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Caisse Regionale de Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31 (CAT31) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · FR · Market cap €562M

CR Caisse Regionale de Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31 CAT31 · PA
Price€121.72
Fair Value€203.06
Upside+66.8%
Quality60/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 27.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.52% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Moderate moat 59/100
Evidence: High Range €152.30 – €253.83 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −4.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 67% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€152.30). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€153.84 €49.94 Fair Value €203.06 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €49.94 – €153.84 · fair‑value band €152.30 – €253.83 · the €121.72 price screens below the €203.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Caisse Regionale de Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31 (CAT31) currently trades at €121.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €203.06, implying the stock looks roughly 66.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Caisse Regionale de Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31 generated revenue of €260M at a net margin of 27.1%. Revenue grew 17.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.3%. Net debt stands at €8.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €152.30 (bear case) to €253.83 (bull case); at €121.72, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 67%, CAT31 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €339.33 €320.16 €249.48 76
Gordon GGM €22.91 €41.28 €56.83 70
P/E Multiple €152.30 €203.06 €253.83 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €22.91 €41.28 €56.83 70
DDM Multi-Stage €22.91 €35.23 €44.10 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €152.30 €203.06 €253.83 63
P/B Multiple €199.16 €265.54 €331.93 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €249.20 €333.92 €498.39 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income €339.33 €320.16 €249.48 76

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€333.92) versus Dividend Discount (€35.23). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €260M
Revenue growth (YoY) +17.3%
Net margin 27.1%
Return on equity 3.3%
Free cash flow €158M FY2025
P/E ratio 8.0
More key figures
Operating margin 28.2%
EPS (TTM) €15.62
Dividend yield 3.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -2.6%
Net debt €8.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 96
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 1
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 88
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Caisse Regionale de Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31 operates as a cooperative bank in France. It provides bank accounts and cards; savings products, including real estate investments, stock market and financial investments, and retirement savings solutions; home, car and motorcycle, health and life, leisure and everyday, and borrower's insurance; …

Full company description

Caisse Regionale de Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31 operates as a cooperative bank in France. It provides bank accounts and cards; savings products, including real estate investments, stock market and financial investments, and retirement savings solutions; home, car and motorcycle, health and life, leisure and everyday, and borrower's insurance; mortgage and vehicle loans; and consumer and work credits. It also offers agricultural building, equipment, and business insurance for farmers; and financial engineering, day-to-day management, funding services, hedging against foreign exchange risk, trade finance, and export financing services for business. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Toulouse, France.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Caisse Regionale de Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31 reported revenue of €652M in FY2025 versus €264M in FY2021, a compound +25.3%/yr. Reported net income was €70.5M in FY2025, compounding +0.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€652M
Latest YoY
+145.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+36.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+23.1%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
−4.7%
Revenue +25.3%/yr
FY21 €264M
FY22 €255M
FY23 €242M
FY24 €266M
FY25 €652M
Net income +0.2%/yr
FY21 €69.9M
FY22 €66.6M
FY23 €59.3M
FY24 €66.5M
FY25 €70.5M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Caisse Regionale de Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31 Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CAT31

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +67% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 27% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 28% · Below median
Revenue growth 17% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.29× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.49× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 4.1× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 39
FUTURE 87 · sector 44
PAST 13 · sector 41
HEALTH 99 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 70 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Caisse Regionale de Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31 (CAT31) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €203.06 versus a price of €121.72, about +67% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CAT31?
Our model-based fair value for Caisse Regionale de Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31 is €203.06 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €121.72.
What is the quality score of CAT31?
Caisse Regionale de Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31 has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Caisse Regionale de Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31 (CAT31)?
Caisse Regionale de Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €260M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CAT31?
The net profit margin of Caisse Regionale de Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31 is about 27.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 27.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Caisse Regionale de Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31 pay a dividend?
Caisse Regionale de Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31 currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.15% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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