CDRL S.A (CDL) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · PL · Market cap 61.3M PLN
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026 — revised from 43.70 PLN to 3.67 PLN (−91.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +12.6% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 7.00 PLN – 10.70 PLN · fair‑value band 2.76 PLN – 4.70 PLN · the 10.70 PLN price screens above the 3.67 PLN fair value. As of Jul 12, 2026.
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CDRL S.A (CDL) currently trades at 10.70 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.67 PLN — implying the stock looks roughly 65.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, CDRL S.A generated revenue of 264M PLN at a net margin of 3.4%. Revenue declined 15.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.6%. Net debt stands at 17.5M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 2.76 PLN (bear case) to 4.70 PLN (bull case); at 10.70 PLN, the current price sits above that range. The share trades near its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside — at -66%, CDL screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
CDRL S.A. designs, manufactures, and distributes children's clothing and baby accessories. Its products also include footwear, leather goods, nutrition accessories, school supplies, books, and licensed products, toys, and cosmetics. The company sells its products through a chain of stores located in Poland, the Czech Republic, Romania, the Baltic States, Hungary, Slovakia, Bulgaria, Serbia, Kazakhstan, Montenegro, Mongolia, and Oman, others countries. It operates under the Coccodrillo, Lemon Explore, Petit Bijou, Broel, mokida, and Fikolki Playrooms brands. CDRL S.A. is based in Koscian, Poland.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
CDRL S.A reported revenue of 270M PLN in FY2025 versus 424M PLN in FY2021, a compound −10.7%/yr. Reported net income was 5.8M PLN in FY2025, compounding −34.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
10 more Apparel Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A IDEXY | $15.79 | $12.07 | -24% |
| The TJX Companies, Inc TJX | C$29.33 | C$16.18 | -45% |
| Fast Retailing Co FRCOY | $52.64 | $18.56 | -65% |
| Ross Stores, Inc ROST | $236.97 | $118.41 | -50% |
| NEXT plc NXGPF | $190.69 | $200.58 | +5% |
| Burlington Stores, Inc BURL | $321.97 | $128.91 | -60% |
| Trent Limited TRENT | ₹2,751 | ₹607.63 | -78% |
| lululemon athletica inc., 33L | €105.60 | €182.73 | +73% |
| Aritzia Inc ATZAF | $110.56 | $60.44 | -45% |
| The Gap, Inc GAP | $20.62 | $37.12 | +80% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.