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Bioxyne Ltd (BXN) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · AU · Market cap A$214M

BL Bioxyne Ltd BXN · AU
PriceA$0.9300
Fair ValueA$0.3485
Upside-62.5%
Quality65/100
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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 18.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 87/100

Risks

!Trades 167% ABOVE our fair value of A$0.3485
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +68.2 %/yr)
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +68.2 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 18.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Wide moat 87/100
Evidence: High Range A$0.2380 – A$0.4335 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

Share price +10.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but trading 167% above our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.4335). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (A$0.2380 to A$0.4335) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$1.05 A$0.0500 Fair Value A$0.3485 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0500 – A$1.05 · fair‑value band A$0.2380 – A$0.4335 · the A$0.9300 price screens above the A$0.3485 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Bioxyne Ltd (BXN) currently trades at A$0.9300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.3485, implying the stock looks roughly 62.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Bioxyne Ltd generated revenue of A$48.0M at a net margin of 18.7%. Revenue grew 149.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 66.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$6.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.2380 (bear case) to A$0.4335 (bull case); at A$0.9300, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -63%, BXN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF A$0.2200 A$0.3300 A$0.5100 80
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.2800 A$0.4800 A$0.8900 74
ROIC Compounder A$0.2000 A$0.2500 A$0.2900 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF A$0.2300 A$0.3100 A$0.5400 38
Owner Earnings A$0.1900 A$0.3400 A$0.6100 31
5Y Revenue Exit A$0.2600 A$0.4200 A$0.7700 39
5Y EBITDA Exit A$0.2900 A$0.4900 A$0.8900 41
5Y P/E Exit A$0.3300 A$0.7100 A$1.23 38
10Y Revenue Exit A$0.2400 A$0.4800 A$0.6400 36
10Y EBITDA Exit A$0.2700 A$0.5500 A$1.03 37
10Y P/E Exit A$0.2900 A$0.6200 A$1.16 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$0.1400 A$1.01 A$1.42 54
Lynch FV A$0.5200 A$0.7500 A$0.9700 50
PEG = 1.0 A$0.5200 A$0.7500 A$0.9700 46
EPV A$0.1900 A$0.2100 A$0.2200 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$0.3500 A$0.4700 A$0.5900 63
P/S Multiple A$0.2700 A$0.3600 A$0.4500 58
P/B Multiple A$0.1700 A$0.2300 A$0.2900 55
EV/EBIT A$0.3400 A$0.4400 A$0.5500 53
EV/EBITDA A$0.3200 A$0.4200 A$0.5100 54
EV/Revenue A$0.2500 A$0.3500 A$0.4400 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0300 A$0.0300 A$0.0500 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF A$0.2200 A$0.3300 A$0.5100 80
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.2800 A$0.4800 A$0.8900 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$0.1300 A$0.1900 A$1.75 61
ROIC Compounder A$0.2000 A$0.2500 A$0.2900 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E A$0.6900 A$0.9900 A$1.29 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$0.9900) versus Asset-Based (A$0.0300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 23.3 as of Jul 11, 2026
P/S ratio 4.46 TTM
Net margin 18.7% TTM
Return on equity 66.1% TTM
Return on assets 25.0% TTM
Operating margin 31.7% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
EPS (TTM) A$0.0400
Growth
Revenue (TTM) A$48.0M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +150% 3y avg +303%
EPS growth (YoY) +105%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow A$3.9M FY2025
Net cash A$6.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 92
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 82
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 57
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 34
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 44
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 88
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 89
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Bioxyne Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes therapeutic goods, and health and wellness products in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Czechia, Switzerland, France, Germany, and Japan.

Full company description

Bioxyne Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes therapeutic goods, and health and wellness products in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Czechia, Switzerland, France, Germany, and Japan. It operates through Pharmaceutical Manufacture and Wholesale Supply of Novel Medicines, Cannabis, Psilocybin, and MDMA; Manufacture and Distribution (Wholesale, Online, and Retail) of Consumer Health and Novel Food Products; and Wholesale of Patented Probiotics segments. The company offers active pharmaceutical ingredients and starting materials; plant-based food products, such as non-controlled cannabis extracts and cannabidiol; food grade mushroom extracts/psilocybin; medicinal and prescription cannabis products, including pastilles, vape, oral mucosal oils, flower, and suppositories; SL-NAD+ wafers; MDMA; white label manufactured wellness products; health and wellness supplements; and nootropic and skincare products. It also provides Lactobacillus fermentum VRI-003 PCC, a probiotic formulation for gastrointestinal health and immunity; Progastrim for gut and immune health; and proTract for atopic dermatitis. In addition, the company is involved in the contract manufacturing of final dose form products, including capsules, tablets, inhalables, oral solutions, and herbal preparations; import, export, manufacture, and supply of controlled drugs and medicinal products; research and development of formulations, products, and processes related to health, wellness, and medicine; and provision of telemedicine services. Further, it operates CanXChange, a machine-learning powered B2B wholesale and custody technology platform. The company offers its products to cultivators, manufacturers, pharmacies, clinics, and patients under the Breathe Life Science, Dr Watson, Mirai Solution, and Apothecary CBD brands. It sells its products through wholesale, retail, and online. Bioxyne Limited is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Bioxyne Ltd reported revenue of A$30.4M in FY2025 versus A$2.1M in FY2021, a compound +94.9%/yr. Reported net income was A$4.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 92/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$30.4M
Latest YoY
+226.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+68.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+38.4%
Revenue +94.9%/yr
FY21 A$2.1M
FY22 A$464K
FY23 A$5.2M
FY24 A$9.3M
FY25 A$30.4M
Net income
FY21 −A$496K
FY22 −A$494K
FY23 −A$1.9M
FY24 −A$13.3M
FY25 A$4.9M

BXN screens 63% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bioxyne Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BXN

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 668 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −63% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 66% · Top 25%
Return on assets 25% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 32% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 150% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 13.11× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.19× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 39.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 14.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 2.67× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 25
FUTURE100 · sector 19
PAST100 · sector 26
HEALTH99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND0 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 79.06 CHF 57.26 -28%
Danone S.A BN €65.48 €48.41 -26%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,478 ₹251.94 -83%
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $24.53 $24.59 +0%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥35.05 ¥21.93 -37%
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥25.51 ¥32.50 +27%
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥25.28 ¥9.89 -61%
General Mills, Inc GIS $38.18 $28.32 -26%
Wilmar International Limited F34 3.64 SGD 3.89 SGD +7%
McCormick & Company MKCV $55.65 $43.29 -22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bioxyne Ltd (BXN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.3485 versus a price of A$0.9300, about −63% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BXN?
Our model-based fair value for Bioxyne Ltd is A$0.3485 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.9300.
What is the quality score of BXN?
Bioxyne Ltd has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Bioxyne Ltd (BXN)?
Bioxyne Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$48.0M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BXN?
The net profit margin of Bioxyne Ltd is about 18.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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