A$0.0800 Fair Value A$0.1040 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range A$0.0800 – A$0.1922 · fair‑value band A$0.0800 – A$0.1200 · the A$0.0800 price screens below the A$0.1040 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Bubs Australia Limited (BUB) currently trades at A$0.0800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1040 — implying the stock looks roughly 30.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Bubs Australia Limited generated revenue of A$110M at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue grew 14.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$16.5M. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$110M
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.4%
Net margin 3.5%
Return on equity 9.1%
Free cash flow A$6.0M FY2025
Operating margin 2.7%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -49.8%
Net cash A$16.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Bubs Australia Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sell infant and adult chilled and powdered goat dairy products in Australia, China, the United States, and internationally. The company offers goat and cow milk infant formulas, goat milk powder products for adults, and fresh dairy products. It also provides organic baby food, cereals, toddler snacks, and chilled goat milk. In addition, the company holds IP and trademarks. It sells its products under the Bubs and Caprilac brands. The company exports its products to China, Japan, Singapore, Malaysia, Vietnam, the Middle East, and North America. Bubs Australia Limited was founded in 2005 and is based in Dandenong, Australia.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Bubs Australia Limited reported revenue of A$103M in FY2025 versus A$39.3M in FY2021, a compound +27.1%/yr. Reported net income was A$5.5M in FY2025.

Revenue +27.1%/yr
FY21 A$39.3M
FY22 A$89.3M
FY23 A$60.1M
FY24 A$79.7M
FY25 A$103M
Net income
FY21 −A$74.7M
FY22 −A$11.4M
FY23 −A$108M
FY24 −A$21.0M
FY25 A$5.5M

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bubs Australia Limited (BUB) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.1040 versus a price of A$0.0800 — about +30% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of BUB?
Our 21-model fair value for Bubs Australia Limited is A$0.1040 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.0800.
What is the quality score of BUB?
Bubs Australia Limited has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Bubs Australia Limited (BUB)?
Bubs Australia Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$110M (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BUB?
The net profit margin of Bubs Australia Limited is about 3.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.