Celularity Inc (CELU) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $22.4M
Celularity Inc
CELU · US
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Share price +6.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, trading 78% below our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (23/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.67). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide ($1.67 to $6.09). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.5979 – $129.10 · fair‑value band $1.67 – $6.09 · the $0.8008 price screens below the $3.63 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Celularity Inc (CELU) currently trades at $0.8008, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.63, implying the stock looks roughly 353.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $26.6M. Revenue declined 77.4% year over year. Net debt stands at $34.7M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.67 (bear case) to $6.09 (bull case); at $0.8008, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -60% fair-value upside, at 353%, CELU screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 22 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Celularity Inc., a cellular and regenerative medicine company, focuses on addressing aging-related disease using novel therapies. The company operates through three segments: Cell Therapy, Degenerative Disease, and BioBanking.
Full company description
Celularity Inc., a cellular and regenerative medicine company, focuses on addressing aging-related disease using novel therapies. The company operates through three segments: Cell Therapy, Degenerative Disease, and BioBanking. It develops off-the-shelf placental-derived allogeneic cell therapy product candidates, including mesenchymal-like adherent stromal cells for diabetic foot ulcer and Crohn's disease. Its therapeutic programs include PDA-001 for the treatment of autoimmune (Crohn's) and degenerative disease; and PDA-002 for treating multiple sclerosis, rheumatoid arthritis, stroke, and diabetic peripheral neuropathy. The company also produces, sells, and licenses products used in surgical and wound care markets, such as Biovance, Biovance 3L, Rebound, Interfyl, and Centaflex; and collects, processes, and stores umbilical cord and placental blood and tissue after full-term pregnancies under the LifebankUSA brand. Celularity Inc. has licensing agreement with Sorrento Therapeutics, Inc. for the development and commercialization of licensed CD19 CAR-T products; and research collaboration services agreement with Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. to support the research of allogeneic cell therapy candidates. Celularity Inc. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Florham Park, New Jersey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Celularity Inc reported revenue of $26.6M in FY2025 versus $21.3M in FY2021, a compound +5.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$91.8M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Biotechnology · 634 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX | $525.73 | $278.78 | -47% |
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN | $797.99 | $594.40 | -26% |
| argenx SE ARGX | €877.60 | €292.84 | -67% |
| Samsung Biologics Co 207940 | 1,549,000 KRW | 1,055,793 KRW | -32% |
| Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY | $228.61 | $51.70 | -77% |
| Royalty Pharma plc RPRX | $60.58 | $24.22 | -60% |
| Celltrion, Inc 068270 | 202,000 KRW | 74,519 KRW | -63% |
| BeOne Medicines AG ONC | $362.51 | $111.35 | -69% |
| Moderna, Inc MRNA | $63.67 | $12.77 | -80% |
| BioNTech SE 22UA | €80.60 | €52.92 | -34% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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