CDRL SA (CDL) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · PL · Market cap 61.3M PLN
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 22, 2026, revised from 3.69 PLN to 15.90 PLN (+330.9%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +5.6% over the past month.
A solid business, trading 17% below our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- Our model range runs from 11.59 PLN (bear) to 20.67 PLN (bull), base 15.90 PLN. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 55/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 7.00 PLN – 27.90 PLN · fair‑value band 11.59 PLN – 20.67 PLN · the 13.20 PLN price screens below the 15.90 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.
Analysis
CDRL SA (CDL) currently trades at 13.20 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 15.90 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 20.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, CDRL SA generated revenue of 264M PLN at a net margin of 3.4%. Revenue declined 15.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.6%. Net debt stands at 17.5M PLN. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 11.59 PLN (bear case) to 20.67 PLN (bull case); at 13.20 PLN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 98% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 20%, CDL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (17.09 PLN) versus DCF Models (5.79 PLN). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
CDRL S.A. designs, manufactures, and distributes children's clothing and baby accessories. Its products also include footwear, leather goods, nutrition accessories, school supplies, books, and licensed products, toys, and cosmetics.
Full company description
CDRL S.A. designs, manufactures, and distributes children's clothing and baby accessories. Its products also include footwear, leather goods, nutrition accessories, school supplies, books, and licensed products, toys, and cosmetics. The company sells its products through a chain of stores located in Poland, the Czech Republic, Romania, the Baltic States, Hungary, Slovakia, Bulgaria, Serbia, Kazakhstan, Montenegro, Mongolia, and Oman, others countries. It operates under the Coccodrillo, Lemon Explore, Petit Bijou, Broel, mokida, and Fikolki Playrooms brands. CDRL S.A. is based in Koscian, Poland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
CDRL SA reported revenue of 270M PLN in FY2025 versus 424M PLN in FY2021, a compound −10.7%/yr. Reported net income was 5.8M PLN in FY2025, compounding −34.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Apparel Retail · 109 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Apparel Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A ITX | €57.90 | €41.13 | -29% |
| The TJX Companies, Inc TJX | $152.61 | $84.95 | -44% |
| Fast Retailing Co 6288 | HK$37.20 | HK$15.24 | -59% |
| Ross Stores, Inc ROST | $248.25 | $118.41 | -52% |
| Burlington Stores, Inc BURL | $353.63 | $143.65 | -59% |
| Trent Limited TRENT | ₹2,990 | ₹709.49 | -76% |
| lululemon athletica inc., LULU | $120.87 | $299.63 | +148% |
| Aritzia Inc ATZ | C$140.07 | C$70.30 | -50% |
| The Gap, Inc GAP | $20.60 | $36.44 | +77% |
| Urban Outfitters, Inc URBN | $74.59 | $92.88 | +25% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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