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Corporativo Fragua, S.A. (CGSBF) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $2.8B

CF Corporativo Fragua, S.A. logo Corporativo Fragua, S.A. CGSBF · US
Price$29.66
Fair Value$40.34
Upside+36.0%
Quality55/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/11)
Moderate moat 46/100
Evidence: Medium Range $22.47 – $67.23 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $40.13 to $40.34 (+0.5%) since Jun 24, 2026.

A solid business, screening 36% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($22.47 to $67.23). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 months)

$29.66 $29.66 Fair Value $40.34 Apr 2026 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

4‑month range $29.66 – $29.66 · fair‑value band $22.47 – $67.23 · the $29.66 price screens below the $40.34 fair value. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Corporativo Fragua, S.A. (CGSBF) currently trades at $29.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $40.34, implying the stock looks roughly 36.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Corporativo Fragua, S.A. generated revenue of $134B at a net margin of 3.4%. Revenue grew 7.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.5%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 11.0. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $22.47 (bear case) to $67.23 (bull case); at $29.66, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -15% fair-value upside, at 36%, CGSBF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $69.51 $74.29 $81.84 80
Residual Income $324.45 $433.43 $1,637 76
ROIC Compounder $469.00 $598.54 $762.71 72
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $69.55 $74.74 $83.24 38
Owner Earnings $292.30 $458.29 $729.67 31
5Y Revenue Exit $363.25 $670.04 $1,096 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $458.01 $862.06 $1,374 41
5Y P/E Exit $529.01 $1,006 $1,553 38
10Y Revenue Exit $243.77 $496.39 $897.41 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $319.55 $632.60 $1,122 37
10Y P/E Exit $365.26 $734.66 $1,266 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $348.16 $1,521 $2,081 54
Lynch FV $392.09 $560.13 $728.17 50
PEG = 1.0 $392.09 $560.13 $728.17 46
EPV $426.07 $483.50 $533.04 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $115.03 $229.21 $347.09 70
DDM Multi-Stage $115.03 $198.09 $241.95 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $768.00 $1,024 $1,280 63
P/S Multiple $652.80 $870.41 $1,088 58
P/B Multiple $597.25 $796.33 $995.41 55
EV/EBIT $746.05 $973.95 $1,202 53
EV/EBITDA $712.89 $929.74 $1,147 54
EV/Revenue $523.21 $720.72 $918.24 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $132.72 $177.85 $265.44 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $69.51 $74.29 $81.84 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income $324.45 $433.43 $1,637 76
ROIC Compounder $469.00 $598.54 $762.71 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $631.76 $902.52 $1,173 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($902.52) versus Growth DCF ($74.29). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $134B
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.1%
Net margin 3.4%
Return on equity 16.5%
Free cash flow $57.6M FY2024
P/E ratio 11.0
More key figures
Operating margin 6.9%
EPS (TTM) $2.70
EPS growth (YoY) -7.7%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 69
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 18
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 51
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 91
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Corporativo Fragua, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, operates pharmacy stores in Mexico. The company purchases and sells medicine products, perfumes, photography equipment, household goods, food, miscellaneous items, and others.

Full company description

Corporativo Fragua, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, operates pharmacy stores in Mexico. The company purchases and sells medicine products, perfumes, photography equipment, household goods, food, miscellaneous items, and others. It is also involved in the provision of maintenance and surveillance services, and medical services; operation service of distribution centers; management, logistics, and personnel services; maintenance and repair of furniture; transport and distribution of goods; purchase, sale, and rental of buildings; and manufacture and packaging of non-alcoholic beverages. The company was founded in 1942 and is based in Guadalajara, Mexico.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Corporativo Fragua, S.A. reported revenue of $120B in FY2024 versus $84.8B in FY2021, a compound +12.3%/yr. Reported net income was $4.9B in FY2024, compounding +23.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 63/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
$120B
Latest YoY
+9.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+12.3%
Revenue +12.3%/yr
FY21 $84.8B
FY22 $97.9B
FY23 $109B
FY24 $120B
Net income +23.2%/yr
FY21 $2.6B
FY22 $3.2B
FY23 $4.5B
FY24 $4.9B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Corporativo Fragua, S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CGSBF

Peer Group

Pharmaceutical Retailers · 61 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside +36% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Pharmaceutical Retailers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 49.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 81 · sector 21
FUTURE 36 · sector 19
PAST 66 · sector 19
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 66

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Pharmaceutical Retailers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
JD Health International Inc 6618 HK$39.20 HK$33.28 -15%
Raia Drogasil S.A RADL3 R$18.20 R$15.58 -14%
Yifeng Pharmacy Chain Co 603939 ¥20.24 ¥29.07 +44%
DaShenLin Pharmaceutical Group 603233 ¥17.81 ¥23.86 +34%
LBX Pharmacy Chain Joint Stock Company 603883 ¥11.51 ¥10.57 -8%
MedPlus Health Services Limited MEDPLUS ₹690.20 ₹379.25 -45%
Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group 002727 ¥11.46 ¥9.45 -18%
Anhui Huaren Health Pharmaceutical Co 301408 ¥14.40 ¥10.05 -30%
Apotea AB APOTEA kr 74.75 kr 43.95 -41%
ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy Corp 301017 ¥13.34 ¥5.91 -56%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Corporativo Fragua, S.A. (CGSBF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $40.34 versus a price of $29.66, about +36% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CGSBF?
Our model-based fair value for Corporativo Fragua, S.A. is $40.34 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $29.66.
What is the quality score of CGSBF?
Corporativo Fragua, S.A. has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Corporativo Fragua, S.A. (CGSBF)?
Corporativo Fragua, S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $134B (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CGSBF?
The net profit margin of Corporativo Fragua, S.A. is about 3.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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