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Coats Group (CGGGF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Coats Group $0.83, price $1.06, upside -21.7%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Coats Group
CGGGF · USWeak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.
!Fair value $0.8300 · Overvalued (−21.7%)
!Quality 49/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +5.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓3.1% dividend yield · Well covered
!Moderate moat 60/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.4476 – $1.30 · fair‑value band $0.5900 – $1.25 · the $1.06 price screens above the $0.8300 fair value. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Coats Group plc engages in the provision of essential materials, components, and software solutions for the apparel and footwear industries in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and Asia. The company operates through two divisions Apparel and Footwear.
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Coats Group plc engages in the provision of essential materials, components, and software solutions for the apparel and footwear industries in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and Asia. The company operates through two divisions Apparel and Footwear. It provides industrial sewing threads for children's wear, denim, intimate and underwear, ladieswear, leather wear, menswear, sports and activewear, and workwear and uniforms applications, as well as offers supply chain components, services, and software. The company also offers engineered products comprising structural components, threads, and insoles for athleisure, performance, fashion, and sports footwear markets. In addition, it provides engineered solutions for industrial customers, including performance threads for various applications; and safety materials and fabrics, and composite products for telecom and energy applications. The company was formerly known as Guinness Peat Group plc and changed its name to Coats Group plc in February 2015. Coats Group plc was founded in 1755 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Coats Group (CGGGF) currently trades at $1.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.8300, 21.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $0.9400 per share, and 7 of the 24 models we run sit above the $1.06 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.2500, and 17 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $0.5900 (bear) to $1.25 (bull), the price of $1.06 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Coats Group reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2025 versus $1.4B in FY2021, a compound +0.9%/yr. Reported net income was $106M in FY2025, compounding +4.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $1.9B · P/E ratio 15.1 · P/S ratio 1.07 · EPS (TTM) $0.0700 · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin 7.1% · Return on equity 23.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −22%, CGGGF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.5900
Fair Value $0.8300
Bull $1.25
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0280 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$0.7400
$1.12
$1.84
79
Growth DCF
$0.7800
$1.15
$1.79
78
Residual Income
$0.3700
$0.4400
$0.5700
76
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$0.7400
$1.12
$1.84
79
Owner Earnings
$0.4700
$0.7600
$1.31
74
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.4000
$0.6900
$1.11
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
$0.9400
$1.61
$2.49
74
5Y P/E Exit
$0.5100
$0.8700
$1.31
70
10Y Revenue Exit
$0.5100
$0.7800
$1.07
67
10Y EBITDA Exit
$0.8500
$1.37
$1.96
68
10Y P/E Exit
$0.5900
$0.9000
$1.20
64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.3800
$0.6400
$0.7800
67
EPV
$0.6700
$0.8400
$0.9900
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.2500
$0.3100
$0.3700
69
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.2500
$0.3300
$0.4300
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$0.9100
$1.21
$1.52
63
P/S Multiple
$0.7000
$0.9400
$1.17
58
P/B Multiple
$0.7000
$0.9400
$1.17
55
EV/EBIT
$1.66
$2.36
$3.06
65
EV/EBITDA
$1.30
$1.88
$2.46
67
EV/Revenue
$0.2300
$0.5100
$0.8000
51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.1900
$0.2500
$0.3800
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$0.7800
$1.15
$1.79
78
Rev-Margin DCF
$0.4000
$0.7100
$1.11
71
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$0.3700
$0.4400
$0.5700
76
ROIC Compounder
$0.6800
$0.8800
$1.10
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$0.6400
$0.9200
$1.19
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
49/100
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Profitability
42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
76
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
21
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
85
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
15
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
60/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.1% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.6%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+2.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−0.2% vs 8.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 20%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.7%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+3.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +1.4% a year for the price and +3.4% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+11.2%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+5.2%
Projected 2028 (sales)+4.8%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.4%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.0%
CGGGF screens overvalued: fair value 22% below the price. Compare with Tongkun Group →
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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Frequently asked questions
Is Coats Group (CGGGF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.8300 versus a price of $1.06, about −22% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CGGGF?
Our model-based fair value for Coats Group is $0.8300 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.06.
What is the quality score of CGGGF?
Coats Group has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Coats Group (CGGGF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.8300 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.5900, optimistic scenario $1.25. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Coats Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.8300, about −22% upside versus a price of $1.06 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.5900, optimistic scenario $1.25. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Coats Group (CGGGF)?
Coats Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Coats Group pay a dividend?
Coats Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.11% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Coats Group (CGGGF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Coats Group would have to grow free cash flow by +3.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CGGGF use?
Our models discount Coats Group at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.26, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Coats Group that is +3.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Coats Group (CGGGF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Coats Group grew +5.2 % a year. The price currently implies +3.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Coats Group (CGGGF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Coats Group (+3.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Coats Group (CGGGF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.64 %: that much free cash flow Coats Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Coats Group (CGGGF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Coats Group it is $0.8300 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $1.06. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Coats Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CGGGF trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.06, fair value $0.8300, a gap of about −22% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CGGGF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.06); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.8300). For Coats Group the two are $0.2300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Coats Group worth?
The market values Coats Group at about $1.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $1.06; our models calculate a fair value of $0.8300 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CGGGF?
Our models span a range for Coats Group: cautious scenario $0.5900, base $0.8300, optimistic $1.25 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $1.06). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is CGGGF from its 52-week high?
Coats Group trades at $1.06, about 15% below its 52-week high of $1.25 and 8% above the low of $0.9800 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.8300 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Coats Group?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tongkun Group, Shenzhou International Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, K.P.R. Mill Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Coats Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $1.06, calculated fair value $0.8300 (−22%), Quality Score 49/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CGGGF calculated?
We run Coats Group through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.8300, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Coats Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Coats Group (CGGGF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $1.06. Our model-based fair value is $0.8300, about −22% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Coats Group right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($0.5900 to $1.25) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Coats Group (CGGGF) come from?
Earnings per share at Coats Group grew +7.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −2.3 %, EBIT margin +7.2 %, tax rate +2.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Coats Group
How large is the market capitalisation of Coats Group (CGGGF)?
The market capitalisation of Coats Group is $1.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Coats Group (CGGGF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Coats Group is 15.1. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Coats Group (CGGGF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Coats Group is 1.07 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Coats Group (CGGGF)?
Earnings per share at Coats Group are $0.0700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Coats Group (CGGGF)?
The dividend yield of Coats Group is 3.1% (payout 47.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Coats Group (CGGGF)?
The net margin of Coats Group is 7.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Coats Group (CGGGF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Coats Group is 23.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Coats Group (CGGGF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Coats Group is 11.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Coats Group (CGGGF)?
The operating margin of Coats Group is 17.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Coats Group (CGGGF)?
Revenue at Coats Group is growing +4.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Coats Group (CGGGF)?
Earnings per share at Coats Group are growing +92.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Coats Group (CGGGF) carry?
The net debt of Coats Group is $909M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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