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Capital Limited (CAPFF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Capital Limited $4.04, price $1.69, upside +138.7%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Capital Limited
CAPFF · USCheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.
✓Fair value $4.04 · Strongly undervalued (+138.7%)
!Quality 42/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +20.7 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 20.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓1.5% dividend yield · Well covered
✓Wide moat 65/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.7542 – $2.06 · fair‑value band $2.51 – $6.97 · the $1.69 price screens below the $4.04 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Capital Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides drilling, mining, mineral assaying, and surveying services.
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Capital Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides drilling, mining, mineral assaying, and surveying services. It offers exploration drilling services, including air core, reverse circulation, diamond core, directional, and deep hole diamond; underground drilling services; geochemical analysis laboratory services; and grade control drilling services, such as advanced/deep grade control, shallow grade control, reverse circulation, and underground diamond drilling. The company also provides blast hole drilling services that include pre-splits, down the hole, and rotary top hammer services; load and haul, rehandling, management, and equipment hire and maintenance services; and hydraulic, general maintenance and fabrication, mining supplies, asset rentals, and asset and component rebuild services. In addition, it offers core orientation, rig aligners and rig alignment, borehole management, geophysical logging, and gyro survey services; directional drilling equipment and management; and engages in rental, sale, and training of core orientation tools, magnetic survey cameras, and MEMS gyros. The company operates in Canada, Côte d'Ivoire, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Egypt, Gabon, Ghana, Guinea, Kenya, Mali, Mauritania, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Tanzania, the United States of America, and Zambia. The company was formerly known as Capital Drilling Limited and changed its name to Capital Limited in June 2020. Capital Limited was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Capital Limited (CAPFF) currently trades at $1.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.04, implying the stock looks roughly 58.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $5.45 per share, and 21 of the 24 models we run sit above the $1.69 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.15, and 3 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $2.51 (bear) to $6.97 (bull), the price of $1.69 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Capital Limited reported revenue of $346M in FY2025 versus $227M in FY2021, a compound +11.1%/yr. Reported net income was $69.4M in FY2025, compounding −0.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $381M · P/E ratio 5.0 · P/S ratio 1.00 · EPS (TTM) $0.3400 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin 20.1% · Return on equity 21.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 139%, CAPFF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $2.51
Fair Value $4.04
Bull $6.97
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2374 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$2.20
$3.80
$6.30
78
Growth DCF
$2.16
$3.54
$5.56
77
Owner Earnings
$4.09
$7.01
$11.58
74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$2.20
$3.80
$6.30
78
Owner Earnings
$4.09
$7.01
$11.58
74
5Y Revenue Exit
$1.77
$3.02
$4.71
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
$2.59
$4.74
$7.46
73
5Y P/E Exit
$3.04
$5.69
$8.76
69
10Y Revenue Exit
$1.86
$3.05
$4.85
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
$2.41
$4.21
$6.99
66
10Y P/E Exit
$2.68
$4.85
$7.99
62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$2.09
$10.22
$14.09
64
Lynch FV
$2.74
$3.92
$5.10
61
PEG = 1.0
$2.74
$3.92
$5.10
57
EPV
$1.40
$1.60
$1.76
74
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$3.92
$5.22
$6.53
63
P/S Multiple
$1.72
$2.30
$2.87
58
P/B Multiple
$3.87
$5.17
$6.46
55
EV/EBIT
$2.31
$3.10
$3.89
66
EV/EBITDA
$3.08
$4.13
$5.17
67
EV/Revenue
$1.55
$2.24
$2.93
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.8600
$1.15
$1.72
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$2.16
$3.54
$5.56
77
Rev-Margin DCF
$1.77
$3.00
$4.63
71
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$1.75
$2.31
$3.56
74
ROIC Compounder
$1.40
$1.60
$1.81
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$3.81
$5.45
$7.08
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
42/100
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Profitability
59
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
47
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
64
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
25
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
12
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
85/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.2%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +14.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+13.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.5%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 15%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 180% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+1.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+10.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −1.3% a year for the price and +7.5% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+23.8%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+8.0%
Projected 2028 (sales)+7.2%
Projected 2029 (sales)+6.5%
Projected 2030 (sales)+5.7%
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Compare Capital Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 439 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 61.10 SAR | 67.21 SAR | +10% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥17.08 | ¥19.15 | +12% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹588.95 | ₹647.85 | +10% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥57.18 | ¥29.56 | −48% |
| Korea Zinc Company 010130 | 1,116,000 KRW | 646,063 KRW | −42% |
| Boliden AB BOL | kr 521.00 | kr 464.45 | −11% |
| Western Mining Co 601168 | ¥35.19 | ¥38.71 | +10% |
| Ivanhoe Mines Ltd IVN | C$12.06 | C$4.46 | −63% |
| Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 | ¥46.90 | ¥23.62 | −50% |
| Vedanta Limited VEDL | ₹266.35 | ₹655.92 | +146% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Capital Limited (CAPFF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.04 versus a price of $1.69, about +139% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CAPFF?
