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Bioventus Inc (BVS) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $598M

BI Bioventus Inc logo Bioventus Inc BVS · US
Price$14.13
Fair Value$7.38
Upside-47.8%
Quality58/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 4.9% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: Medium Range $5.54 – $9.23 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $7.40 to $7.38 (−0.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +16.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 48% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($9.23). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$18.80 $0.9261 Fair Value $7.38 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.9261 – $18.80 · fair‑value band $5.54 – $9.23 · the $14.13 price screens above the $7.38 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Bioventus Inc (BVS) currently trades at $14.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.38, implying the stock looks roughly 47.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Bioventus Inc generated revenue of $576M at a net margin of 4.9%. Revenue grew 6.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.5%. Net debt stands at $260M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $5.54 (bear case) to $9.23 (bull case); at $14.13, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades near its 52-week high and 143% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -48%, BVS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $6.82 $11.09 $16.55 80
Residual Income $2.38 $2.70 $4.67 76
Rev-Margin DCF $5.19 $9.91 $15.51 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $6.81 $11.82 $18.71 38
Owner Earnings $6.20 $10.92 $17.40 31
5Y Revenue Exit $5.19 $9.86 $15.79 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $9.47 $18.04 $28.18 41
5Y P/E Exit $3.63 $6.88 $10.26 38
10Y Revenue Exit $5.52 $9.75 $15.42 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $8.25 $15.00 $24.23 37
10Y P/E Exit $4.81 $7.83 $11.49 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.28 $7.89 $10.59 54
Lynch FV $1.82 $2.61 $3.39 50
PEG = 1.0 $1.82 $2.61 $3.39 46
EPV $2.86 $3.71 $4.42 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.3800 $0.6900 $0.9500 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.3800 $0.6300 $0.7400 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $5.54 $7.38 $9.23 63
P/S Multiple $4.28 $5.70 $7.13 58
P/B Multiple $4.28 $5.70 $7.13 55
EV/EBIT $7.66 $11.33 $15.00 53
EV/EBITDA $13.00 $18.45 $23.91 54
EV/Revenue $4.50 $7.87 $11.24 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.36 $1.82 $2.72 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $6.82 $11.09 $16.55 80
Rev-Margin DCF $5.19 $9.91 $15.51 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2.38 $2.70 $4.67 76
ROIC Compounder $2.90 $4.22 $5.79 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $4.73 $6.75 $8.78 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($9.91) versus Dividend Discount ($0.6300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $576M
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.6%
Net margin 4.9%
Return on equity 16.5%
Free cash flow $71.4M FY2025
P/E ratio 21.5
More key figures
Operating margin 6.7%
EPS (TTM) $0.4100
Net debt $260M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85

Profitability 54
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 21
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 34
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Bioventus Inc., a medical device company, focuses on relieving pain and addressing musculoskeletal therapies in the United States and internationally.

Full company description

Bioventus Inc., a medical device company, focuses on relieving pain and addressing musculoskeletal therapies in the United States and internationally. The company's product portfolio includes pain treatments, which comprise various intra-articular and hyaluronic acid injections; peripheral nerve stimulation products, such as Durolane, GELSYN-3, and SUPARTZ for the treatment of knee osteoarthritis; and Stimrouter to treat chronic peripheral pain, and TalisMann provides stimulation to the targeted peripheral nerve, as well as XCELL PRP System, a benchtop device that processes whole blood to produce high-yield PRP with a 10-minute single-spin cycle. It also offers precision bone resection for patients with degenerative spine conditions and spinal deformities, as well as enables precision ultrasonic neuro and general surgery to address brain tumors and pathologies of the liver and other organs; and bone graft substitutes, including various products that facilitate optimal bone fusion. In addition, the company provides neXus, an ultrasonic surgical system; BoneScalpel, a surgical solution enabling precise cuts in hard tissue; BoneScalpel Access, for bone removal with visualization; SonaStar system, a precise ablation and removal of soft tissue; SonaStar Elite handpiece and accessories; SonicOne, an ultrasonic cleansing and debridement system; Osteoamp, an allograft-derived bone graft for orthopedic, neurosurgical, and reconstructive bone grafting procedures; Signafuse bone graft; Purebone, a natural osteoconductive scaffold; and Reficio demineralized bone matrix. The company's restorative therapies include minimally invasive fracture treatments and rehabilitation products. Its products also include Exogen, an ultrasound bone stimulation system. The company sells its products to healthcare institutions, physicians, patients, distributors and dealers. Bioventus Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Durham, North Carolina.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Bioventus Inc reported revenue of $568M in FY2025 versus $431M in FY2021, a compound +7.2%/yr. Reported net income was $22.7M in FY2025, compounding +4.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$568M
Latest YoY
−0.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+12.1%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+7.7%
Revenue +7.2%/yr
FY21 $431M
FY22 $512M
FY23 $512M
FY24 $573M
FY25 $568M
Net income +4.1%/yr
FY21 $19.4M
FY22 −$159M
FY23 −$156M
FY24 −$33.5M
FY25 $22.7M

BVS screens 48% overvalued. Compare with Abbott Laboratories, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bioventus Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BVS

Peer Group

Medical Devices · 351 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −48% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.52× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.25× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.04× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 8.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 10.2× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.10× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 33 · sector 27
PAST 66 · sector 8
HEALTH 24 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Abbott Laboratories, ABT $100.68 $74.79 -26%
Stryker Corporation SYK $316.44 $186.28 -41%
Medtronic plc MDT $83.56 $65.57 -22%
Boston Scientific Corporation BSX $43.04 $38.44 -11%
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW $85.73 $41.02 -52%
Siemens Healthineers AG SHL €34.59 €33.87 -2%
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 ¥149.43 ¥147.63 -1%
Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare Co 688271 ¥109.00 ¥43.60 -60%
Demant A/S DEMANT kr 276.60 kr 161.17 -42%
Getinge AB GETIB kr 206.80 kr 192.14 -7%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bioventus Inc (BVS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.38 versus a price of $14.13, about −48% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BVS?
Our model-based fair value for Bioventus Inc is $7.38 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $14.13.
What is the quality score of BVS?
Bioventus Inc has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Bioventus Inc (BVS)?
Bioventus Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $576M (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BVS?
The net profit margin of Bioventus Inc is about 4.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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