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Creative Medical Technology Holdings (CELZ) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $8.4M

CM Creative Medical Technology Holdings logo Creative Medical Technology Holdings CELZ · US
Price$1.42
Fair Value$0.6035
Upside-57.5%
Quality34/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (3/7)
Narrow moat 2/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.3995 – $0.7480 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price +42.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 58% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.7480). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.3995 to $0.7480) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$220.00 $0.6564 Fair Value $0.6035 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.6564 – $220.00 · fair‑value band $0.3995 – $0.7480 · the $1.42 price screens above the $0.6035 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Creative Medical Technology Holdings (CELZ) currently trades at $1.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6035, implying the stock looks roughly 57.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $3.0K. It earns a return on equity of -81.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $7.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.3995 (bear case) to $0.7480 (bull case); at $1.42, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 77% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -58%, CELZ screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $1.02 $1.36 $2.03 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.02 $1.36 $2.03 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.0K
Return on equity -81.2%
Free cash flow −$5.9M FY2025
Operating margin -198,050%
EPS (TTM) $-2.07
EPS growth (YoY) +359%
More key figures
Net cash $7.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 1

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 2
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Creative Medical Technology Holdings, Inc., a commercial-stage biotechnology company, focuses on novel biological therapeutics in the fields of immunotherapy, endocrinology, urology, neurology, and orthopedics in the United States.

Full company description

Creative Medical Technology Holdings, Inc., a commercial-stage biotechnology company, focuses on novel biological therapeutics in the fields of immunotherapy, endocrinology, urology, neurology, and orthopedics in the United States. The company offers CaverStem to treat erectile dysfunction, and FemCelz for the treatment of loss of genital sensitivity and dryness. It develops AlloStem (CELZ-201-DDT), a allogenic human perinatal tissue derived cell program, ImmCelz (CELZ-100), a personalized supercharged immune therapy platform; CELZ-201 CREATE-1, which is phase 2, for the treatment of type 1 diabetes; AlloStemSpine (CELZ 201 ADAPT), which is phase 2, for the treatment of chronic lower back pain; Alova, a platform to treat infertility as a result of premature ovarian failure; StemSpine, a regenerative stem cell procedure to treat degenerative disc disease; OvaStem, a stem cell therapy for premature ovarian failure; CaverStem for erectile dysfunction treatment; and FemCelz for female sexual function treatment. In addition, the company develops products and services for various indications, including preventing the rejection of transplanted organs, kidney failure, liver failure, heart attack, and Parkinson's disease. Creative Medical Technology Holdings, Inc. is based in Phoenix, Arizona.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Creative Medical Technology Holdings reported revenue of $6.0K in FY2025 versus $87.8K in FY2021, a compound −48.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$6.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$6.0K
Latest YoY
−45.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−59.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−48.4%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.8%
Revenue −48.9%/yr
FY21 $87.8K
FY22 $88.6K
FY23 $9.0K
FY24 $11.0K
FY25 $6.0K
Net income
FY21 $19.2M
FY22 −$10.1M
FY23 −$5.3M
FY24 −$5.5M
FY25 −$6.0M

CELZ screens 58% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Creative Medical Technology Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CELZ

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 601 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Below median
Fair Value upside −58% · Below median
Return on assets -50% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth 0% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.11× · Cheaper than median

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Creative Medical Technology Holdings (CELZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.6035 versus a price of $1.42, about −58% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CELZ?
Our model-based fair value for Creative Medical Technology Holdings is $0.6035 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.42.
What is the quality score of CELZ?
Creative Medical Technology Holdings has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Creative Medical Technology Holdings (CELZ)?
Creative Medical Technology Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.0K (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CELZ?
The net profit margin of Creative Medical Technology Holdings is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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