Our model-based fair value for Capital Limited is $4.04 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.69.
What is the quality score of CAPFF?
Capital Limited has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Capital Limited (CAPFF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.04 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.51, optimistic scenario $6.97. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Capital Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.04, about +139% upside versus a price of $1.69 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $2.51, optimistic scenario $6.97. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Capital Limited (CAPFF)?
Capital Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $346M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Capital Limited pay a dividend?
Capital Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.54% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Capital Limited (CAPFF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Capital Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +1.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +20.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CAPFF use?
Our models discount Capital Limited at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.70, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Capital Limited that is +1.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Capital Limited (CAPFF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Capital Limited grew +20.7 % a year. The price currently implies +1.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Capital Limited (CAPFF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Capital Limited (+1.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Capital Limited (CAPFF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.38 %: that much free cash flow Capital Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Capital Limited (CAPFF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Capital Limited it is $4.04 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $1.69. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Capital Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CAPFF trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.69, fair value $4.04, a gap of about +139% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CAPFF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.69); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.04). For Capital Limited the two are $2.35 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Capital Limited worth?
The market values Capital Limited at about $381M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $1.69; our models calculate a fair value of $4.04 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CAPFF?
Our models span a range for Capital Limited: cautious scenario $2.51, base $4.04, optimistic $6.97 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $1.69). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CAPFF?
Capital Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $4.04 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 4.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Capital Limited (CAPFF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Capital Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 21.2%, debt of 0.20 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CAPFF from its 52-week high?
Capital Limited trades at $1.69, about 18% below its 52-week high of $2.06 and 48% above the low of $1.14 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.04 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Capital Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Capital Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $1.69, calculated fair value $4.04 (+139%), Quality Score 42/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CAPFF calculated?
We run Capital Limited through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.04, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Capital Limited currently trades 58 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Capital Limited (CAPFF)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was $1.69. Our model-based fair value is $4.04, about +139% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Capital Limited right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($2.51). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide ($2.51 to $6.97). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Key figures of Capital Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Capital Limited (CAPFF)?
The market capitalisation of Capital Limited is $381M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Capital Limited (CAPFF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Capital Limited is 1.00 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Capital Limited (CAPFF)?
Earnings per share at Capital Limited are $0.3400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Capital Limited (CAPFF)?
The dividend yield of Capital Limited is 1.5% (payout 7.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Capital Limited (CAPFF)?
The net margin of Capital Limited is 20.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Capital Limited (CAPFF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Capital Limited is 21.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Capital Limited (CAPFF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Capital Limited is 12.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Capital Limited (CAPFF)?
The operating margin of Capital Limited is 16.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Capital Limited (CAPFF)?
Revenue at Capital Limited is growing +4.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Capital Limited (CAPFF)?
Earnings per share at Capital Limited are growing +639% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Capital Limited (CAPFF) carry?
The net debt of Capital Limited is $31.4M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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