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Méliuz S.A (CASH3) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · BR · Market cap R$521M

MS Méliuz S.A CASH3 · SA
PriceR$5.07
Fair ValueR$8.96
Upside+76.7%
Quality58/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -14.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/11)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: High Range R$5.96 – R$11.07 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +6.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 77% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (R$5.96). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (R$5.96 to R$11.07) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R$52.09 R$2.52 Fair Value R$8.96 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$2.52 – R$52.09 · fair‑value band R$5.96 – R$11.07 · the R$5.07 price screens below the R$8.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Méliuz S.A (CASH3) currently trades at R$5.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$8.96, implying the stock looks roughly 76.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Méliuz S.A generated revenue of R$478M at a net margin of -14.8%. Revenue grew 17.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -17.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of R$72.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R$5.96 (bear case) to R$11.07 (bull case); at R$5.07, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -20% fair-value upside, at 77%, CASH3 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF R$5.22 R$8.55 R$13.79 80
Rev-Margin DCF R$7.37 R$13.14 R$25.17 74
ROIC Compounder R$3.75 R$4.17 R$4.54 72
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF R$5.53 R$7.77 R$14.49 38
Owner Earnings R$2.56 R$4.61 R$8.42 31
5Y Revenue Exit R$6.71 R$11.58 R$21.80 39
5Y EBITDA Exit R$7.34 R$12.84 R$23.64 41
10Y Revenue Exit R$6.11 R$13.43 R$18.34 36
10Y EBITDA Exit R$6.76 R$14.65 R$28.55 37
Earnings-Based
EPV R$3.75 R$4.17 R$4.52 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$0.0200 R$0.0400 R$0.0500 70
DDM Multi-Stage R$0.0200 R$0.0400 R$0.0400 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT R$8.67 R$11.35 R$14.02 53
EV/EBITDA R$8.07 R$10.54 R$13.02 54
EV/Revenue R$6.73 R$9.34 R$11.95 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$2.26 R$3.02 R$4.51 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF R$5.22 R$8.55 R$13.79 80
Rev-Margin DCF R$7.37 R$13.14 R$25.17 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder R$3.75 R$4.17 R$4.54 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models (R$11.58) versus Dividend Discount (R$0.0400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) R$478M
Revenue growth (YoY) +17.8%
Net margin -14.8%
Return on equity -17.5%
Free cash flow R$40.7M FY2025
Operating margin 21.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) R$-0.6600
EPS growth (YoY) +19.0%
Net cash R$72.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 35
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 5
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Méliuz S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operate a virtual portal for the placement and dissemination of brands, products, services, and other advertising and publicity materials. It operates through B2C (BusinesstoCustomers)National; and Other segments.

Full company description

Méliuz S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operate a virtual portal for the placement and dissemination of brands, products, services, and other advertising and publicity materials. It operates through B2C (BusinesstoCustomers)National; and Other segments. The company offers leasing of virtual advertising space for the insertion of texts, drawings, and other materials, as well as rental of space. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is based in São Bernardo do Campo, Brazil.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Méliuz S.A reported revenue of R$460M in FY2025 versus R$263M in FY2021, a compound +15.0%/yr. Reported net income was −R$621K in FY2025.

Growth Quality 59/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
R$460M
Latest YoY
+26.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+29.7%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+47.7%
Revenue +15.0%/yr
FY21 R$263M
FY22 R$368M
FY23 R$327M
FY24 R$365M
FY25 R$460M
Net income
FY21 −R$34.3M
FY22 −R$58.1M
FY23 −R$18.6M
FY24 −R$8.0M
FY25 −R$621K

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Méliuz S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CASH3

Peer Group

Internet Content & Information · 151 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +77% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) -15% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 18% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.20× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.21× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.5× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 89 · sector 31
PAST 0 · sector 10
HEALTH 100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 43

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Alphabet Inc GOOGL $354.46 $145.14 -59%
Meta Platforms, Inc META $669.21 $534.91 -20%
Tencent Holdings 0700 HK$460.20 HK$467.50 +2%
Spotify Technology S.A SPOT $485.38 $209.56 -57%
Reddit, Inc RDDT $195.34 $39.59 -80%
Baidu, Inc BIDU $109.50 $66.96 -39%
Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, 1024 HK$44.70 HK$101.03 +126%
NAVER Corporation 035420 191,300 KRW 231,585 KRW +21%
Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 HK$34.74 HK$65.78 +89%
REA Group REA A$149.14 A$88.53 -41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Méliuz S.A (CASH3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$8.96 versus a price of R$5.07, about +77% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CASH3?
Our model-based fair value for Méliuz S.A is R$8.96 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R$5.07.
What is the quality score of CASH3?
Méliuz S.A has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Méliuz S.A (CASH3)?
Méliuz S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$478M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CASH3?
The net profit margin of Méliuz S.A is about -14.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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