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City Holding (CHCO) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $1.8B

CH City Holding logo City Holding CHCO · US
Price$144.94
Fair Value$120.21
Upside-17.1%
Quality70/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 41.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.69% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Wide moat 84/100
Evidence: High Range $90.16 – $150.26 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +10.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 17% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$145.82 $63.16 Fair Value $120.21 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $63.16 – $145.82 · fair‑value band $90.16 – $150.26 · the $144.94 price screens above the $120.21 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

City Holding (CHCO) currently trades at $144.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $120.21, implying the stock looks roughly 17.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, City Holding generated revenue of $320M at a net margin of 41.3%. Revenue grew 5.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.0%. Net debt stands at $366M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $90.16 (bear case) to $150.26 (bull case); at $144.94, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -17%, CHCO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $55.48 $69.53 $152.91 76
Gordon GGM $26.04 $46.92 $64.59 70
P/E Multiple $90.16 $120.21 $150.26 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $26.04 $46.92 $64.59 70
DDM Multi-Stage $26.04 $38.31 $49.61 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $90.16 $120.21 $150.26 63
P/B Multiple $60.25 $80.33 $100.41 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $28.69 $38.44 $57.38 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $55.48 $69.53 $152.91 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($80.33) versus Dividend Discount ($38.31). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $320M
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.5%
Net margin 41.3%
Return on equity 17.0%
Free cash flow $128M FY2025
P/E ratio 14.0
More key figures
Operating margin 51.0%
EPS (TTM) $9.07
Dividend yield 2.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +6.8%
Net debt $366M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 84
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 8
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 96
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 60
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

City Holding Company operates as a financial holding company for City National Bank of West Virginia that provides banking, trust and investment management, and other financial solutions in the United States. It offers checking, savings, and money market accounts, as well as certificates of deposit and individual retirement accounts.

Full company description

City Holding Company operates as a financial holding company for City National Bank of West Virginia that provides banking, trust and investment management, and other financial solutions in the United States. It offers checking, savings, and money market accounts, as well as certificates of deposit and individual retirement accounts. The company also provides commercial and industrial loans that consist of loans to corporate and other legal entity borrowers primarily in small to mid-size industrial and commercial companies; commercial real estate loans comprising commercial mortgages, which are secured by nonresidential and multi-family residential properties; residential real estate loans to consumers for the purchase or refinance of residence; first-priority home equity loans; home equity lines of credit; amortized home equity loans; consumer loans that are secured and unsecured by automobiles, boats, recreational vehicles, certificates of deposit, and other personal property; and demand deposit account overdrafts, as well as owner-occupied real estate and construction, land development, and lines of credit. In addition, it offers mortgage banking services, including fixed and adjustable-rate mortgages, construction financing, land loans, production of conventional and government-insured mortgages, secondary marketing, and mortgage servicing. Further, the company provides treasury management, lockbox, and other cash management services; merchant credit card services; wealth management, trust, investment, and custodial services for commercial and individual customers; and corporate trust and institutional custody, financial and estate planning, and retirement plan services, as well as automated-teller-machine, interactive-teller-machine, mobile banking, interactive voice response systems, and credit and debit card services. The company was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Charleston, West Virginia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

City Holding reported revenue of $392M in FY2025 versus $229M in FY2021, a compound +14.4%/yr. Reported net income was $130M in FY2025, compounding +10.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 88/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$392M
Latest YoY
+5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+15.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.0%
Avg. growth/yr (36Y)
+7.5%
Revenue +14.4%/yr
FY21 $229M
FY22 $256M
FY23 $334M
FY24 $371M
FY25 $392M
Net income +10.3%/yr
FY21 $88.1M
FY22 $102M
FY23 $114M
FY24 $117M
FY25 $130M

CHCO screens 17% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "City Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CHCO

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −17% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 41% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 51% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.19× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.22× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 5.61× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 14.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.5× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.91× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 11 · sector 39
FUTURE 28 · sector 44
PAST 68 · sector 41
HEALTH 91 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 54 · sector 49

Insider activity: 88/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is City Holding (CHCO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $120.21 versus a price of $144.94, about −17% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CHCO?
Our model-based fair value for City Holding is $120.21 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $144.94.
What is the quality score of CHCO?
City Holding has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of City Holding (CHCO)?
City Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $320M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CHCO?
The net profit margin of City Holding is about 41.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 41.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does City Holding pay a dividend?
City Holding currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.69% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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