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Cobram Estate Olives Limited (CBOAF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Cobram Estate Olives Limited $1.21, price $2.54, upside -52.3%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Defensive · US · Home Australia

CE Cobram Estate Olives Limited logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

Cobram Estate Olives Limited

CBOAF · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $1.21 · Strongly overvalued (−52.3%)
!Quality 44/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +20.1 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 18.1% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!1.8% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Trails peers (3/13)
!Moderate moat 45/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$2.90 $1.26 Fair Value $1.21 Nov 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

22‑month range $1.26 – $2.90 · fair‑value band $0.9200 – $1.53 · the $2.54 price screens above the $1.21 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Cobram Estate Olives Limited engages in production and marketing of olive oil in Australia, the United States, and internationally. Its olive farming assets include various olive trees of freehold farmland in Victoria; and long-term leased and freehold properties in California.

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Cobram Estate Olives Limited engages in production and marketing of olive oil in Australia, the United States, and internationally. Its olive farming assets include various olive trees of freehold farmland in Victoria; and long-term leased and freehold properties in California. The company is also involved in olive farming; and owns olive tree nursery, olive mills, olive oil bottling and storage facilities, and olives laboratory. In addition, it sells online olive leaf teas and refined olive oil. It sells its products under the Cobram Estate, Red Island, Modern Olives, Oliv.iQ, and Olive Wellness Institute brand names. The company was formerly known as Boundary Bend Limited. Cobram Estate Olives Limited was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Lara, Australia.

Stock analysis

Cobram Estate Olives Limited (CBOAF) currently trades at $2.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.21, 52.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $1.50 per share, and 1 of the 13 models we run sit above the $2.54 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $0.3000, and 12 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $0.9200 (bear) to $1.53 (bull), the price of $2.54 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Cobram Estate Olives Limited reported revenue of A$242M in FY2025 versus A$140M in FY2022, a compound +20.1%/yr. Reported net income was A$49.6M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $1.4B · P/E ratio 36.2 · P/S ratio 7.44 · EPS (TTM) $0.0700 · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin 20.5% · Return on equity 10.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 89% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −52%, CBOAF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.9200 Fair Value $1.21 Bull $1.53
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0250 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income $0.4800 $0.5600 $0.7700 73
EPV $0.2200 $0.3000 $0.3700 71
ROIC Compounder $0.2200 $0.3000 $0.3700 69
All 13 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.4900 $2.56 $3.54 61
Lynch FV $0.7000 $1.00 $1.30 58
PEG = 1.0 $0.7000 $1.00 $1.30 55
EPV $0.2200 $0.3000 $0.3700 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.14 $1.51 $1.89 63
P/S Multiple $0.4200 $0.5600 $0.7000 58
P/B Multiple $0.9200 $1.23 $1.53 55
EV/EBIT $0.8100 $1.21 $1.60 65
EV/Revenue n/a $0.1600 $0.3200 46
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.2700 $0.3600 $0.5300 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.4800 $0.5600 $0.7700 73
ROIC Compounder $0.2200 $0.3000 $0.3700 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1.05 $1.50 $1.94 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 30
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 88
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
≈ +87.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+85.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.8%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−10% → 26%
⚠ Approximate: the rate leans on 2025, which sits 276% above its own trend.

CBOAF screens overvalued: fair value 52% below the price. Compare with Nestlé S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 634 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −77.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 10.2% · Above median
Return on assets 6.4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 18.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −5.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −7.0% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.70× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 36.2× · Priciest 25%
P/B 5.44× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 8.51× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 20.7× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)41 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)65 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)35 · sector 57

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 74.63 CHF 59.51 −20%
Danone S.A BN €59.12 €50.65 −14%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥33.93 ¥37.32 +10%
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $23.45 $29.20 +25%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,363 ₹724.74 −47%
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥26.90 ¥41.84 +56%
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥24.55 ¥9.98 −59%
General Mills, Inc GIS $31.67 $34.59 +9%
Wilmar International Limited F34 3.68 SGD 5.14 SGD +40%
Kerry Group KRZ €85.55 €59.96 −30%

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Cobram Estate Olives Limited · Fair Value
$1.21 −52%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cobram Estate Olives Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CBOAF

Frequently asked questions

Is Cobram Estate Olives Limited (CBOAF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.21 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $2.54, about −52% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CBOAF?
Our model-based fair value for Cobram Estate Olives Limited is $1.21 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $2.54.
What is the quality score of CBOAF?
Cobram Estate Olives Limited has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cobram Estate Olives Limited (CBOAF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.21 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.9200, optimistic scenario $1.53. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cobram Estate Olives Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.21, about −52% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $2.54 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.9200, optimistic scenario $1.53. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cobram Estate Olives Limited (CBOAF)?
Cobram Estate Olives Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$234M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Cobram Estate Olives Limited pay a dividend?
Cobram Estate Olives Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.77% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Cobram Estate Olives Limited (CBOAF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cobram Estate Olives Limited it is $1.21 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $2.54. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cobram Estate Olives Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CBOAF trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.54, fair value $1.21, a gap of about −52% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CBOAF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.54); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.21). For Cobram Estate Olives Limited the two are $1.33 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cobram Estate Olives Limited worth?
The market values Cobram Estate Olives Limited at about $1.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $2.54; our models calculate a fair value of $1.21 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CBOAF?
Our models span a range for Cobram Estate Olives Limited: cautious scenario $0.9200, base $1.21, optimistic $1.53 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $2.54). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CBOAF?
Cobram Estate Olives Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 36.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.21 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.4, P/S 8.5, EV/EBITDA 20.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cobram Estate Olives Limited (CBOAF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cobram Estate Olives Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.2%, debt of 0.70 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CBOAF from its 52-week high?
Cobram Estate Olives Limited trades at $2.54, about 13% below its 52-week high of $2.90 and 89% above the low of $1.34 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.21 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cobram Estate Olives Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cobram Estate Olives Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $2.54, calculated fair value $1.21 (−52%), Quality Score 44/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CBOAF calculated?
We run Cobram Estate Olives Limited through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.21, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Cobram Estate Olives Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cobram Estate Olives Limited (CBOAF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $2.54. Our model-based fair value is $1.21, about −52% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cobram Estate Olives Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.53). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Key figures of Cobram Estate Olives Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Cobram Estate Olives Limited (CBOAF)?
The market capitalisation of Cobram Estate Olives Limited is $1.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cobram Estate Olives Limited (CBOAF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cobram Estate Olives Limited is 7.44 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cobram Estate Olives Limited (CBOAF)?
Earnings per share at Cobram Estate Olives Limited are $0.0700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 36.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Cobram Estate Olives Limited (CBOAF)?
The dividend yield of Cobram Estate Olives Limited is 1.8% (payout 64.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Cobram Estate Olives Limited (CBOAF)?
The net margin of Cobram Estate Olives Limited is 20.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cobram Estate Olives Limited (CBOAF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cobram Estate Olives Limited is 10.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cobram Estate Olives Limited (CBOAF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cobram Estate Olives Limited is 2.0% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cobram Estate Olives Limited (CBOAF)?
The operating margin of Cobram Estate Olives Limited is −5.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cobram Estate Olives Limited (CBOAF)?
Revenue at Cobram Estate Olives Limited is growing −7.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cobram Estate Olives Limited (CBOAF)?
Earnings per share at Cobram Estate Olives Limited are growing +108% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Cobram Estate Olives Limited (CBOAF) generate?
The free cash flow of Cobram Estate Olives Limited is −A$23.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Cobram Estate Olives Limited (CBOAF) carry?
The net debt of Cobram Estate Olives Limited is A$264M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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