Wilmar Cahaya Indonesia Tbk (CEKA) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 1.3T IDR (≈ $130M) · ISIN ID1000135007
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −1.4% over the past month.
A solid business, trading 65% below our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (4,832 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1,345 IDR – 2,793 IDR · fair‑value band 4,832 IDR – 7,712 IDR · the 2,180 IDR price screens below the 6,272 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
Analysis
Wilmar Cahaya Indonesia Tbk (CEKA) currently trades at 2,180 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 6,272 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 187.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Wilmar Cahaya Indonesia Tbk generated revenue of 9.9T IDR at a net margin of 1.7%. Revenue grew 5.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 304B IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 4,832 IDR (bear case) to 7,712 IDR (bull case); at 2,180 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at 188%, CEKA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (12,545 IDR) versus Asset-Based (2,266 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
PT Wilmar Cahaya Indonesia Tbk. produces and sells vegetable and specialty oils for the food industry in Indonesia and internationally.
Full company description
PT Wilmar Cahaya Indonesia Tbk. produces and sells vegetable and specialty oils for the food industry in Indonesia and internationally. The company offers crude palm oil and its derivatives, and illipe nuts and oils; specialty fats, including cocoa butter substitutes, cocoa butter replacers, cocoa butter equivalents, confectionary fats, icing and filling fats, milk fat replacers, ice cream fats, and spread fats; bakery fats comprising margarine products, butter oil substitutes, bakers' fat, and frying and superfry shortening; and cooking oil. It also engages in general trading services comprising import and export; and trading in flour, agricultural and forest products, and daily need goods, as well as operates as a wholesaler, distributor, supplier, retailer, and others. The company was formerly known as PT Cahaya Kalbar Tbk. and changed its name to PT Wilmar Cahaya Indonesia Tbk. in May 2013. The company was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Bekasi, Indonesia. PT Wilmar Cahaya Indonesia Tbk. is a subsidiary of PT Sentratama Niaga Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Wilmar Cahaya Indonesia Tbk reported revenue of 9.7T IDR in FY2025 versus 5.4T IDR in FY2021, a compound +16.1%/yr. Reported net income was 195B IDR in FY2025, compounding +1.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +8.8 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 675 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé S.A NESN | CHF 78.52 | CHF 57.26 | -27% |
| Danone S.A BN | €64.70 | €48.41 | -25% |
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,478 | ₹251.94 | -83% |
| The Kraft Heinz Company KHC | $25.13 | $24.59 | -2% |
| Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 | ¥35.05 | ¥21.93 | -37% |
| Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 | ¥25.51 | ¥32.50 | +27% |
| Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 | ¥25.28 | ¥9.89 | -61% |
| General Mills, Inc GIS | $40.44 | $28.32 | -30% |
| Wilmar International Limited F34 | 3.64 SGD | 3.89 SGD | +7% |
| McCormick & Company MKCV | $55.65 | $43.29 | -22% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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