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Cheche Group Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares (CCG) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $32.9M · ISIN KYG207071088

What is Cheche Group Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares really worth?

CG Cheche Group Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares logo Cheche Group Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares CCG · US
Price$16.02
Fair Value$2.06
Upside−87.1%
Quality43/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 678% above our fair value of $2.06.

As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of Cheche Group Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares is $2.06 per share against a price of $16.02, so the fair value sits 87% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +4.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -0.6% net margin
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/9)
!Narrow moat 16/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $0.9400 to $3.45
Evidence: Low Range $0.9400 – $3.45

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $2.13 to $2.06 (−3.3%) since Jul 26, 2026. Share price +12.3% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.45). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($0.9400 to $3.45). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$2,625 $11.71 Fair Value $2.06 Feb 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $11.71 – $2,625 · fair‑value band $0.9400 – $3.45 · the $16.02 price screens above the $2.06 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Cheche Group Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares (CCG) currently trades at $16.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.06, implying the stock looks roughly 677.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $7.33 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the $16.02 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $3.70, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Cheche Group Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares generated revenue of $3.0B at a net margin of −0.6%. Revenue declined 15.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −5.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $53.7M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.9400 (bear case) to $3.45 (bull case); at $16.02, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at −87%, CCG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $4.61 $7.73 $10.03 68
DDM Multi-Stage $4.61 $7.33 $8.31 67
NCAV (Graham) $2.76 $3.70 $5.52 51
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $4.61 $7.73 $10.03 68
DDM Multi-Stage $4.61 $7.33 $8.31 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.76 $3.70 $5.52 51

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($7.33) versus Asset-Based ($3.70). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (68).

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Key figures & financial health

EPS (TTM) $−0.0300
Net margin −0.6% FY2025
Return on equity −5.0% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −10.5% avg 5y
Operating margin 0.4% TTM
Revenue (TTM) $3.0B TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY) −15.6% 3y avg +4.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$40.6M FY2025
Net cash $53.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 41
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 50
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Cheche Group Inc. provides auto insurance transaction services. The company offers digital insurance transaction products, such as Easy-Insur, which provides a range of auto and non-auto insurance products underwritten by insurance carriers, and the New Energy Vehicle (NEV) Insurance Solution, which assists NEV manufacturers in building a full-stack digital …

Full company description

Cheche Group Inc. provides auto insurance transaction services. The company offers digital insurance transaction products, such as Easy-Insur, which provides a range of auto and non-auto insurance products underwritten by insurance carriers, and the New Energy Vehicle (NEV) Insurance Solution, which assists NEV manufacturers in building a full-stack digital insurance service system comprising NEV insurance, one-click renewal, intelligent claims, business management, and interface operation and maintenance, as well as offers customized system deployment and one-stop operation services for various business models of NEV manufacturers. It also provides insurance SaaS solution products, including Digital Surge, a cloud-based software for insurance intermediaries, and Sky Frontier, an AI-based software for auto insurance carriers. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cheche Group Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares reported revenue of 3.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound +14.8%/yr. Reported net income was −17.8M CNY in FY2025.

Growth Quality 6/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.0B
Latest YoY
−13.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (15Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+45.5%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−7.6% (2021) → −0.6% (2025)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +14.8%/yr
FY21 1.7B CNY
FY22 2.7B CNY
FY23 3.3B CNY
FY24 3.5B CNY
FY25 3.0B CNY
Net income
FY21 −146M CNY
FY22 −91.0M CNY
FY23 −160M CNY
FY24 −61.2M CNY
FY25 −17.8M CNY

CCG screens 678% overvalued. Compare with Alphabet Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cheche Group Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CCG.US

Peer Group

Internet Content & Information · 154 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −87% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets −1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth −16% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.09× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.01× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Alphabet Inc GOOGL $338.46 $145.14 −57%
Meta Platforms, Inc META $571.10 $534.91 −6%
Tencent Holdings 0700 HK$455.20 HK$449.03 −1%
Spotify Technology S.A SPOT $547.51 $211.87 −61%
Reddit, Inc RDDT $153.29 $39.59 −74%
Baidu, Inc 89888 HK$79.10 HK$28.84 −64%
Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, 81024 HK$34.50 HK$63.28 +83%
NAVER Corporation 035420 213,500 KRW 231,585 KRW +8%
Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 HK$35.14 HK$66.77 +90%
REA Group REA A$177.42 A$88.53 −50%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cheche Group Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares (CCG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.06 versus a price of $16.02, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CCG?
Our model-based fair value for Cheche Group Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares is $2.06 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $16.02.
What is the quality score of CCG?
Cheche Group Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cheche Group Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares (CCG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.06 (as of Aug 13, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.9400, optimistic scenario $3.45. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cheche Group Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.06, about −87% upside versus a price of $16.02 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.9400, optimistic scenario $3.45. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cheche Group Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares (CCG)?
Cheche Group Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CCG?
The net profit margin of Cheche Group Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares is about −0.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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